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Wind is slated to become one of the most sought after source of energy in future. Both onshore as well as offshore wind farms are getting deployed rapidly over the world. This paper evaluates a neural network based time series approach to…

Computation · Statistics 2014-02-18 Munir Ahmad Nayak , M C Deo

The paper presents a spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting algorithm using Deep Learning (DL)and in particular, Recurrent Neural Networks(RNNs). Motivated by recent advances in renewable energy integration and smart grids, we apply our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-27 Amir Ghaderi , Borhan M. Sanandaji , Faezeh Ghaderi

In recent years, the increasing threat of devastating wildfires has underscored the need for effective prescribed fire management. Process-based computer simulations have traditionally been employed to plan prescribed fires for wildfire…

This study aims to develop and improve machine learning-based post-processing models for precipitation, temperature, and wind speed predictions using the Mesoscale Model (MSM) dataset provided by the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) for 18…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-22 Kazuma Iwase , Tomoyuki Takenawa

Climate change increases the frequency of extreme rainfall, placing a significant strain on urban infrastructures, especially Combined Sewer Systems (CSS). Overflows from overburdened CSS release untreated wastewater into surface waters,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-13 Vipin Singh , Tianheng Ling , Teodor Chiaburu , Felix Biessmann

Heatwaves are intensifying worldwide and are among the deadliest weather disasters. The burden falls disproportionately on marginalized populations and the Global South, where under-resourced health systems, exposure to urban heat islands,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Joud El-Shawa , Elham Bagheri , Sedef Akinli Kocak , Yalda Mohsenzadeh

This paper presents a method for probabilistic wind power forecasting that quantifies and integrates uncertainties from weather forecasts and weather-to-power conversion. By addressing both uncertainty sources, the method achieves…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-18 Gabriel Dantas , Jethro Browell

Due to limited computational resources, medium-range temperature forecasts typically rely on low-resolution numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, which are prone to systematic and random errors. We propose a method that integrates a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-09 Takuya Inoue , Takuya Kawabata

Accurate and reliable forecasting of total cloud cover (TCC) is vital for many areas such as astronomy, energy demand and production, or agriculture. Most meteorological centres issue ensemble forecasts of TCC, however, these forecasts are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-03 Ágnes Baran , Sebastian Lerch , Mehrez El Ayari , Sándor Baran

When observing a phenomenon, severe cases or anomalies are often characterised by deviation from the expected data distribution. However, non-deviating data samples may also implicitly lead to severe outcomes. In the case of unsupervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-18 Athanasios Davvetas , Iraklis A. Klampanos

A precise forecast for droughts is of considerable value to scientific research, agriculture, and water resource management. With emerging developments of data-driven approaches for hydro-climate modeling, this paper investigates an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-25 Shiheng Duan , Xiurui Zhang

The goal of this study was to improve the post-processing of precipitation forecasts using convolutional neural networks (CNNs). Instead of post-processing forecasts on a per-pixel basis, as is usually done when employing machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-18 Bob de Ruiter

The unusually warm sea surface temperature events known as marine heatwaves (MHWs) have a profound impact on marine ecosystems. Accurate prediction of extreme MHWs has significant scientific and financial worth. However, existing methods…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-23 Ruiqi Shu , Hao Wu , Yuan Gao , Fanghua Xu , Ruijian Gou , Xiaomeng Huang

Atmospheric predictability research has long held that the limit of skillful deterministic weather forecasts is about 14 days. We challenge this limit using GraphCast, a machine-learning weather model, by optimizing forecast initial…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-30 P. Trent Vonich , Gregory J. Hakim

The construction industry is one of the main producers of greenhouse gasses (GHG). Quantifying the amount of air pollutants including GHG emissions during a construction project has become an additional project objective to traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Farid Shahnavaz , Reza Akhavian

Wind farm modelling has been an area of rapidly increasing interest with numerous analytical as well as computational-based approaches developed to extend the margins of wind farm efficiency and maximise power production. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-30 Sokratis Anagnostopoulos , Jens Bauer , Mariana C. A. Clare , Matthew D. Piggott

Precise outbreak forecasting of infectious diseases is essential for effective public health responses and epidemic control. The increased availability of machine learning (ML) methods for time-series forecasting presents an enticing avenue…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Jinpyo Hong , Rachel E. Baker

We present results for long term and intermediate term prediction algorithms applied to a simple mechanical model of a fault. We use long term prediction methods based, for example, on the distribution of repeat times between large events…

chao-dyn · Physics 2015-06-24 S. L. Pepke , J. M. Carlson , B. E. Shaw

Solar based electricity generations have experienced strong and impactful growth in recent years. The regulation, scheduling, dispatching, and unit commitment of intermittent solar power is dependent on the accuracy of the forecasting…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-30 Shaktinarayana Mishra , Lokanath Tripathy , Prachitara Satapathy , P. K. Dash , Nitasha Sahani

Forecasting meteorological variables is challenging due to the complexity of their processes, requiring advanced models for accuracy. Accurate precipitation forecasts are vital for society. Reliable predictions help communities mitigate…