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The extreme value index (EVI) characterizes the tail behavior of a distribution and is crucial for extreme value theory. Inference on the EVI is challenging due to data scarcity in the tail region. We propose a novel method for constructing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-15 Yiwei Tang , Judy Huixia Wang , Deyuan Li

This paper introduces a method for spatial interpolation of extreme values, and in particular targets the case in which conventional data, resulting from a measurement for example, are available at only a few locations. To overcome this the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-13 B. D. Youngman

Extreme value statistics, or extreme statistics for short, refers to the statistics that characterizes rare events of either unusually high or low intensity: climate disasters like floods following extremely intense rains are among the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2013-11-11 R. Labbé , G. Bustamante

We study a continuous time branching process where an individual splits into two daughters with rate b and dies with rate a, starting from a single individual at t=0. We show that the model can be mapped exactly to a random walk problem…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-13 Satya N. Majumdar , Alberto Rosso

Extreme value theory for univariate and low-dimensional observations has been explored in considerable detail, but the field is still in an early stage regarding high-dimensional settings. This paper focuses on H\"usler-Reiss models, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Johannes Lederer , Marco Oesting

Motivated by the analysis of extreme rainfall data, we introduce a general Bayesian hierarchical model for estimating the probability distribution of extreme values of intermittent random sequences, a common problem in geophysical and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-26 Enrico Zorzetto , Antonio Canale , Marco Marani

Similar to the generalized extreme value (GEV) family, the generalized extreme value distributions under power normalization are introduced by Roudsari (1999) and Barakat et al. (2013). In this article, we study the asymptotic behavior of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-12-01 Ali Saeb

While records and order statistics of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables X_1, ..., X_N are fully understood, much less is known for strongly correlated random variables, which is often the situation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-06 Gregory Schehr , Satya N. Majumdar

We numerically study the extreme-value statistics of the Schmidt eigenvalues of reduced density matrices obtained from the ergodic eigenstates. We start by exploring the extreme value statistics of the ultrametric random matrices and then…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-02-03 Tanay Pathak

Extreme Value Theory (EVT) is one of the most commonly used approaches in finance for measuring the downside risk of investment portfolios, especially during financial crises. In this paper, we propose a novel approach based on EVT called…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-16 Hamidreza Arian , Hossein Poorvasei , Azin Sharifi , Shiva Zamani

We show that generalised extreme value statistics -the statistics of the k-th largest value among a large set of random variables- can be mapped onto a problem of random sums. This allows us to identify classes of non-identical and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Eric Bertin , Maxime Clusel

We study extremal statistics and return intervals in stationary long-range correlated sequences for which the underlying probability density function is bounded and uniform. The extremal statistics we consider e.g., maximum relative to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 N. R. Moloney , J. Davidsen

This book provides a comprehensive introduction for the study of extreme events in the context of dynamical systems. The introduction provides a broad overview of the interdisciplinary research area of extreme events, underlining its…

The problem of estimating return levels of river discharge, relevant in flood frequency analysis, is tackled by relying on the extreme value theory. The Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution is assumed to model annual maxima values…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-10 Aldo Gardini

Extremal dependence between international stock markets is of particular interest in today's global financial landscape. However, previous studies have shown this dependence is not necessarily stationary over time. We concern ourselves with…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-06 Daniela Castro Camilo , Miguel de Carvalho , Jennifer Wadsworth

We give conditions to prove the existence of an Extremal Index for general stationary stochastic processes by detecting the presence of one or more underlying periodic phenomena. This theory, besides giving general useful tools to identify…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-20 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd

We study distributional robustness in the context of Extreme Value Theory (EVT). We provide a data-driven method for estimating extreme quantiles in a manner that is robust against incorrect model assumptions underlying the application of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-09 Jose Blanchet , Fei He , Karthyek R. A. Murthy

We review some applications of central limit theorems and extreme values statistics in the context of disordered systems. We discuss several problems, in particular concerning Random Matrix Theory and the generalisation of the Tracy-Widom…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Giulio Biroli , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Potters

Extremes play a special role in Anomaly Detection. Beyond inference and simulation purposes, probabilistic tools borrowed from Extreme Value Theory (EVT), such as the angular measure, can also be used to design novel statistical learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-01 Nicolas Goix , Anne Sabourin , Stéphan Clémençon

We give a brief account of application of extreme value theory in dynamical systems by using perturbation techniques associated to the transfer operator. We will apply it to the baker's map and we will get a precise formula for the extremal…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-04 Jason Atnip , Nicolai Haydn , Sandro Vaienti