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Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) describe dynamical systems where deterministic flows, governed by a drift function, are superimposed with random fluctuations, dictated by a diffusion function. The accurate estimation (or discovery)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Patrick Seifner , Kostadin Cvejoski , David Berghaus , Cesar Ojeda , Ramses J. Sanchez

The Latent Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE) is a powerful tool for time series and sequence modeling. However, training Latent SDEs typically relies on adjoint sensitivity methods, which depend on simulation and backpropagation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-27 Grigory Bartosh , Dmitry Vetrov , Christian A. Naesseth

Continuous-time generative models, such as Flow Matching (FM), construct probability paths to transport between one distribution and another through the simulation-free learning of the neural ordinary differential equations (ODEs). During…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Qunxi Zhu , Wei Lin

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have emerged as a promising approach for zero-shot financial forecasting, demonstrating strong transferability and data efficiency gains. However, their adoption in financial applications is hindered by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Arundeep Chinta , Lucas Vinh Tran , Jay Katukuri

Partial differential equations (PDEs) govern a wide range of physical systems, but solving them efficiently remains a major challenge. The idea of a scientific foundation model (SciFM) is emerging as a promising tool for learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Amin Totounferoush , Serge Kotchourko , Michael W. Mahoney , Steffen Staab

Time series foundation models (FMs) have emerged as a popular paradigm for zero-shot multi-domain forecasting. These models are trained on numerous diverse datasets and claim to be effective forecasters across multiple different time series…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-19 Anubha Goel , Puneet Pasricha , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen

Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) are the bedrock for modern computational sciences and engineering, and inherently computationally expensive. While PDE foundation models have shown much promise for simulating such complex…

Modeling stochastic and irregularly sampled time series is a challenging problem found in a wide range of applications, especially in medicine. Neural stochastic differential equations (Neural SDEs) are an attractive modeling technique for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Xi Zhang , Yuan Pu , Yuki Kawamura , Andrew Loza , Yoshua Bengio , Dennis L. Shung , Alexander Tong

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are established tools to model physical phenomena whose dynamics are affected by random noise. By estimating parameters of an SDE intrinsic randomness of a system around its drift can be identified…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-03 Umberto Picchini , Susanne Ditlevsen

Advances in time-series forecasting are driving a shift from conventional machine learning models to foundation models (FMs) that are trained with generalized knowledge. However, existing FMs still perform poorly in the energy fields, such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Rui Liang , Yang Deng , Donghua Xie , Fang He , Dan Wang

Time series foundational models (TSFM) have gained prominence in time series forecasting, promising state-of-the-art performance across various applications. However, their application in anomaly detection and prediction remains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Chathurangi Shyalika , Harleen Kaur Bagga , Ahan Bhatt , Renjith Prasad , Alaa Al Ghazo , Amit Sheth

Federated learning~(FL) has recently attracted increasing attention from academia and industry, with the ultimate goal of achieving collaborative training under privacy and communication constraints. Existing iterative model averaging based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-21 Yuanhao Xiong , Ruochen Wang , Minhao Cheng , Felix Yu , Cho-Jui Hsieh

In recent years, researchers pay growing attention to the few-shot learning (FSL) task to address the data-scarce problem. A standard FSL framework is composed of two components: i) Pre-train. Employ the base data to generate a CNN-based…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-06 Shuai Shao , Lei Xing , Rui Xu , Weifeng Liu , Yan-Jiang Wang , Bao-Di Liu

Diffusion (score-based) generative models have been widely used for modeling various types of complex data, including images, audios, and point clouds. Recently, the deep connection between forward-backward stochastic differential equations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Weitao Du , Tao Yang , He Zhang , Yuanqi Du

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) provide a natural framework for modelling intrinsic stochasticity inherent in many continuous-time physical processes. When such processes are observed in multiple individuals or experimental units,…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-19 Gavin A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Richard J. Boys , Chris Sherlock

I propose a novel framework that integrates stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with deep generative models to improve uncertainty quantification in machine learning applications involving structured and temporal data. This approach,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-09 James Rice

Unlike natural language processing and computer vision, the development of Foundation Models (FMs) for time series forecasting is blocked due to data scarcity. While recent efforts are focused on building such FMs by unlocking the potential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Qingxiang Liu , Xu Liu , Chenghao Liu , Qingsong Wen , Yuxuan Liang

In this article, we introduce the joint maximum a posteriori state path and parameter estimator (JME) for continuous-time systems described by stochastic differential equations (SDEs). This estimator can be applied to nonlinear systems with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-07 Dimas Abreu Archanjo Dutra , Bruno Otávio Soares Teixeira , Luis Antonio Aguirre

The zero-shot capabilities of foundation models (FMs) for time series forecasting offer promising potentials in conformal prediction, as most of the available data can be allocated to calibration. This study compares the performance of Time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Sami Achour , Yassine Bouher , Duong Nguyen , Nicolas Chesneau

The stochastic interpolant framework offers a powerful approach for constructing generative models based on ordinary differential equations (ODEs) or stochastic differential equations (SDEs) to transform arbitrary data distributions.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Yuhao Liu , Yu Chen , Rui Hu , Longbo Huang
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