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In this paper we introduce a binary search algorithm that efficiently finds initial maximum likelihood estimates for sequential experiments where a binary response is modeled by a continuous factor. The problem is motivated by switching…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-08-27 Juha Karvanen

With new advancements in technology, it is now possible to collect data for a variety of different metrics describing tumor growth, including tumor volume, composition, and vascularity, among others. For any proposed model of tumor growth…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-08 Heyrim Cho , Allison L. Lewis , Kathleen M. Storey

We introduce a gradient-based approach for the problem of Bayesian optimal experimental design to learn causal models in a batch setting -- a critical component for causal discovery from finite data where interventions can be costly or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-05 Yashas Annadani , Panagiotis Tigas , Desi R. Ivanova , Andrew Jesson , Yarin Gal , Adam Foster , Stefan Bauer

Bayesian optimisation (BO) is a well-known efficient algorithm for finding the global optimum of expensive, black-box functions. The current practical BO algorithms have regret bounds ranging from $\mathcal{O}(\frac{logN}{\sqrt{N}})$ to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Hung Tran-The , Sunil Gupta , Santu Rana , Svetha Venkatesh

Motivated by various distributed control applications, we consider a linear system with Gaussian noise observed by multiple sensors which transmit measurements over a dynamic lossy network. We characterize the stationary optimal sensor…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-11 Hassan Hmedi , Johnson Carroll , Ari Arapostathis

Correctly setting the parameters of a production machine is essential to improve product quality, increase efficiency, and reduce production costs while also supporting sustainability goals. Identifying optimal parameters involves an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-24 Philipp Wagner , Tobias Nagel , Philipp Leube , Marco F. Huber

Bayesian optimisation is a popular, surrogate model-based approach for optimising expensive black-box functions. Given a surrogate model, the next location to expensively evaluate is chosen via maximisation of a cheap-to-query acquisition…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-31 George De Ath , Richard M. Everson , Jonathan E. Fieldsend , Alma A. M. Rahat

Bayesian Optimization is a useful tool for experiment design. Unfortunately, the classical, sequential setting of Bayesian Optimization does not translate well into laboratory experiments, for instance battery design, where measurements may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Jose Pablo Folch , Robert M Lee , Behrang Shafei , David Walz , Calvin Tsay , Mark van der Wilk , Ruth Misener

Achieving ultimate bounds in estimation processes is the main objective of quantum metrology. In this context, several problems require measurement of multiple parameters by employing only a limited amount of resources. To this end,…

Many combinatorial optimization problems such as the bin packing and multiple knapsack problems involve assigning a set of discrete objects to multiple containers. These problems can be used to model task and resource allocation problems in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-10-12 A. S. Fukunaga , R. E. Korf

We propose a novel holistic approach for safe autonomous exploration and map building based on constrained Bayesian optimisation. This method finds optimal continuous paths instead of discrete sensing locations that inherently satisfy…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-03-02 Gilad Francis , Lionel Ott , Roman Marchant , Fabio Ramos

We use the exact finite sample likelihood and statistical decision theory to answer questions of ``why?'' and ``what should you have done?'' using data from randomized experiments and a utility function that prioritizes safety over…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-26 Neil Christy , A. E. Kowalski

Machine learning has emerged as a powerful tool in materials discovery, enabling the rapid design of novel materials with tailored properties for countless applications, including in the context of energy and sustainability. To ensure the…

Implicit stochastic models, where the data-generation distribution is intractable but sampling is possible, are ubiquitous in the natural sciences. The models typically have free parameters that need to be inferred from data collected in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-17 Steven Kleinegesse , Michael U. Gutmann

Impactful applications such as materials discovery, hardware design, neural architecture search, or portfolio optimization require optimizing high-dimensional black-box functions with mixed and combinatorial input spaces. While Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-21 Leonard Papenmeier , Luigi Nardi , Matthias Poloczek

In experimental design, we are given $n$ vectors in $d$ dimensions, and our goal is to select $k\ll n$ of them to perform expensive measurements, e.g., to obtain labels/responses, for a linear regression task. Many statistical criteria have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Michał Dereziński , Feynman Liang , Michael W. Mahoney

It is well understood that Bayesian decision theory and average case analysis are essentially identical. However, if one is interested in performing uncertainty quantification for a numerical task, it can be argued that standard approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-16 Chris. J. Oates , Jon Cockayne , Dennis Prangle , T. J. Sullivan , Mark Girolami

In this article, three optimization approaches are exploited to improve the performance of a permanent magnet-assisted synchronous reluctance machine: a first optimization using fixed substitution models and two Bayesian optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-03 Adan Reyes Reyes , André Nasr , Delphine Sinoquet , Sami Hlioui

In recent years, there has been an increasing demand on efficient algorithms for large scale change point detection problems. To this end, we propose seeded binary segmentation, an approach relying on a deterministic construction of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-13 Solt Kovács , Housen Li , Peter Bühlmann , Axel Munk

Bayesian Optimal Experimental Design (BOED) is a powerful tool to reduce the cost of running a sequence of experiments. When based on the Expected Information Gain (EIG), design optimization corresponds to the maximization of some…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-14 Jacopo Iollo , Christophe Heinkelé , Pierre Alliez , Florence Forbes
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