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Incomplete data are a common feature in many domains, from clinical trials to industrial applications. Bayesian networks (BNs) are often used in these domains because of their graphical and causal interpretations. BN parameter learning from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-13 Andrea Ruggieri , Francesco Stranieri , Fabio Stella , Marco Scutari

Deep learning-based methods deliver state-of-the-art performance for solving inverse problems that arise in computational imaging. These methods can be broadly divided into two groups: (1) learn a network to map measurements to the signal…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-11 Nebiyou Yismaw , Ulugbek S. Kamilov , M. Salman Asif

Standard deep learning methods, such as Ensemble Models, Bayesian Neural Networks and Quantile Regression Models provide estimates to prediction uncertainties for data-driven deep learning models. However, they can be limited in their…

Gradient boosting machines (GBMs) based on decision trees consistently demonstrate state-of-the-art results on regression and classification tasks with tabular data, often outperforming deep neural networks. However, these models do not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Tristan Cinquin , Tammo Rukat , Philipp Schmidt , Martin Wistuba , Artur Bekasov

Although large language models (LLMs) are highly interactive and extendable, current approaches to ensure reliability in deployments remain mostly limited to rejecting outputs with high uncertainty in order to avoid misinformation. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 T. Duy Nguyen-Hien , Desi R. Ivanova , Yee Whye Teh , Wee Sun Lee

(Artificial) neural networks have become increasingly popular in mechanics to accelerate computations with model order reduction techniques and as universal models for a wide variety of materials. However, the major disadvantage of neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-13 Arnd Koeppe , Franz Bamer , Michael Selzer , Britta Nestler , Bernd Markert

Gradient boosting from the field of statistical learning is widely known as a powerful framework for estimation and selection of predictor effects in various regression models by adapting concepts from classification theory. Current…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-03 Colin Griesbach , Benjamin Säfken , Elisabeth Waldmann

Molecular property prediction is a crucial task that guides the design of new compounds, including drugs and materials. While explainable artificial intelligence methods aim to scrutinize model predictions by identifying influential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Łukasz Janisiów , Marek Kochańczyk , Bartosz Zieliński , Tomasz Danel

Geographic distribution shift arises when the distribution of locations on Earth in a training dataset is different from what is seen at inference time. Using standard empirical risk minimization (ERM) in this setting can lead to uneven…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Ruth Crasto , Esther Rolf

We introduce a new predictive mechanism that operates in the presence of hidden confounding across distributionally diverse data sources while ensuring consistent estimation of causal parameters-despite their recognized suboptimality for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Carlos García Meixide , David Ríos Insua

Artificial intelligence (AI) provides considerable opportunities to assist human work. However, one crucial challenge of human-AI collaboration is that many AI algorithms operate in a black-box manner where the way how the AI makes…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-06-13 Julian Senoner , Simon Schallmoser , Bernhard Kratzwald , Stefan Feuerriegel , Torbjørn Netland

The Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architecture has enabled the creation of massive yet efficient Large Language Models (LLMs). However, the standard deterministic routing mechanism presents a significant limitation: its inherent brittleness is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Albus Yizhuo Li

We present a unified probabilistic gradient boosting framework for regression tasks that models and predicts the entire conditional distribution of a univariate response variable as a function of covariates. Our likelihood-based approach…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-05 Alexander März , Thomas Kneib

Explanations in interactive machine-learning systems facilitate debugging and improving prediction models. However, the effectiveness of various global model-centric and data-centric explanations in aiding domain experts to detect and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-02 Aditya Bhattacharya , Simone Stumpf , Lucija Gosak , Gregor Stiglic , Katrien Verbert

Energy-based models (EBM) have become increasingly popular within computer vision. EBMs bring a probabilistic approach to training deep neural networks (DNN) and have been shown to enhance performance in areas such as calibration,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Jacob Piland , Christopher Sweet , Priscila Saboia , Charles Vardeman , Adam Czajka

Turbulence Models represent the workhorse for simulations used in engineering design and analysis. Despite their low computational cost and robustness, these models suffer from substantial predictive uncertainty, most of which is epistemic.…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-09-05 Minghan Chu , Weicheng Qian

In recent years, machine learning has witnessed extensive adoption across various sectors, yet its application in medical image-based disease detection and diagnosis remains challenging due to distribution shifts in real-world data. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Masoumeh Javanbakhat , Md Tasnimul Hasan , Cristoph Lippert

Improving the representation of precipitation in Earth system models (ESMs) is critical for assessing the impacts of climate change and especially of extreme events like floods and droughts. In existing ESMs, precipitation is not resolved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Michael Aich , Sebastian Bathiany , Philipp Hess , Yu Huang , Niklas Boers

This paper aims to improve the explainability of Autoencoder's (AE) predictions by proposing two explanation methods based on the mean and epistemic uncertainty of log-likelihood estimate, which naturally arise from the probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Bang Xiang Yong , Alexandra Brintrup

While energy-based models (EBMs) exhibit a number of desirable properties, training and sampling on high-dimensional datasets remains challenging. Inspired by recent progress on diffusion probabilistic models, we present a diffusion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Ruiqi Gao , Yang Song , Ben Poole , Ying Nian Wu , Diederik P. Kingma