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Markov branching systems form a fundamental class of stochastic models that are extensively applied in biology, physics, finance, and other domains. These systems are distinguished by their continuous-time evolution and inherent branching…

We consider a hidden Markov model, where the signal process, given by a diffusion, is only indirectly observed through some noisy measurements. The article develops a variational method for approximating the hidden states of the signal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-26 Tobias Sutter , Arnab Ganguly , Heinz Koeppl

Applications of stochastic models often involve the evaluation of steady-state performance, which requires solving a set of balance equations. In most cases of interest, the number of equations is infinite or even uncountable. As a result,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-08 Shukai Li , Sanjay Mehrotra

We analyze the exponential stability of distributed parameter systems. The system we consider is described by a coupled parabolic partial differential equation with spatially varying coefficients. We approximate the coefficients by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-21 Masashi Wakaiki

Learned models and policies can generalize effectively when evaluated within the distribution of the training data, but can produce unpredictable and erroneous outputs on out-of-distribution inputs. In order to avoid distribution shift when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Katie Kang , Paula Gradu , Jason Choi , Michael Janner , Claire Tomlin , Sergey Levine

We consider a basic model of a dynamical distribution network, modeled as a directed graph with storage variables corresponding to every vertex and flow inputs corresponding to every edge, subject to unknown but constant inflows and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-03-21 Jieqiang Wei , Arjan J. van der Schaft

In this paper, by using a characterization of functions having fractional derivative, we propose a rigorous fractional Lyapunov function candidate method to analyze stability of fractional-order nonlinear systems. First, we prove an…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2018-01-16 H. T. Tuan , Hieu Trinh

Proper states' representations are the key to the successful dynamics modeling of chaotic systems. Inspired by recent advances of deep representations in various areas such as natural language processing and computer vision, we propose the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-02-13 Anna Shalova , Ivan Oseledets

We consider a problem of statistical estimation of an unknown drift parameter for a stochastic differential equation driven by fractional Brownian motion. Two estimators based on discrete observations of solution to the stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-26 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ral'chenko , Oleg Seleznev , Georgiy Shevchenko

We introduce a new random graph model motivated by biological questions relating to speciation. This random graph is defined as the stationary distribution of a Markov chain on the space of graphs on $\{1, \ldots, n\}$. The dynamics of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-24 François Bienvenu , Florence Débarre , Amaury Lambert

This paper presents novel stabilizability conditions for switched linear systems with arbitrary and uncontrollable underlying switching signals. We distinguish and study two particular settings: i) the \emph{robust} case, in which the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Matteo Della Rossa , Thiago Alves Lima , Marc Jungers , Raphaël M. Jungers

Deep sequence models are receiving significant interest in current machine learning research. By representing probability distributions that are fit to data using maximum likelihood estimation, such models can model data on general…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-09 Kristian Løvland , Bjarne Grimstad , Lars Struen Imsland

This work aims at providing a new model for time series classification based on learning from just one example. We assume that time series can be well characterized as a parametric random process, a sort of Hidden semi-Markov Model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-18 Adrián Pérez Herrero , Paulo Félix Lamas , Jesús María Rodríguez Presedo

We address stability of a class of Markovian discrete-time stochastic hybrid systems. This class of systems is characterized by the state-space of the system being partitioned into a safe or target set and its exterior, and the dynamics of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-03-09 Debasish Chatterjee , Soumik Pal

Direct simulation of biomolecular dynamics in thermal equilibrium is challenging due to the metastable nature of conformation dynamics and the computational cost of molecular dynamics. Biased or enhanced sampling methods may improve the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-06-12 Benjamin Trendelkamp-Schroer , Frank Noe

Lyapunov drift and Lyapunov optimization are powerful techniques for optimizing time averages in stochastic queueing networks subject to stability. However, there are various definitions of queue stability in the literature, and the most…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-10-28 Michael J. Neely

We study safe, data-driven control of (Markov) jump linear systems with unknown transition probabilities, where both the discrete mode and the continuous state are to be inferred from output measurements. To this end, we develop a receding…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-07 Mathijs Schuurmans , Panagiotis Patrinos

This paper deals with identifiability of undirected dynamical networks with single-integrator node dynamics. We assume that the graph structure of such networks is known, and aim to find graph-theoretic conditions under which the state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-24 Henk J. van Waarde , Pietro Tesi , M. Kanat Camlibel

We decide the stability and compute the Lyapunov exponent of continuous-time linear switching systems with a guaranteed dwell time. The main result asserts that the discretization method with step size~$h$ approximates the Lyapunov exponent…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-08 Thomas Mejstrik , Vladimir Yu. Protasov

This paper proposes methods for identification of large-scale networked systems with guarantees that the resulting model will be contracting -- a strong form of nonlinear stability -- and/or monotone, i.e. order relations between states are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-02 Max Revay , Jack Umenberger , Ian R. Manchester