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A continuous-time regression model with a jointly strictly sub-Gaussian random noise is considered in the paper. Upper exponential bounds for probabilities of large deviations of the least squares estimator for the regression parameter are…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-12 Alexander V. Ivanov , Igor V. Orlovskyi

Non-conservative uncertainty bounds are essential for making reliable predictions about latent functions from noisy data, and thus, a key enabler for safe learning-based control. In this domain, kernel methods such as Gaussian process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Amon Lahr , Anna Scampicchio , Johannes Köhler , Melanie N. Zeilinger

We construct two error feedback controllers for robust output tracking and disturbance rejection of a regular linear system with nonsmooth reference and disturbance signals. We show that for sufficiently smooth signals the output converges…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-01 Lassi Paunonen

We study the problem of system identification for stochastic continuous-time dynamics, based on a single finite-length state trajectory. We present a method for estimating the possibly unstable open-loop matrix by employing properly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Reza Sadeghi Hafshejani , Mohamad Kazem Shirani Fradonbeh

This paper is centered around the approximation of dynamical systems by means of Gaussian processes. To this end, trajectories of such systems must be collected to be used as training data. The measurements of these trajectories are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-02 Tobias M. Wolff , Victor G. Lopez , Matthias A. Müller

Generalization error (also known as the out-of-sample error) measures how well the hypothesis learned from training data generalizes to previously unseen data. Proving tight generalization error bounds is a central question in statistical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Jian Li , Xuanyuan Luo , Mingda Qiao

For multi-class classification under class-conditional label noise, we prove that the accuracy metric itself can be robust. We concretize this finding's inspiration in two essential aspects: training and validation, with which we address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-09 Pengfei Chen , Junjie Ye , Guangyong Chen , Jingwei Zhao , Pheng-Ann Heng

I argue that regularizing terms in standard regression methods not only help against overfitting finite data, but sometimes also yield better causal models in the infinite sample regime. I first consider a multi-dimensional variable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-01 Dominik Janzing

We consider a nonlinear discrete stochastic control system, and our goal is to design a feedback control policy in order to lead the system to a prespecified state. We adopt a stochastic approximation viewpoint of this problem. It is known…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Hoang Huy Nguyen , Siva Theja Maguluri

Labelling of data for supervised learning can be costly and time-consuming and the risk of incorporating label noise in large data sets is imminent. When training a flexible discriminative model using a strictly proper loss, such noise will…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-13 Amanda Olmin , Fredrik Lindsten

Linear two-timescale stochastic approximation (SA) scheme is an important class of algorithms which has become popular in reinforcement learning (RL), particularly for the policy evaluation problem. Recently, a number of works have been…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-05 Maxim Kaledin , Eric Moulines , Alexey Naumov , Vladislav Tadic , Hoi-To Wai

This paper develops a unified finite-time theory for the ordinary least squares estimation of possibly unstable and even slightly explosive vector autoregressive models under linear restrictions, with the applicable region $\rho(A)\leq…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Yao Zheng , Guang Cheng

This paper establishes problem-specific sample complexity lower bounds for linear system identification problems. The sample complexity is defined in the PAC framework: it corresponds to the time it takes to identify the system parameters…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-26 Yassir Jedra , Alexandre Proutiere

The effectiveness of non-parametric, kernel-based methods for function estimation comes at the price of high computational complexity, which hinders their applicability in adaptive, model-based control. Motivated by approximation techniques…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-17 Anna Scampicchio , Elena Arcari , Melanie N. Zeilinger

When modelling censored observations, a typical approach in current regression methods is to use a censored-Gaussian (i.e. Tobit) model to describe the conditional output distribution. In this paper, as in the case of missing data, we argue…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-05 Daniele Gammelli , Kasper Pryds Rolsted , Dario Pacino , Filipe Rodrigues

Stabilization of linear systems with unknown dynamics is a canonical problem in adaptive control. Since the lack of knowledge of system parameters can cause it to become destabilized, an adaptive stabilization procedure is needed prior to…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-25 Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh , Ambuj Tewari , George Michailidis

Methods to certify the robustness of neural networks in the presence of input uncertainty are vital in safety-critical settings. Most certification methods in the literature are designed for adversarial or worst-case inputs, but researchers…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-26 Brendon G. Anderson , Somayeh Sojoudi

This note presents a unified analysis of the identification of dynamical systems with low-rank constraints under high-dimensional scaling. This identification problem for dynamic systems are challenging due to the intrinsic dependency of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-23 Junlin Li

Uncertainty quantification is vital for decision-making and risk assessment in machine learning. Mean-variance regression models, which predict both a mean and residual noise for each data point, provide a simple approach to uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-01 Eliot Wong-Toi , Alex Boyd , Vincent Fortuin , Stephan Mandt

Reliability analysis aims at estimating the failure probability of an engineering system. It often requires multiple runs of a limit-state function, which usually relies on computationally intensive simulations. Traditionally, these…

Computation · Statistics 2024-01-22 Anderson V. Pires , Maliki Moustapha , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret