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In this paper, we propose a new and unified approach for nonparametric regression and conditional distribution learning. Our approach simultaneously estimates a regression function and a conditional generator using a generative learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-28 Shanshan Song , Tong Wang , Guohao Shen , Yuanyuan Lin , Jian Huang

Estimating the expectation of a real-valued function of a random variable from sample data is a critical aspect of statistical analysis, with far-reaching implications in various applications. Current methodologies typically assume…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Paweł Lorek , Rafał Nowak , Rafał Topolnicki , Tomasz Trzciński , Maciej Zięba , Aleksandra Krystecka

Calibration weighting is a fundamental technique in survey sampling and data integration for incorporating auxiliary information and improving efficiency of estimators. Classical calibration methods are typically formulated through distance…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Jae Kwang Kim , Yonghyun Kwon , Yumou Qiu

Boltzmann sampling is commonly used to uniformly sample objects of a particular size from large combinatorial sets. For this technique to be effective, one needs to prove that (1) the sampling procedure is efficient and (2) objects of the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Megan Bernstein , Matthew Fahrbach , Dana Randall

Diffusion-based models decompose sampling into many small Gaussian denoising steps -- an assumption that breaks down when generation is compressed to a few coarse transitions. Existing few-step methods address this through distillation,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Jiatao Gu , Tianrong Chen , Ying Shen , David Berthelot , Shuangfei Zhai , Josh Susskind

Generative modeling of physical systems, such as molecules, requires learning distributions that are invariant under global symmetries, such as rotations in three-dimensional space. Equivariant diffusion and flow matching models can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Samir Darouich , Vinh Tong , Lluís Pastor-Pérez , Tanja Bien , Loay Mualem , Mathias Niepert

Sampling configurations at thermodynamic equilibrium is a central challenge in statistical physics. Boltzmann Generators (BGs) tackle it by combining a generative model with a Monte Carlo (MC) correction step to obtain asymptotically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-30 Louis Grenioux , Maxence Noble

Diffusion-based trajectory planners can synthesize rich, multimodal action sequences for offline reinforcement learning, but their iterative denoising incurs substantial inference-time cost, making closed-loop planning slow under tight…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Gokul Puthumanaillam , Melkior Ornik

An explicit first-order drift-randomized Milstein scheme for a regime switching stochastic differential equation is proposed and its bi-stability and rate of strong convergence are investigated for a non-differentiable drift coefficient.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Divyanshu Vashistha , Chaman Kumar

We consider amortized Bayesian inference for nonlinear inverse problems in settings where only samples from the joint distribution of parameters and observations are available. Classical methods such as Markov chain Monte Carlo require…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Hojjat Kaveh , Ricardo Baptista , Andrew M. Stuart

Unnormalized probability distributions are central to modeling complex physical systems across various scientific domains. Traditional sampling methods, such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), often suffer from slow convergence, critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Vikas Kanaujia , Vipul Arora

Addressing real-world optimization problems becomes particularly challenging when analytic objective functions or constraints are unavailable. While numerous studies have addressed the issue of unknown objectives, limited research has…

Sampling efficiently from a target unnormalized probability density remains a core challenge, with relevance across countless high-impact scientific applications. A promising approach towards this challenge is the design of amortized…

We study the problem of unbiased estimation of expectations with respect to (w.r.t.) $\pi$ a given, general probability measure on $(\mathbb{R}^d,\mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R}^d))$ that is absolutely continuous with respect to a standard Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-26 Hamza Ruzayqat , Alexandros Beskos , Dan Crisan , Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

It is a crucial challenge to reconstruct population dynamics using unlabeled samples from distributions at coarse time intervals. Recent approaches such as flow-based models or Schr\"odinger Bridge (SB) models have demonstrated appealing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-06 Tianrong Chen , Guan-Horng Liu , Molei Tao , Evangelos A. Theodorou

We consider a typical learning problem of point estimations for modeling of nonlinear functions or dynamical systems in which generalization, i.e., verifying a given learned model, can be embedded as an integral part of the learning process…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-06 Getachew K. Befekadu

Several new methods have been proposed for performing valid inference after model selection. An older method is sampling splitting: use part of the data for model selection and part for inference. In this paper we revisit sample splitting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-04 Alessandro Rinaldo , Larry Wasserman , Max G'Sell , Jing Lei

We introduce a nonparametric approach for estimating drift and diffusion functions in systems of stochastic differential equations from observations of the state vector. Gaussian processes are used as flexible models for these functions and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-08-15 Philipp Batz , Andreas Ruttor , Manfred Opper

The Drift-Diffusion Model (DDM) is widely used in neuropsychological studies to understand the decision process by incorporating both reaction times and subjects' responses. Various models have been developed to estimate DDM parameters,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-03 Zekai Jin , Yaakov Stern , Seonjoo Lee

Sampling from unnormalized target distributions, e.g.\ Boltzmann distributions $\mu_{\text{target}}(x) \propto \exp(-E(x)/T)$, is fundamental to many scientific applications yet computationally challenging due to complex, high-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-22 Niclas Dern , Lennart Redl , Sebastian Pfister , Marcel Kollovieh , David Lüdke , Stephan Günnemann