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Risk scores are simple classification models that let users make quick risk predictions by adding and subtracting a few small numbers. These models are widely used in medicine and criminal justice, but are difficult to learn from data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-21 Berk Ustun , Cynthia Rudin

We study randomized algorithms for constrained optimization, in abstract frameworks that include, in strictly increasing generality: convex programming; LP-type problems; violator spaces; and a setting we introduce, consistent spaces. Such…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Kenneth L. Clarkson , Bernd Gärtner , Johannes Lengler , May Szedlak

Contextual stochastic optimization is an advanced methodology to model uncertainty in the presence of contextual information during decision planning processes. Although classical methodologies focus on minimizing the expectation of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Man Yiu Tsang , Tony Sit , Hoi Ying Wong

Algorithms for rare event complex systems simulations are proposed. Compressed Sensing (CS) has {\it revolutionized} our understanding of limits in signal recovery and has forced us to re-define Shannon-Nyquist sampling theorem for sparse…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-04-27 Mehmet Süzen

Scenario generation is an effective data-driven method for solving chance-constrained optimization while ensuring desired risk guarantees with a finite number of samples. Crucial challenges in deploying this technique in the real world…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-04 Qian Zhang , Apurv Shukla , Le Xie

We propose a flexible scenario-based regularized Sample Average Approximation (SBR-SAA) framework for stochastic optimization. This work is motivated by challenges in standard Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization (WDRO), where…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-21 Diego Fonseca , Mauricio Junca

When dealing with real-world optimization problems, decision-makers usually face high levels of uncertainty associated with partial information, unknown parameters, or complex relationships between these and the problem decision variables.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-01 Antonio Alcántara , Carlos Ruiz

Rare events are events that are expected to occur infrequently, or more technically, those that have low probabilities (say, order of $10^{-3}$ or less) of occurring according to a probability model. In the context of uncertainty…

Computation · Statistics 2015-08-21 James L. Beck , Konstantin M. Zuev

Simulation offers a simple and flexible way to estimate the power of a clinical trial when analytic formulae are not available. The computational burden of using simulation has, however, restricted its application to only the simplest of…

Estimating rare events in complex systems is a key challenge in reliability analysis. The challenge grows in multimodal problems, where traditional methods often rely on a small set of design points and risk overlooking critical failure…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-04 Sara Helal , Victor Elvira

Rare event simulation and estimation for systems in equilibrium are among the most challenging topics in molecular dynamics. As was shown by Jarzynski and others, nonequilibrium forcing can theoretically be used to obtain equilibrium rare…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-06-11 Carsten Hartmann , Christof Schütte

We study rare-event simulation for a class of problems where the target hitting sets of interest are defined via modern machine learning tools such as neural networks and random forests. This problem is motivated from fast emerging studies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Yuanlu Bai , Zhiyuan Huang , Henry Lam , Ding Zhao

The scenario approach provides a powerful data-driven framework for designing solutions under uncertainty with rigorous probabilistic robustness guarantees. Existing theory, however, primarily addresses assessing robustness with respect to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-02 Simone Garatti , Lucrezia Manieri , Alessandro Falsone , Algo Carè , Marco C. Campi , Maria Prandini

Chance-constrained optimization has emerged as a promising framework for managing uncertainties in power systems. This work advances its application to the DC Optimal Power Flow (DC-OPF) model, developing a novel approach to uncertainty…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-18 Tianyang Yi , D. Adrian Maldonado , Anirudh Subramanyam

We consider the Scenario Convex Program (SCP) for two classes of optimization problems that are not tractable in general: Robust Convex Programs (RCPs) and Chance-Constrained Programs (CCPs). We establish a probabilistic bridge from the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-06-18 Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Tobias Sutter , John Lygeros

We investigate the connections between compression learning and scenario based optimization. We first show how to strengthen, or relax the consistency assumption at the basis of compression learning and study the learning and generalization…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-03-07 Kostas Margellos , Maria Prandini , John Lygeros

This paper proposes distributed algorithms to solve robust convex optimization (RCO) when the constraints are affected by nonlinear uncertainty. We adopt a scenario approach by randomly sampling the uncertainty set. To facilitate the…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2018-01-16 Keyou You , Roberto Tempo , Pei Xie

An algorithm is proposed, analyzed, and tested for solving continuous nonlinear-equality-constrained optimization problems where the objective and constraint functions are defined by expectations or averages over large, finite numbers of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-14 Frank E. Curtis , Lingjun Guo , Daniel P. Robinson

Chance constraints are frequently used to limit the probability of constraint violations in real-world optimization problems where the constraints involve stochastic components. We study chance-constrained submodular optimization problems,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-27 Xiankun Yan , Anh Viet Do , Feng Shi , Xiaoyu Qin , Frank Neumann

The best practical techniques for exact solution of instances of the constrained maximum-entropy sampling problem, a discrete-optimization problem arising in the design of experiments, are via a branch-and-bound framework, working with a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-19 Zhongzhu Chen , Marcia Fampa , Jon Lee