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In reliability analysis, methods used to estimate failure probability are often limited by the costs associated with model evaluations. Many of these methods, such as multifidelity importance sampling (MFIS), rely upon a computationally…

Stochastic variance reduced optimization methods are known to be globally convergent while they suffer from slow local convergence, especially when moderate or high accuracy is needed. To alleviate this problem, we propose an optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-15 Hamed Sadeghi , Pontus Giselsson

Numerical simulations are crucial for modeling complex systems, but calibrating them becomes challenging when data are noisy or incomplete and likelihood evaluations are computationally expensive. Bayesian calibration offers an interesting…

The paper provides global optimization algorithms for two particularly difficult nonconvex problems raised by hybrid system identification: switching linear regression and bounded-error estimation. While most works focus on local…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-27 Fabien Lauer

Designing an inexpensive approximate surrogate model that captures the salient features of an expensive high-fidelity behavior is a prevalent approach in design optimization. In recent times, Deep Learning (DL) models are being used as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Harsh Vardhan , Janos Sztipanovits

We propose an efficient algorithm that combines overlapping domain decomposition and proper generalized decomposition (PGD) to construct surrogate models of linear elliptic parametric problems. The technique is composed of an offline and an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-09-16 Marco Discacciati , Ben J. Evans , Matteo Giacomini

In decision-making problems under uncertainty, predicting unknown parameters is often considered independent of the optimization part. Decision-focused learning (DFL) is a task-oriented framework that integrates prediction and optimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Haeun Jeon , Hyunglip Bae , Minsu Park , Chanyeong Kim , Woo Chang Kim

Estimating the probability of rare failure events is an essential step in the reliability assessment of engineering systems. Computing this failure probability for complex non-linear systems is challenging, and has recently spurred the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-10 P. -R. Wagner , S. Marelli , I. Papaioannou , D. Straub , B. Sudret

We propose a new method, the continuous Galerkin method with globally and locally supported basis functions (CG-GL), to address the parametric robustness issues of reduced-order models (ROMs) by incorporating solution-based adaptivity with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-10-10 Han Gao , Matthew J. Zahr

Global optimization of expensive functions has important applications in physical and computer experiments. It is a challenging problem to develop efficient optimization scheme, because each function evaluation can be costly and the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-22 Ray-Bing Chen , Yuan Wang , C. F. Jeff Wu

An important task of uncertainty quantification is to identify {the probability of} undesired events, in particular, system failures, caused by various sources of uncertainties. In this work we consider the construction of Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-20 Hongqiao Wang , Guang Lin , Jinglai Li

This paper considers the classical problem of sampling with Monte Carlo methods a target rare event distribution defined by a score function that is very expensive to compute. We assume we can build using evaluations of the true score, an…

Computation · Statistics 2024-10-25 Frédéric Cérou , Patrick Héas , Mathias Rousset

Gaussian process (GP) surrogate modeling for large computer experiments is limited by cubic runtimes, especially with data from stochastic simulations with input-dependent noise. A popular workaround to reduce computational complexity…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-01 D Austin Cole , Robert B Gramacy , Mike Ludkovski

In this paper, we introduce a new heuristics for global optimization in scenarios where extensive evaluations of the cost function are expensive, inaccessible, or even prohibitive. The method, which we call Landscape-Sketch-and-Step (LSS),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Rafael Monteiro , Kartik Sau

The aim of the present paper is to develop a strategy for solving reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) problems that remains applicable when the performance models are expensive to evaluate. Starting with the premise that…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-04-20 V. Dubourg , B. Sudret , J. -M. Bourinet

Studying complex phenomena in detail by performing real experiments is often an unfeasible task. Virtual experiments using simulations are usually used to support the development process. However, numerical simulations are limited by their…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-17 Pietro Lualdi , Ralf Sturm , Tjark Siefkes

Gaussian processes (GPs) serve as flexible surrogates for complex surfaces, but buckle under the cubic cost of matrix decompositions with big training data sizes. Geospatial and machine learning communities suggest pseudo-inputs, or…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-05 D. Austin Cole , Ryan Christianson , Robert B. Gramacy

Running a reliability analysis on engineering problems involving complex numerical models can be computationally very expensive, requiring advanced simulation methods to reduce the overall numerical cost. Gaussian process based active…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-01 Morgane Menz , Sylvain Dubreuil , Jérôme Morio , Christian Gogu , Nathalie Bartoli , Marie Chiron

Surrogates in lieu of expensive-to-evaluate performance functions can accelerate the reliability analysis greatly. This paper proposes a new two-stage framework for surrogate-aided reliability analysis named Surrogates for Importance…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-01-29 Wang-Sheng Liu , Sai Hung Cheung , Wen-Jun Cao

We introduce a novel adaptive Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) methodology for efficient construction of surrogate models for Bayesian inverse problems with expensive forward model evaluations. An adaptive design strategy focuses on…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-01 Paolo Villani , Jörg Unger , Martin Weiser