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This paper presents a groundbreaking self-improving interference management framework tailored for wireless communications, integrating deep learning with uncertainty quantification to enhance overall system performance. Our approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-25 Hyun-Suk Lee , Do-Yup Kim , Kyungsik Min

Natural gradient methods have been used to optimise the parameters of probability distributions in a variety of settings, often resulting in fast-converging procedures. Unfortunately, for many distributions of interest, computing the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-28 Jonathan So , Richard E. Turner

Deep neural networks often fail when deployed in real-world contexts due to distribution shift, a critical barrier to building safe and reliable systems. An emerging approach to address this problem relies on \emph{disagreement discrepancy}…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-08 Neil G. Marchant , Andrew C. Cullen , Feng Liu , Sarah M. Erfani

We present an efficient technique, which allows to train classification networks which are verifiably robust against norm-bounded adversarial attacks. This framework is built upon the work of Gowal et al., who applies the interval…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-04 Paweł Morawiecki , Przemysław Spurek , Marek Śmieja , Jacek Tabor

We address the problem of uncertainty propagation in the discrete Fourier transform by modeling the fast Fourier transform as a factor graph. Building on this representation, we propose an efficient framework for approximate Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Luca Schmid , Charlotte Muth , Laurent Schmalen

Motivated by the problem of computer-aided detection (CAD) of pulmonary nodules, we introduce methods to propagate and fuse uncertainty information in a multi-stage Bayesian convolutional neural network (CNN) architecture. The question we…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-02-15 Onur Ozdemir , Benjamin Woodward , Andrew A. Berlin

This paper proposes a technique for training a neural network by minimizing a surrogate loss that approximates the target evaluation metric, which may be non-differentiable. The surrogate is learned via a deep embedding where the Euclidean…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-20 Yash Patel , Tomas Hodan , Jiri Matas

A surrogate model that accurately predicts distribution system voltages is crucial for reliable smart grid planning and operation. This letter proposes a fixed-point data-driven surrogate modeling method that employs a limited dataset to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-01 Hoang Tien Nguyen , Young-Jin Kim , Dae-Hyun Choi

Modern computational methods, involving highly sophisticated mathematical formulations, enable several tasks like modeling complex physical phenomenon, predicting key properties and design optimization. The higher fidelity in these computer…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-04-13 Lele Luan , Nesar Ramachandra , Sandipp Krishnan Ravi , Anindya Bhaduri , Piyush Pandita , Prasanna Balaprakash , Mihai Anitescu , Changjie Sun , Liping Wang

This paper proposes a paradigm of uncertainty injection for training deep learning model to solve robust optimization problems. The majority of existing studies on deep learning focus on the model learning capability, while assuming the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Wei Cui , Wei Yu

Numerical models based on physics represent the state-of-the-art in earth system modeling and comprise our best tools for generating insights and predictions. Despite rapid growth in computational power, the perceived need for higher model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-10 Kate Duffy , Thomas Vandal , Weile Wang , Ramakrishna Nemani , Auroop R. Ganguly

Inference on unknown quantities in dynamical systems via observational data is essential for providing meaningful insight, furnishing accurate predictions, enabling robust control, and establishing appropriate designs for future…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-06 M. Chung , M. Binois , R. B. Gramacy , D. J. Moquin , A. P. Smith , A. M. Smith

In this work we consider the task of constructing prediction intervals in an inductive batch setting. We present a discriminative learning framework which optimizes the expected error rate under a budget constraint on the interval sizes.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-28 Nir Rosenfeld , Yishay Mansour , Elad Yom-Tov

This paper introduces a practical sampling method for training surrogate models in the context of uncertainty propagation. We propose a heuristic method to uniformly draw samples within highest density regions of the density given by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Jocelyn Minini , Micha Wasem

Surrogate models, crucial for approximating complex simulation data across sciences, inherently carry uncertainties that range from simulation noise to model prediction errors. Without rigorous uncertainty quantification, predictions become…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-07 Yuhan Duan , Xin Zhao , Neng Shi , Han-Wei Shen

Standard deep learning methods, such as Ensemble Models, Bayesian Neural Networks and Quantile Regression Models provide estimates to prediction uncertainties for data-driven deep learning models. However, they can be limited in their…

Existing deep learning-based surrogate models facilitate efficient data generation, but fall short in uncertainty quantification, efficient parameter space exploration, and reverse prediction. In our work, we introduce SurroFlow, a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Jingyi Shen , Yuhan Duan , Han-Wei Shen

An established way to improve the transferability of black-box evasion attacks is to craft the adversarial examples on an ensemble-based surrogate to increase diversity. We argue that transferability is fundamentally related to uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Martin Gubri , Maxime Cordy , Mike Papadakis , Yves Le Traon , Koushik Sen

To reliably model real robot characteristics, interval linear systems of equations allow to describe families of problems that consider sets of values. This allows to easily account for typical complexities such as sets of joint states and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-04-02 Joshua Pickard , Vincent Padois , Milan Hladík , David Daney

Computational Intelligence (CI) techniques have shown great potential as a surrogate model of expensive physics simulation, with demonstrated ability to make fast predictions, albeit at the expense of accuracy in some cases. For many…