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In this paper, we develop a new censored quantile instrumental variable (CQIV) estimator and describe its properties and computation. The CQIV estimator combines Powell (1986) censored quantile regression (CQR) to deal with censoring, with…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-16 Victor Chernozhukov , Ivan Fernandez-Val , Amanda Kowalski

Multimodal affective computing aims to predict humans' sentiment, emotion, intention, and opinion using language, acoustic, and visual modalities. However, current models often learn spurious correlations that harm generalization under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Sijie Mai , Shiqin Han

Quantile regression is a powerful tool for inferring how covariates affect specific percentiles of the response distribution. Existing methods either estimate conditional quantiles separately for each quantile of interest or estimate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-19 Joseph Feldman , Daniel Kowal

Standard conformal prediction methods guarantee marginal coverage but often produce inefficient intervals that fail to adapt to local heteroscedasticity, while recent localized approaches often struggle to maintain validity across distinct…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-02 Yuan Lu

Modern machine learning (ML) methods typically fail to adequately capture causal information. Consequently, such models do not handle data distributional shifts, are vulnerable to adversarial examples, and often learn spurious correlations.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-01-27 Rishi Goel , Casey R. Myers , Sally Shrapnel

Quantile regression is an effective technique to quantify uncertainty, fit challenging underlying distributions, and often provide full probabilistic predictions through joint learnings over multiple quantile levels. A common drawback of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-24 Youngsuk Park , Danielle Maddix , François-Xavier Aubet , Kelvin Kan , Jan Gasthaus , Yuyang Wang

Quantile regression has become a valuable tool to analyze heterogeneous covaraite-response associations that are often encountered in practice. The development of quantile regression methodology for high-dimensional covariates primarily…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-06 Qi Zheng , Limin Peng , Xuming He

Pursuing invariant prediction from heterogeneous environments opens the door to learning causality in a purely data-driven way and has several applications in causal discovery and robust transfer learning. However, existing methods such as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-30 Yihong Gu , Cong Fang , Yang Xu , Zijian Guo , Jianqing Fan

Instrumental variable regression is a foundational tool for causal analysis across the social and biomedical sciences. Recent advances use kernel methods to estimate nonparametric causal relationships, with general data types, while…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Marvin Lob , Rahul Singh , Suhas Vijaykumar

Quantile regression and conditional density estimation can reveal structure that is missed by mean regression, such as multimodality and skewness. In this paper, we introduce a deep learning generative model for joint quantile estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-14 Shijie Wang , Minsuk Shin , Ray Bai

In this study, a scalable online kernel learning framework is proposed for estimating bidirectional causal effects in systems characterized by mutual dependence and heteroskedasticity. Traditional causal inference often focuses on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-24 Masahiro Tanaka

Quantile regression is a powerful tool for detecting exposure-outcome associations given covariates across different parts of the outcome's distribution, but has two major limitations when the aim is to infer the effect of an exposure.…

The class of problems in causal inference which seeks to isolate causal correlations solely from observational data even without interventions has come to the forefront of machine learning, neuroscience and social sciences. As new large…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2022-01-02 Mohammad Ali Javidian , Vaneet Aggarwal , Fanglin Bao , Zubin Jacob

What is the difference of a prediction that is made with a causal model and a non-causal model? Suppose we intervene on the predictor variables or change the whole environment. The predictions from a causal model will in general work as…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-27 Jonas Peters , Peter Bühlmann , Nicolai Meinshausen

Data integration has become increasingly popular owing to the availability of multiple data sources. This study considered quantile regression estimation when a key covariate had multiple proxies across several datasets. In a unified…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Dongyoung Go , Jongho Im , Ick Hoon Jin

Causal inference methods such as instrumental variables, regression discontinuity, and difference-in-differences are widely used to identify and estimate treatment effects. However, when outcomes are qualitative, their application poses…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-30 Riccardo Di Francesco , Giovanni Mellace

Quantifying the uncertainty of forecasting models is essential to assess and mitigate the risks associated with data-driven decisions, especially in volatile domains such as electricity markets. Machine learning methods can provide highly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Arkadiusz Lipiecki , Bartosz Uniejewski

Learning the causal structure behind data is invaluable for improving generalization and obtaining high-quality explanations. We propose a novel framework, Invariant Structure Learning (ISL), that is designed to improve causal structure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-15 Yunhao Ge , Sercan Ö. Arik , Jinsung Yoon , Ao Xu , Laurent Itti , Tomas Pfister

Despite impressive state-of-the-art performance on a wide variety of machine learning tasks, deep learning methods can produce over-confident predictions, particularly with limited training data. Therefore, quantifying uncertainty is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-27 Haleh Akrami , Anand Joshi , Sergul Aydore , Richard Leahy

We introduce a transfer learning framework for regression that leverages heterogeneous source domains to improve predictive performance in a data-scarce target domain. Our approach learns a conditional generative model separately for each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-03 Yikun Zhang , Steven Wilkins-Reeves , Wesley Lee , Aude Hofleitner