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Empirical researchers often use diagnostic checks to assess the plausibility of their modeling assumptions, such as testing for covariate balance in RCTs, pre-trends in event studies, or instrument validity in IV designs. While these checks…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-21 Reca Sarfati , Vod Vilfort

A risk analyst assesses potential financial losses based on multiple sources of information. Often, the assessment does not only depend on the specification of the loss random variable but also various economic scenarios. Motivated by this…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-02 Tolulope Fadina , Yang Liu , Ruodu Wang

Uncertainty is prevalent in engineering design, data-driven problems, and decision making broadly. Due to inherent risk-averseness and ambiguity about assumptions, it is common to address uncertainty by formulating and solving conservative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-05 Johannes O. Royset

We present a general framework for measuring the liquidity risk. The theoretical framework defines a class of risk measures that incorporate the liquidity risk into the standard risk measures. We consider a one-period risk measurement…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-31 Erindi Allaj

Studies often estimate associations between an outcome and multiple variates. For example, studies of diagnostic test accuracy estimate sensitivity and specificity, and studies of predictive and prognostic factors typically estimate…

Consider a problem of predicting a response variable using a set of covariates in a linear regression model. If it is \emph{a priori} known or suspected that a subset of the covariates do not significantly contribute to the overall fit of…

Applications · Statistics 2011-09-13 SM Enayetur Raheem , S. Ejaz Ahmed

Classically, risk is characterized by a point value probability indicating the likelihood of occurrence of an adverse effect. However, there are domains where the attainability of objective numerical risk characterizations is increasingly…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Paul J. Krause , John Fox , Philip Judson

Models continue to increase their already broad use across industry as well as their sophistication. Worldwide regulation oblige financial institutions to manage and address model risk with the same severity as any other type of risk, which…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-17 Zuzana Krajcovicova , Pedro Pablo Perez-Velasco , Carlos Vazquez

Multivariate regular variation plays a role assessing tail risk in diverse applications such as finance, telecommunications, insurance and environmental science. The classical theory, being based on an asymptotic model, sometimes leads to…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-31 Bikramjit Das , Abhimanyu Mitra , Sidney Resnick

The purpose of this paper is to give a selective survey on recent progress in random metric theory and its applications to conditional risk measures. This paper includes eight sections. Section 1 is a longer introduction, which gives a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-18 Tiexin Guo

The estimation of the extremal dependence structure is spoiled by the impact of the bias, which increases with the number of observations used for the estimation. Already known in the univariate setting, the bias correction procedure is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-03 Anne-Laure Fougères , Laurens de Haan , Cécile Mercadier

In this paper we study the effective degrees of freedom of a general class of reduced rank estimators for multivariate regression in the framework of Stein's unbiased risk estimation (SURE). We derive a finite-sample exact unbiased…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-04-23 Ashin Mukherjee , Kun Chen , Naisyin Wang , Ji Zhu

The paper presents a construction of a quantitative measure of variability for parameter estimates in the data fitting problem under interval uncertainty. It shows the degree of variability and ambiguity of the estimate, and the need for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-12 Sergey P. Shary

One of the most important studies in finance is to find out whether stock returns could be predicted. This research aims to create a new multivariate model, which includes dividend yield, earnings-to-price ratio, book-to-market ratio as…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-06 Jianying Xie

This chapter presents an introduction to robust statistics with applications of a chemometric nature. Following a description of the basic ideas and concepts behind robust statistics, including how robust estimators can be conceived, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-01 Peter Filzmoser , Sven Serneels , Ricardo Maronna , Christophe Croux

In this paper, we study properties of certain risk measures associated with acceptance sets. These sets describe regulatory preconditions that have to be fulfilled by financial institutions to pass a given acceptance test. If the financial…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-07 Marcel Marohn , Christiane Tammer

Stochastic optimization problems often involve the expectation in its objective. When risk is incorporated in the problem description as well, then risk measures have to be involved in addition to quantify the acceptable risk, often in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-18 Alois Pichler

Expected Shortfall (ES), also known as superquantile or Conditional Value-at-Risk, has been recognized as an important measure in risk analysis and stochastic optimization, and is also finding applications beyond these areas. In finance, it…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-13 Xuming He , Kean Ming Tan , Wen-Xin Zhou

In this paper the problem of retrospective change-point detection and estimation in multivariate linear models is considered. The lower bounds for the error of change-point estimation are proved in different cases (one change-point:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-10-27 Boris Brodsky , Boris Darkhovsky

The banking systems that deal with risk management depend on underlying risk measures. Following the Basel II accord, there are two separate methods by which banks may determine their capital requirement. The Value at Risk measure plays an…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Dominique Guégan , Wayne Tarrant
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