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Regression discontinuity designs have become one of the most popular research designs in empirical economics. We argue, however, that widely used approaches to building confidence intervals in regression discontinuity designs exhibit…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-01 Aditya Ghosh , Guido Imbens , Stefan Wager

This survey (re)introduces reinforcement learning methods to economists. The curse of dimensionality limits how far exact dynamic programming can be effectively applied, forcing us to rely on suitably "small" problems or our ability to…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-25 Pranjal Rawat

Model-Free Reinforcement Learning has achieved meaningful results in stable environments but, to this day, it remains problematic in regime changing environments like financial markets. In contrast, model-based RL is able to capture some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-23 Eric Benhamou , David Saltiel , Serge Tabachnik , Sui Kai Wong , François Chareyron

Multivariate random effects with unstructured variance-covariance matrices of large dimensions, $q$, can be a major challenge to estimate. In this paper, we introduce a new implementation of a reduced-rank approach to fit large dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-08 Maeve McGillycuddy , Gordana Popovic , Benjamin M. Bolker , David I. Warton

We develop and evaluate point and interval estimates for the random effects $\theta_i$, having made observations $y_i|\theta_i\stackrel{\m athit{ind}}{\sim}N[\theta_i,V_i],i=1,...,k$ that follow a two-level Normal hierarchical model.…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-17 Carl Morris , Ruoxi Tang

The causal inference model proposed by Lee (2008) for the regression discontinuity design (RDD) relies on assumptions that imply the continuity of the density of the assignment (running) variable. The test for this implication is commonly…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-28 Federico Crippa

In Regression Discontinuity (RD) design, self-selection leads to different distributions of covariates on two sides of the policy intervention, which essentially violates the continuity of potential outcome assumption. The standard RD…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-22 Sida Peng , Yang Ning

Double Machine Learning is widely used to estimate causal treatment effects in large-scale observational data. The ``residuals-on-residuals'' regression estimator (RORR) is especially popular for its simplicity and computational…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-27 Apoorva Lal , Winston Chou

Experimental design is an approach for selecting samples among a given set so as to obtain the best estimator for a given criterion. In the context of linear regression, several optimal designs have been derived, each associated with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Geovani Rizk , Igor Colin , Albert Thomas , Moez Draief

While shrinkage is essential in high-dimensional settings, its use for low-dimensional regression-based prediction has been debated. It reduces variance, often leading to improved prediction accuracy. However, it also inevitably introduces…

In an influential critique of empirical practice, Freedman (2008) showed that the linear regression estimator was biased for the analysis of randomized controlled trials under the randomization model. Under Freedman's assumptions, we derive…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Haoge Chang , Joel Middleton , P. M. Aronow

We study a new two-time-scale stochastic gradient method for solving optimization problems, where the gradients are computed with the aid of an auxiliary variable under samples generated by time-varying MDPs controlled by the underlying…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-27 Sihan Zeng , Thinh T. Doan , Justin Romberg

We propose an approach to better inform treatment decisions at an individual level by adapting recent advances in average treatment effect estimation to conditional average treatment effect estimation. Our work is based on doubly robust…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-13 Aaron Fisher , Virginia Fisher

Randomized dimensionality reduction is a widely-used algorithmic technique for speeding up large-scale Euclidean optimization problems. In this paper, we study dimension reduction for a variety of maximization problems, including…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Jie Gao , Rajesh Jayaram , Benedikt Kolbe , Shay Sapir , Chris Schwiegelshohn , Sandeep Silwal , Erik Waingarten

The two-sided markets such as ride-sharing companies often involve a group of subjects who are making sequential decisions across time and/or location. With the rapid development of smart phones and internet of things, they have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-28 Chengchun Shi , Runzhe Wan , Ge Song , Shikai Luo , Rui Song , Hongtu Zhu

There is growing interest in a hybrid control design in which a randomized controlled trial is augmented with an external control arm from a previous trial or real world data. Existing methods for analyzing hybrid control studies include…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-30 Zhiwei Zhang , Jialuo Liu , Wei Liu

In this work, we introduce a novel approach to regularization in multivariable regression problems. Our regularizer, called DLoss, penalises differences between the model's derivatives and derivatives of the data generating function as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-02 Enrico Lopedoto , Maksim Shekhunov , Vitaly Aksenov , Kizito Salako , Tillman Weyde

To take sample biases and skewness in the observations into account, practitioners frequently weight their observations according to some marginal distribution. The present paper demonstrates that such weighting can indeed improve the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-05 Tobias Niebuhr , Mathias Trabs

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) provides a simple and efficient way to solve a broad range of machine learning problems. Here, we focus on distribution regression (DR), involving two stages of sampling: Firstly, we regress from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-08 Nicole Mücke

Imputing missing potential outcomes using an estimated regression function is a natural idea for estimating causal effects. In the literature, estimators that combine imputation and regression adjustments are believed to be comparable to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-20 Zhexiao Lin , Fang Han