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Hidden semi-Markov models (HSMMs) are latent variable models which allow latent state persistence and can be viewed as a generalization of the popular hidden Markov models (HMMs). In this paper, we introduce a novel spectral algorithm to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-01 Igor Melnyk , Arindam Banerjee

This work attempts to approximate a linear Gaussian system with a finite-state hidden Markov model (HMM), which is found useful in solving sophisticated event-based state estimation problems. An indirect modeling approach is developed,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-10 Kaikai Zheng , Dawei Shi , Ling Shi

Factorial Hidden Markov Models (FHMMs) are powerful models for sequential data but they do not scale well with long sequences. We propose a scalable inference and learning algorithm for FHMMs that draws on ideas from the stochastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-31 Yin Cheng Ng , Pawel Chilinski , Ricardo Silva

Hidden Markov Model (HMM) combined with Gaussian Process (GP) emission can be effectively used to estimate the hidden state with a sequence of complex input-output relational observations. Especially when the spectral mixture (SM) kernel is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-08 Yohan Jung , Jinkyoo Park

Over the last decade, hidden Markov models (HMMs) have become increasingly popular in statistical ecology, where they constitute natural tools for studying animal behavior based on complex sensor data. Corresponding analyses sometimes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-15 Jan-Ole Koslik , Carlina C. Feldmann , Sina Mews , Rouven Michels , Roland Langrock

Hidden semi-Markov Models (HSMM's) - while broadly in use - are restricted to a discrete and uniform time grid. They are thus not well suited to explain often irregularly spaced discrete event data from continuous-time phenomena. We show…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-18 Nicolai Engelmann , Heinz Koeppl

The hidden Markov model (HMM) is a fundamental tool for sequence modeling that cleanly separates the hidden state from the emission structure. However, this separation makes it difficult to fit HMMs to large datasets in modern NLP, and they…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Justin T. Chiu , Alexander M. Rush

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) comprise a powerful generative approach for modeling sequential data and time-series in general. However, the commonly employed assumption of the dependence of the current time frame to a single or multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-13 Konstantinos P. Panousis , Sotirios Chatzis , Sergios Theodoridis

Likelihood-free inference methods based on neural conditional density estimation were shown to drastically reduce the simulation burden in comparison to classical methods such as ABC. When applied in the context of any latent variable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-06 Sanmitra Ghosh , Paul J. Birrell , Daniela De Angelis

In this paper, we explore the class of the Hidden Semi-Markov Model (HSMM), a flexible extension of the popular Hidden Markov Model (HMM) that allows the underlying stochastic process to be a semi-Markov chain. HSMMs are typically used less…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-26 Patrick Aschermayr , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are commonly used to model animal movement data and infer aspects of animal behavior. An HMM assumes that each data point from a time series of observations stems from one of $N$ possible states. The states are…

Stochastic gradient MCMC (SG-MCMC) algorithms have proven useful in scaling Bayesian inference to large datasets under an assumption of i.i.d data. We instead develop an SG-MCMC algorithm to learn the parameters of hidden Markov models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-16 Yi-An Ma , Nicholas J. Foti , Emily B. Fox

We propose the Gaussian-Linear Hidden Markov model (GLHMM), a generalisation of different types of HMMs commonly used in neuroscience. In short, the GLHMM is a general framework where linear regression is used to flexibly parameterise the…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-02 Diego Vidaurre , Laura Masaracchia , Nick Y. Larsen , Lenno R. P. T Ruijters , Sonsoles Alonso , Christine Ahrends , Mark W. Woolrich

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) can be accurately approximated using co-occurrence frequencies of pairs and triples of observations by using a fast spectral method in contrast to the usual slow methods like EM or Gibbs sampling. We provide a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-03-29 Dean P. Foster , Jordan Rodu , Lyle H. Ungar

The Hidden Markov Model (HMM) is a widely-used statistical model for handling sequential data. However, the presence of missing observations in real-world datasets often complicates the application of the model. The EM algorithm and Gibbs…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-06 Dongrong Li , Tianwei Yu , Xiaodan Fan

State space models have long played an important role in signal processing. The Gaussian case can be treated algorithmically using the famous Kalman filter. Similarly since the 1970s there has been extensive application of Hidden Markov…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Peter Bickel , Yaacov Ritov , Tobias Rydén

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) have been used increasingly to understand how movement patterns of animals arise from behavioural states. An animal is assumed to transition between behavioural states through time, as described by transition…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-07 Théo Michelot , Emma Storey

State Space Models (SSMs) and Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) are foundational frameworks for modeling sequential data with latent variables and are widely used in signal processing, control theory, and machine learning. Despite their shared…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Aydin Ghojogh , M. Hadi Sepanj , Benyamin Ghojogh

A Hidden Markov Model (HMM) is a common statistical model which is widely used for analysis of biological sequence data and other sequential phenomena. In the present paper we show how HMMs can be extended with side-constraints and present…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-08-02 Henning Christiansen , Christian Theil Have , Ole Torp Lassen , Matthieu Petit

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are probabilistic methods in which observations are seen as realizations of a latent Markov process with discrete states that switch over time. Moving beyond standard statistical tests, HMMs offer a statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 S. Mildiner Moraga , E. Aarts
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