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Uncertainty quantification plays an important role in achieving trustworthy and reliable learning-based computational imaging. Recent advances in generative modeling and Bayesian neural networks have enabled the development of…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-07 Canberk Ekmekci , Mujdat Cetin

This paper addresses the challenge of model uncertainty in quantitative finance, where decisions in portfolio allocation, derivative pricing, and risk management rely on estimating stochastic models from limited data. In practice, the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-10 Hans Buehler , Blanka Horvath , Yannick Limmer , Thorsten Schmidt

This work deals with uncertainty quantification for a generic input distribution to some resource-intensive simulation, e.g., requiring the solution of a partial differential equation. While efficient numerical methods exist to compute…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-16 Oliver G. Ernst , Hanno Gottschalk , Toni Kowalewitz , Patrick Krüger

We survey continuous-time generative modeling methods based on transporting a simple reference distribution to a data distribution via stochastic or deterministic dynamics. We present a unified framework in which diffusion models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Aditya Ranganath , Mukesh Singhal

While denoising diffusion and flow matching have driven major advances in generative modeling, their application to tabular data remains limited, despite its ubiquity in real-world applications. To this end, we develop TabbyFlow, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-06 Andrés Guzmán-Cordero , Floor Eijkelboom , Jan-Willem van de Meent

Functional data, i.e., smooth random functions observed over a continuous domain, are increasingly available in areas such as biomedical research, health informatics, and epidemiology. However, effective statistical analysis for functional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-07 Jianbin Tan , Anru R. Zhang

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have emerged as a promising approach for zero-shot financial forecasting, demonstrating strong transferability and data efficiency gains. However, their adoption in financial applications is hindered by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Arundeep Chinta , Lucas Vinh Tran , Jay Katukuri

Diffusion and flow-based models have enabled significant progress in generation tasks across various modalities and have recently found applications in predictive learning. However, unlike typical generation tasks that encourage sample…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Yu Zhang , Xingzhuo Guo , Haoran Xu , Jialong Wu , Mingsheng Long

Flow Matching (FM) underpins many state-of-the-art generative models, yet recent results indicate that Transition Matching (TM) can achieve higher quality with fewer sampling steps. This work answers the question of when and why TM…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Jaihoon Kim , Rajarshi Saha , Minhyuk Sung , Youngsuk Park

Vector quantization (VQ) with autoregressive (AR) token modeling is a widely adopted and highly competitive paradigm for time-series generation. However, such models are fundamentally limited by exposure bias: during inference, errors can…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Wei Li , Shibo Feng , Pengcheng Wu , Xingyu Gao , Min Wu , Peilin Zhao

Diffusion models can learn rich representations during data generation, showing potential for Self-Supervised Learning (SSL), but they face a trade-off between generative quality and discriminative performance. Their iterative sampling also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-24 Kosuke Ukita , Tsuyoshi Okita

Accurate modeling of bacterial biofilm growth is essential for understanding their complex dynamics in biomedical, environmental, and industrial settings. These dynamics are shaped by a variety of environmental influences, including the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Lukas Fritsch , Hendrik Geisler , Jan Grashorn , Felix Klempt , Meisam Soleimani , Matteo Broggi , Philipp Junker , Michael Beer

Diffusion models have recently driven significant breakthroughs in generative modeling. While state-of-the-art models produce high-quality samples on average, individual samples can still be low quality. Detecting such samples without human…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Metod Jazbec , Eliot Wong-Toi , Guoxuan Xia , Dan Zhang , Eric Nalisnick , Stephan Mandt

Physics-constrained generative modeling aims to produce high-dimensional samples that are both physically consistent and distributionally accurate, a task that remains challenging due to often conflicting optimization objectives. Recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Giacomo Baldan , Qiang Liu , Alberto Guardone , Nils Thuerey

Bifurcation phenomena in nonlinear dynamical systems often lead to multiple coexisting stable solutions, particularly in the presence of symmetry breaking. Deterministic machine learning models are unable to capture this multiplicity,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-26 Fleur Hendriks , Ondřej Rokoš , Martin Doškář , Marc G. D. Geers , Vlado Menkovski

Although many deep-learning-based super-resolution approaches have been proposed in recent years, because no ground truth is available in the inference stage, few can quantify the errors and uncertainties of the super-resolved results. For…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-10 Jingyi Shen , Han-Wei Shen

Time series generation is critical for a wide range of applications, which greatly supports downstream analytical and decision-making tasks. However, the inherent temporal heterogeneous induced by localized perturbations present significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Jintao Zhang , Mingyue Cheng , Zirui Liu , Xianquan Wang , Yitong Zhou , Qi Liu

Diffusion models have impressive image generation capability, but low-quality generations still exist, and their identification remains challenging due to the lack of a proper sample-wise metric. To address this, we propose BayesDiff, a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Siqi Kou , Lei Gan , Dequan Wang , Chongxuan Li , Zhijie Deng

Collective insights from a group of experts have always proven to outperform an individual's best diagnostic for clinical tasks. For the task of medical image segmentation, existing research on AI-based alternatives focuses more on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Aimon Rahman , Jeya Maria Jose Valanarasu , Ilker Hacihaliloglu , Vishal M Patel

Modern machine learning methods and the availability of large-scale data have significantly advanced our ability to predict target quantities from large sets of covariates. However, these methods often struggle under distributional shifts,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-24 Nicola Gnecco , Jonas Peters , Sebastian Engelke , Niklas Pfister