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Robust optimization safeguards decisions against uncertainty by optimizing against worst-case scenarios, yet their effectiveness hinges on a prespecified robustness level that is often chosen ad hoc, leading to either insufficient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-02 Wenbin Zhou , Shixiang Zhu

In this paper, we consider Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) with error states. Error states are those states entering which is undesirable or dangerous. We define the risk with respect to a policy as the probability of entering such a state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-09-13 P. Geibel , F. Wysotzki

A fundamental problem in risk management is the robust aggregation of different sources of risk in a situation where little or no data are available to infer information about their dependencies. A popular approach to solving this problem…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-06 Raphael Hauser , Sergey Shahverdyan , Paul Embrechts

Any optimization algorithm based on the risk parity approach requires the formulation of portfolio total risk in terms of marginal contributions. In this paper we use the independence of the underlying factors in the market to derive the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-30 Lorenzo Mercuri , Edit Rroji

We consider the problem of governing systemic risk in an assets-liabilities dynamical model of banking system. In the model considered each bank is represented by its assets and its liabilities.The capital reserves of a bank are the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-30 Lorella Fatone , Francesca Mariani

We study the regulation of a monopolistic firm using a robust-design approach. We solve for the policy that minimizes the regulator's worst-case regret, where the regret is the difference between his complete-information payoff minus his…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-10-11 Yingni Guo , Eran Shmaya

We consider the problem of optimal consumption from labor income and investment in a general incomplete semimartingale market. The economic agent cannot borrow against future income, so the total wealth is required to be positive at (all or…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-29 Oleksii Mostovyi , Mihai Sîrbu

Rapid growth in AI-driven data center loads is creating significant challenges for transmission grid interconnection. This paper proposes robust and risk-aware frameworks to quantify transmission capacity as firm and flexible capacities. We…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-13 Shaoze Li , Bohang Fang , Cong Chen

In this paper we consider an optimal investment and reinsurance problem with partially unknown model parameters which are allowed to be learned. The model includes multiple business lines and dependence between them. The aim is to maximize…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-16 Nicole Bäuerle , Gregor Leimcke

In this paper, we discuss the deterministic policy gradient using the Actor-Critic methods based on the linear compatible advantage function approximator, where the input spaces are continuous. When the policy is restricted by hard…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-07 Arash Bahari Kordabad , Hossein Nejatbakhsh Esfahani , Sebastien Gros

In our model, private actors with interbank cash flows similar to, but nore general than (Carmona, Fouque, Sun, 2013) borrow from the outside economy at a certain interest rate, controlled by the central bank, and invest in risky assets.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-09 Aditya Maheshwari , Andrey Sarantsev

This paper analyzes the stability of optimal policies in the long-run stochastic control framework with an averaged risk-sensitive criterion for discrete-time MDPs on finite state-action space. In particular, we study the robustness of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Nicole Bäuerle , Marcin Pitera , Łukasz Stettner

We consider an insurance company whose surplus is represented by the classical Cramer-Lundberg process. The company can invest its surplus in a risk free asset and in a risky asset, governed by the Black-Scholes equation. There is a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-20 Tatiana Belkina , Christian Hipp , Shangzhen Luo , Michael Taksar

Risk measures for multivariate financial positions are studied in a utility-based framework. Under a certain incomplete preference relation, shortfall and divergence risk measures are defined as the optimal values of specific set…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-12 Çağın Ararat , Andreas H. Hamel , Birgit Rudloff

In this paper, we investigate the robust optimal reinsurance,investment,and internal surplus distribution (i.e., consumption) problem for an insurer with Epstein-Zin recursive preferences in an incomplete market. It is assumed that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Junyi Guo , Jianxuan Li , Qianqian Zhou

We study optimal policy learning under combined budget and minimum coverage constraints. We show that the problem admits a knapsack-type structure and that the optimal policy can be characterized by an affine threshold rule involving both…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-13 Giovanni Cerulli

This paper studies Pareto-optimal reinsurance design in a monopolistic market with multiple primary insurers and a single reinsurer, all with heterogeneous risk preferences. The risk preferences are characterized by a family of risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-15 Tim J. Boonen , Xia Han , Peng Liu , Jiacong Wang

To achieve robustness of risk across different assets, risk parity investing rules, a particular state of risk contributions, have grown in popularity over the previous few decades. To generalize the concept of risk contribution from the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-22 Mengjin Zhao , Guangyan Jia

We study the common generalization of Markov decision processes (MDPs) with sets of transition probabilities, known as robust MDPs (RMDPs). A standard goal in RMDPs is to compute a policy that maximizes the expected return under an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Alessandro Abate , Thom Badings , Giuseppe De Giacomo , Francesco Fabiano

This paper studies the problem of maximizing a monotone submodular function under an unknown knapsack constraint. A solution to this problem is a policy that decides which item to pack next based on the past packing history. The robustness…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-10-25 Max Klimm , Martin Knaack