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Multi-stage LLM pipelines that perform multi-agent debate, intrinsic self-correction, or retrieval-augmented verification exhibit puzzling aggregate behaviors: accuracy plateaus and reversals across rounds, non-replication of debate gains…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Prashanti Nilayam , Kiran Ramanna , Prashil Tumbade

Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly applied to software engineering (SE), yet their potential for autonomous, role-oriented collaboration remains largely underexplored. Understanding how multiple LLM-based agents coordinate,…

The rise of large language models (LLMs) and their tight integration into our daily life make it essential to dedicate efforts towards their trustworthiness. Uncertainty quantification for LLMs can establish more human trust into their…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Daniel Yang , Yao-Hung Hubert Tsai , Makoto Yamada

Large language models (LLMs) often generate fluent but factually incorrect outputs, known as hallucinations, which undermine their reliability in real-world applications. While uncertainty estimation has emerged as a promising strategy for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Pei-Fu Guo , Yun-Da Tsai , Shou-De Lin

The difficulty of multiple-choice questions (MCQs) is a crucial factor for educational assessments. Predicting MCQ difficulty is challenging since it requires understanding both the complexity of reaching the correct option and the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Wanyong Feng , Peter Tran , Stephen Sireci , Andrew Lan

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) has emerged as a promising approach for detecting hallucinations and low-quality output of Large Language Models (LLMs). However, obtaining proper uncertainty scores is complicated by the conditional…

Discovering governing differential equations from observational data is a fundamental challenge in scientific machine learning. Existing symbolic regression approaches rely primarily on quantitative metrics; however, real-world differential…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Sum Kyun Song , Bong Gyun Shin , Jae Yong Lee

How can we quantify uncertainty if our favorite computational tool - be it a numerical, a statistical, or a machine learning approach, or just any computer model - provides single-valued output only? In this article, we introduce the Easy…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-25 Eva-Maria Walz , Alexander Henzi , Johanna Ziegel , Tilmann Gneiting

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) in machine learning is currently drawing increasing research interest, driven by the rapid deployment of deep neural networks across different fields, such as computer vision, natural language processing, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-26 Zongren Zou , Xuhui Meng , Apostolos F Psaros , George Em Karniadakis

In-Car Conversational Question Answering (ConvQA) systems significantly enhance user experience by enabling seamless voice interactions. However, assessing their accuracy and reliability remains a challenge. This paper explores the use of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Philipp Habicht , Lev Sorokin , Abdullah Saydemir , Ken E. Friedl , Andrea Stocco

Large Vision-Language Models (LVLMs) frequently hallucinate, limiting their safe deployment in real-world applications. Existing LLM self-evaluation methods rely on a model's ability to estimate the correctness of its own outputs, which can…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Seongheon Park , Changdae Oh , Hyeong Kyu Choi , Sean Du , Sharon Li

Multi-agent debate (MAD) systems improve LLM reasoning through iterative deliberation, but remain vulnerable to debate collapse, a failure type where final agent decisions are compromised on erroneous reasoning. Existing methods lack…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Luoxi Tang , Yuqiao Meng , Joseph Costa , Yingxue Zhang , Muchao Ye , Zhaohan Xi

Multi-Agent Debate (MAD) has shown promise in leveraging collective intelligence to improve reasoning and reduce hallucinations, yet it remains unclear how information exchange shapes the underlying ability. Empirically, MAD exhibits…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Dan Qiao , Binbin Chen , Fengyu Cai , Jianlong Chen , Wenhao Li , Fuxin Jiang , Zuzhi Chen , Hongyuan Zha , Tieying Zhang , Baoxiang Wang

Emergence of artificial intelligence techniques in biomedical applications urges the researchers to pay more attention on the uncertainty quantification (UQ) in machine-assisted medical decision making. For classification tasks, prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-17 Xiaoyang Huang , Jiancheng Yang , Linguo Li , Haoran Deng , Bingbing Ni , Yi Xu

Recent reasoning Large Language Models (LLMs) demonstrate remarkable problem-solving abilities but often generate long thinking traces whose utility is unclear. Our work aims to improve their efficiency, enabling them to reach high…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Xiang Liu , Xuming Hu , Xiaowen Chu , Eunsol Choi

Decentralized large language model (LLM) inference networks can pool heterogeneous compute to scale serving, but they require lightweight and incentive-compatible mechanisms to assess output quality. Prior work introduced cost-aware Proof…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Arther Tian , Alex Ding , Frank Chen , Simon Wu , Aaron Chan

Knowledge conflict arises from discrepancies between information in the context of a large language model (LLM) and the knowledge stored in its parameters. This can hurt performance when using standard decoding techniques, which tend to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Han Wang , Archiki Prasad , Elias Stengel-Eskin , Mohit Bansal

We extended the existing methodology in Bound-to-Bound Data Collaboration (B2BDC), an optimization-based deterministic uncertainty quantification (UQ) framework, to explicitly take into account model discrepancy. The discrepancy was…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-02-06 Wenyu Li , Arun Hegde , James Oreluk , Andrew Packard , Michael Frenklach

We propose a novel framework for uncertainty quantification via information bottleneck (IB-UQ) for scientific machine learning tasks, including deep neural network (DNN) regression and neural operator learning (DeepONet). Specifically, we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-05-31 Ling Guo , Hao Wu , Wenwen Zhou , Yan Wang , Tao Zhou

Most uncertainty quantification (UQ) approaches provide a single scalar value as a measure of model reliability. However, different uncertainty measures could provide complementary information on the prediction confidence. Even measures…