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Modern datasets commonly feature both substantial missingness and many variables of mixed data types, which present significant challenges for estimation and inference. Complete case analysis, which proceeds using only the observations with…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-10 Joseph Feldman , Daniel R. Kowal

Humans learn efficiently from their environment by engaging multiple interacting neural systems that support distinct yet complementary forms of control, including model-based (goal-directed) planning, model-free (habitual) responding, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Babak Shahbaba , Zahra Moslemi

Edge computing's growing prominence, due to its ability to reduce communication latency and enable real-time processing, is promoting the rise of high-performance, heterogeneous System-on-Chip solutions. While current approaches often…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-09-24 Rakshith Jayanth , Neelesh Gupta , Viktor Prasanna

A central challenge in many areas of science and engineering is to identify model parameters that are consistent with prior knowledge and empirical data. Bayesian inference offers a principled framework for this task, but can be…

We propose a novel approach for change-point detection and parameter learning in multivariate non-stationary time series exhibiting oscillatory behaviour. We approximate the process through a piecewise function defined by a sum of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Nicolas Bianco , Lorenzo Cappello

We study the statistical inference of nonlinear stochastic approximation algorithms utilizing a single trajectory of Markovian data. Our methodology has practical applications in various scenarios, such as Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-21 Xiang Li , Jiadong Liang , Zhihua Zhang

Causal inference uses observations to infer the causal structure of the data generating system. We study a class of functional models that we call Time Series Models with Independent Noise (TiMINo). These models require independent residual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-18 Jonas Peters , Dominik Janzing , Bernhard Schölkopf

Modeling event sequences of multiple event types with marked temporal point processes (MTPPs) provides a principled way to uncover governing dynamical rules and predict future events. Current neural network approaches to MTPP inference rely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 David Berghaus , Patrick Seifner , Kostadin Cvejoski , César Ojeda , Ramsés J. Sánchez

Nonlinearity and endogeneity are prevalent challenges in causal analysis using observational data. This paper proposes an inference procedure for a nonlinear and endogenous marginal effect function, defined as the derivative of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-19 Qingliang Fan , Zijian Guo , Ziwei Mei , Cun-Hui Zhang

Interval-censored data arise frequently in scientific studies, where the event of interest is known only to occur within a specific time interval. In such studies, functional covariates taking the form of continuous curves or spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-18 Yangjianchen Xu , Peijun Sang

A full parametric and linear specification may be insufficient to capture complicated patterns in studies exploring complex features, such as those investigating age-related changes in brain functional abilities. Alternatively, a partially…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-07 Jia Liang , Shuo Chen , Peter Kochunov , L Elliot Hong , Chixiang Chen

In this article, we develop fully Bayesian, copula-based, spatial-statistical models for large, noisy, incomplete, and non-Gaussian spatial data. Our approach includes novel constructions of copulas that accommodate a spatial-random-effects…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-05 Alan Pearse , David Gunawan , Noel Cressie

Reliable predictive uncertainty estimation plays an important role in enabling the deployment of neural networks to safety-critical settings. A popular approach for estimating the predictive uncertainty of neural networks is to define a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-29 Tim G. J. Rudner , Zonghao Chen , Yee Whye Teh , Yarin Gal

A central challenge in neuroscience is understanding how neural system implements computation through its dynamics. We propose a nonlinear time series model aimed at characterizing interpretable dynamics from neural trajectories. Our model…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-28 Yuan Zhao , Il Memming Park

Parametric conditional copula models allow the copula parameters to vary with a set of covariates according to an unknown calibration function. Flexible Bayesian inference for the calibration function of a bivariate conditional copula is…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-26 Evgeny Levi , Radu V. Craiu

Despite the outstanding performance of convolutional neural networks (CNNs) for many vision tasks, the required computational cost during inference is problematic when resources are limited. In this context, we propose Convolutional Neural…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-08-20 Adria Ruiz , Jakob Verbeek

Background: Deep neural networks have proven to be powerful computational tools for modeling, prediction, and generation. However, the workings of these models have generally been opaque. Recent work has shown that the performance of some…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Andrew S. Nencka , L. Tugan Muftuler , Peter LaViolette , Kevin M. Koch

Delineating the associations between images and a vector of covariates is of central interest in medical imaging studies. To tackle this problem of image response regression, we propose a novel nonparametric approach in the framework of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-04 Daiwei Zhang , Lexin Li , Chandra Sripada , Jian Kang

Stationary and ergodic time series can be constructed using an s-vine decomposition based on sets of bivariate copula functions. The extension of such processes to infinite copula sequences is considered and shown to yield a rich class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-05 Martin Bladt , Alexander J. McNeil

We introduce Temporal Variational Implicit Neural Representations (TV-INRs), a probabilistic framework for modeling irregular multivariate time series that enables efficient individualized imputation and forecasting. By integrating implicit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Batuhan Koyuncu , Rachael DeVries , Ole Winther , Isabel Valera