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This paper considers a single-trajectory system identification problem for linear systems under general nonlinear and/or time-varying policies with i.i.d. random excitation noises. The problem is motivated by safe learning-based control for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Yingying Li , Tianpeng Zhang , Subhro Das , Jeff Shamma , Na Li

Many algorithms have been recently proposed for causal machine learning. Yet, there is little to no theory on their quality, especially considering finite samples. In this work, we propose a theory based on generalization bounds that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-16 Daniel Csillag , Claudio José Struchiner , Guilherme Tegoni Goedert

This paper introduces new empirical process tools for analyzing a broad class of statistical learning models under heavy-tailed noise and complex function classes. Our primary contribution is the derivation of two Dudley-type maximal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Yizhe Ding , Runze Li , Lingzhou Xue

Self-normalized martingale inequalities lie at the heart of confidence ellipsoids for online least squares and, more broadly, many bandit and reinforcement-learning results. Yet existing vector and scalar results typically rely on bounded…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Fan Chen , Jian Qian , Alexander Rakhlin , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

We establish a large deviation principle for the empirical spectral measure of a sample covariance matrix with sub-Gaussian entries, which extends Bordenave and Caputo's result for Wigner matrices having the same type of entries [7]. To…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-22 Benjamin Groux

Regression problems with bounded continuous outcomes frequently arise in real-world statistical and machine learning applications, such as the analysis of rates and proportions. A central challenge in this setting is predicting a response…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-21 Zhanli Wu , Fabrizio Leisen , F. Javier Rubio

For the last two decades, high-dimensional data and methods have proliferated throughout the literature. Yet, the classical technique of linear regression has not lost its usefulness in applications. In fact, many high-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Lawrence D. Brown , Andreas Buja , Edward I. George , Linda Zhao

We study the problem of outlier robust high-dimensional mean estimation under a finite covariance assumption, and more broadly under finite low-degree moment assumptions. We consider a standard stability condition from the recent robust…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-17 Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Ankit Pensia

In a standard multi-output classification scenario, both features and labels of training data are partially observed. This challenging issue is widely witnessed due to sensor or database failures, crowd-sourcing and noisy communication…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-20 Giancarlo Fissore , Aurélien Decelle , Cyril Furtlehner , Yufei Han

The paper introduces novel methodologies for the identification of coefficients of switched autoregressive and switched autoregressive exogenous linear models. We consider cases which system's outputs are contaminated by possibly large…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-02 Sarah Hojjatinia , Constantino M. Lagoa , Fabrizio Dabbene

The study of multiplicative noise models has a long history in control theory but is re-emerging in the context of complex networked systems and systems with learning-based control. We consider linear system identification with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-06 Yu Xing , Ben Gravell , Xingkang He , Karl Henrik Johansson , Tyler Summers

Stochastic approximation (SA) is a fundamental iterative framework with broad applications in reinforcement learning and optimization. Classical analyses typically rely on martingale difference or Markov noise with bounded second moments,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Siddharth Chandak , Anuj Yadav , Ayfer Ozgur , Nicholas Bambos

The paper introduces a novel algorithm for computing the output admissible set of linear discrete-time systems subject to input saturation. The proposed method takes advantage of the piecewise-affine dynamics to propagate the output…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-29 Yaashia Gautam , Marco M. Nicotra

We consider the problem of linear fitting of noisy data in the case of broad (say $\alpha$-stable) distributions of random impacts ("noise"), which can lack even the first moment. This situation, common in statistical physics of small…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-27 Eugene B. Postnikov , Igor M. Sokolov

In this paper, we study non-asymptotic deviation bounds of the least squares estimator in Gaussian AR($n$) processes. By relying on martingale concentration inequalities and a tail-bound for $\chi^2$ distributed variables, we provide a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-26 Rodrigo A. González , Cristian R. Rojas

For the identification of switched systems with a measured switching signal, this work aims to analyze the effect of switching strategies on the estimation error. The data for identification is assumed to be collected from globally…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-26 Shengling Shi , Othmane Mazhar , Bart De Schutter

This work proposes a general framework for capturing noise-driven transitions in spatially extended non-equilibrium systems and explains the emergence of coherent patterns beyond the instability onset. The framework relies on stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-16 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Honghu Liu , James C. McWilliams

We study the problem of \textit{safe control of linear dynamical systems corrupted with non-stochastic noise}, and provide an algorithm that guarantees (i) zero constraint violation of convex time-varying constraints, and (ii) bounded…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-25 Hongyu Zhou , Vasileios Tzoumas

We provide a unified treatment of a broad class of noisy structure recovery problems, known as structured normal means problems. In this setting, the goal is to identify, from a finite collection of Gaussian distributions with different…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-01-27 Akshay Krishnamurthy

A Nonlinear Auto-Regressive with eXogenous inputs (NARX) model can be used to describe time-varying processes; where the output depends on both previous outputs and current/previous external input variables. One limitation of NARX models is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-09 Sarah Bee , Lawrence Bull , Nikolaos Dervilis , Keith Worden