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When Masked Diffusion Models (MDMs) generate sequences through iterative refinement, the rich internal computation over masked positions is discarded, forcing every subsequent refinement step to recompute the valuable internal information…

With increasing competition and pace in the financial markets, robust forecasting methods are becoming more and more valuable to investors. While machine learning algorithms offer a proven way of modeling non-linearities in time series,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-09 Lukas Ryll , Sebastian Seidens

We develop a divergence-minimization (DM) framework for robust and efficient inference in latent-mixture models. By optimizing a residual-adjusted divergence, the DM approach recovers EM as a special case and yields robust alternatives…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Lei Li , Anand N. Vidyashankar

Time series forecasting has received a lot of attention, with recurrent neural networks (RNNs) being one of the widely used models due to their ability to handle sequential data. Previous studies on RNN time series forecasting, however,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Christopher Salazar , Ashis G. Banerjee

We present a method for conditional time series forecasting based on an adaptation of the recent deep convolutional WaveNet architecture. The proposed network contains stacks of dilated convolutions that allow it to access a broad range of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-18 Anastasia Borovykh , Sander Bohte , Cornelis W. Oosterlee

Transformer models struggle with long-context inference due to their quadratic time and linear memory complexity. Recurrent Memory Transformers (RMTs) offer a solution by reducing the asymptotic cost to linear time and constant memory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Danil Sivtsov , Ivan Rodkin , Gleb Kuzmin , Yuri Kuratov , Ivan Oseledets

When aligning large language models (LLMs), their performance on various tasks (such as being helpful, harmless, and honest) depends heavily on the composition of their training data. However, selecting a data mixture that achieves strong…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Nicholas E. Corrado , Julian Katz-Samuels , Adithya Devraj , Hyokun Yun , Chao Zhang , Yi Xu , Yi Pan , Bing Yin , Trishul Chilimbi

In this paper a new distributed asynchronous algorithm is proposed for time synchronization in networks with random communication delays, measurement noise and communication dropouts. Three different types of the drift correction algorithm…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-02-05 Milos S. Stankovic , Srdjan S. Stankovic , Karl Henrik Johansson

This paper considers optimization of power and delay in a time-varying wireless link using rateless codes. The link serves a sequence of variable-length packets. Each packet is coded and transmitted over multiple slots. Channel conditions…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-10-13 Xiaohan Wei , Michael J. Neely

Latency is inherent in almost all real-world networked applications. In this paper, we propose a distributed allocation strategy over multi-agent networks with delayed communications. The state of each agent (or node) represents its share…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-31 Mohammadreza Doostmohammadian , Wei Jiang , Themistoklis Charalambous

Modeling an unknown dynamical system is crucial in order to predict the future behavior of the system. A standard approach is training recurrent models on measurement data. While these models typically provide exact short-term predictions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Katharina Ensinger , Sebastian Ziesche , Barbara Rakitsch , Michael Tiemann , Sebastian Trimpe

Recent interest has developed around the problem of dynamic compressed sensing, or the recovery of time-varying, sparse signals from limited observations. In this paper, we study how the dynamics of recurrent networks, formulated as general…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-09 MohammadMehdi Kafashan , Anirban Nandi , ShiNung Ching

Balancing the trade-off between accuracy and robustness is a long-standing challenge in time series forecasting. While most of existing robust algorithms have achieved certain suboptimal performance on clean data, sustaining the same…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-15 Romain Ilbert , Thai V. Hoang , Zonghua Zhang , Themis Palpanas

For many real-world applications, obtaining stable and robust statistical performance is more important than simply achieving state-of-the-art predictive test accuracy, and thus robustness of neural networks is an increasingly important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-24 N. Benjamin Erichson , Soon Hoe Lim , Winnie Xu , Francisco Utrera , Ziang Cao , Michael W. Mahoney

Many real-world time series exhibit strong periodic structures arising from physical laws, human routines, or seasonal cycles. However, modern deep forecasting models often fail to capture these recurring patterns due to spectral bias and a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Menglin Kong , Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Lijun Sun

Time series prediction, a crucial task across various domains, faces significant challenges due to the inherent complexities of time series data, including non-stationarity, multi-scale periodicity, and transient dynamics, particularly when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-18 Qianru Zhang , Chenglei Yu , Haixin Wang , Yudong Yan , Yuansheng Cao , Siu-Ming Yiu , Tailin Wu , Hongzhi Yin

Synchronous federated learning scales poorly due to the straggler effect. Asynchronous algorithms increase the update throughput by processing updates upon arrival, but they introduce two fundamental challenges: gradient staleness, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Abdelkrim Alahyane , Céline Comte , Matthieu Jonckheere

We investigate nonlinear prediction/regression in an online setting and introduce a hybrid model that effectively mitigates, via a joint mechanism through a state space formulation, the need for domain-specific feature engineering issues of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-20 Mustafa E. Aydın , Arda Fazla , Suleyman S. Kozat

Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks are often used to capture temporal dependency patterns. By stacking multi-layer LSTM networks, it can capture even more complex patterns. This paper explores the effectiveness of applying stacked LSTM…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Frank Xiao

Large-scale traffic forecasting relies on fixed sensor networks that often exhibit blackouts: contiguous intervals of missing measurements caused by detector or communication failures. These outages are typically handled under a Missing At…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-07 Aman Sunesh , Allan Ma , Siddarth Nilol
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