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Simulation schemes for probabilistic inference in Bayesian belief networks offer many advantages over exact algorithms; for example, these schemes have a linear and thus predictable runtime while exact algorithms have exponential runtime.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Remco R. Bouckaert

In many scientific applications, the target probability distribution cannot be evaluated in closed form or sampled from directly. Instead, it can often be decomposed into multiple components, some of which are accessible only through…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Roxana Darvishi , David C. Stenning , Ted von Hippel , Owen G. Ward

The generation of pseudo-random discrete probability distributions is of paramount importance for a wide range of stochastic simulations spanning from Monte Carlo methods to the random sampling of quantum states for investigations in…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-07-02 Jonas Maziero

The AMAS group at the Paul Scherrer Institute developed an object oriented library for high performance simulation of high intensity ion beam transport with space charge. Such particle-in-cell (PIC) simulations require a method to generate…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-05-17 Christian Baumgarten

We consider solution of stochastic storage problems through regression Monte Carlo (RMC) methods. Taking a statistical learning perspective, we develop the dynamic emulation algorithm (DEA) that unifies the different existing approaches in…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-02 Michael Ludkovski , Aditya Maheshwari

In this paper, we present a sparse grid-based Monte Carlo method for solving high-dimensional semi-linear nonlocal diffusion equations with volume constraints. The nonlocal model is governed by a class of semi-linear partial…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Changtao Sheng , Bihao Su , Chenglong Xu

This paper proposes a comprehensive and unprecedented framework that streamlines the derivation of exact, compact -- yet tractable -- solutions for the probability density function (PDF) and cumulative distribution function (CDF) of the sum…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-04 Fernando Darío Almeida García , Michel Daoud Yacoub , José Cândido Silveira Santos Filho

In this paper we present a general, axiomatical framework for the rigorous approximation of invariant densities and other important statistical features of dynamics. We approximate the system trough a finite element reduction, by composing…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Stefano Galatolo , Maurizio Monge , Isaia Nisoli , Federico Poloni

This paper proposes a new framework to regularize the highly ill-posed and non-linear phase retrieval problem through deep generative priors using simple gradient descent algorithm. We experimentally show effectiveness of proposed algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-20 Fahad Shamshad , Ali Ahmed

This work considers two distinct settings: imitation learning and goal-conditioned reinforcement learning. In either case, effective solutions require the agent to reliably reach a specified state (a goal), or set of states (a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Yannick Schroecker , Charles Isbell

We introduce methods for estimating the spectral density of a random field on a $d$-dimensional lattice from incomplete gridded data. Data are iteratively imputed onto an expanded lattice according to a model with a periodic covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-12 Joseph Guinness

The efficient representation of random fields on geometrically complex domains is crucial for Bayesian modelling in engineering and machine learning. Today's prevalent random field representations are either intended for unbounded domains…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Kim Jie Koh , Fehmi Cirak

The challenge of quantifying uncertainty propagation in real-world systems is rooted in the high-dimensionality of the stochastic input and the frequent lack of explicit knowledge of its probability distribution. Traditional approaches show…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Huan Lei , Jing Li , Peiyuan Gao , Panos Stinis , Nathan Baker

Most signal processing problems involve the challenging task of multidimensional probability density function (PDF) estimation. In this work, we propose a solution to this problem by using a family of Rotation-based Iterative…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-02 Valero Laparra , Gustavo Camps-Valls , Jesús Malo

Raking is widely used in categorical data modeling and survey practice but faced with methodological and computational challenges. We develop a Bayesian paradigm for raking by incorporating the marginal constraints as a prior distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-24 Yajuan Si , Peigen Zhou

Robust Bayesian inference using density power divergence (DPD) has emerged as a promising approach for handling outliers in statistical estimation. Although the DPD-based posterior offers theoretical guarantees of robustness, its practical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-11 Naruki Sonobe , Tomotaka Momozaki , Tomoyuki Nakagawa

The aim of this paper is to introduce a new Monte Carlo method based on importance sampling techniques for the simulation of stochastic differential equations. The main idea is to combine random walk on squares or rectangles methods with…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-22 Madalina Deaconu , Antoine Lejay

Conditional Density Estimation (CDE) models deal with estimating conditional distributions. The conditions imposed on the distribution are the inputs of the model. CDE is a challenging task as there is a fundamental trade-off between model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-31 Vincent Dutordoir , Hugh Salimbeni , Marc Deisenroth , James Hensman

Nested simulation is a natural approach to tackle nested estimation problems in operations research and financial engineering. The outer-level simulation generates outer scenarios and the inner-level simulations are run in each outer…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-31 Kun Zhang , Ben Mingbin Feng , Guangwu Liu , Shiyu Wang

We consider the problem of making nonparametric inference in a class of multi-dimensional diffusions in divergence form, from low-frequency data. Statistical analysis in this setting is notoriously challenging due to the intractability of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-23 Matteo Giordano , Sven Wang
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