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Continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) are popular modeling formalism that constitutes the underlying semantics for real-time probabilistic systems such as queuing networks, stochastic process algebras, and calculi for systems biology. Prism…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-20 Giovanni Bacci , Anna Ingólfsdóttir , Kim G. Larsen , Raphaël Reynouard

We present results relating mixing times to the intersection time of branching random walk (BRW) in which the logarithm of the expected number of particles grows at rate of the spectral-gap $\mathrm{gap}$ . This is a finite state space…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-03 Jonathan Hermon

Interval Markov chains extend classical Markov chains with the possibility to describe transition probabilities using intervals, rather than exact values. While the standard formulation of interval Markov chains features closed intervals,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-09-25 Jeremy Sproston

Weighted low rank approximation is a fundamental problem in numerical linear algebra, and it has many applications in machine learning. Given a matrix $M \in \mathbb{R}^{n \times n}$, a non-negative weight matrix $W \in \mathbb{R}_{\geq…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Zhao Song , Mingquan Ye , Junze Yin , Lichen Zhang

Lifted Markov chains are Markov chains on graphs with added local "memory" and can be used to mix towards a target distribution faster than their memoryless counterparts. Upper and lower bounds on the achievable performance have been…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-05-24 Simon Apers , Francesco Ticozzi , Alain Sarlette

For appropriately chosen weights, temporal averages in chaotic systems can be approximated as a weighted sum of averages over reference states, such as unstable periodic orbits. Under strict assumptions, such as completeness of the orbit…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-06-23 Joshua L. Pughe-Sanford , Sam Quinn , Teodor Balabanski , Roman O. Grigoriev

Reversibility is a key property of Markov chains, central to algorithms such as Metropolis-Hastings and other MCMC methods. Yet many applications yield non-reversible chains, motivating the problem of approximating them by reversible ones…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Stefano Cipolla , Fabio Durastante , Miryam Gnazzo , Beatrice Meini

We propose a method to approximate continuous-time, continuous-state stochastic processes by a discrete-time Markov chain defined on a nonuniform grid. Our method provides exact moment matching for processes whose first and second moments…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Do Hyun Kim , Ahmet Cetinkaya

The paper is devoted to studies of perturbed Markov chains commonly used for description of information networks. In such models, the matrix of transition probabilities for the corresponding Markov chain is usually regularised by adding a…

Inexact methods for model predictive control (MPC), such as real-time iterative schemes or time-distributed optimization, alleviate the computational burden of exact MPC by providing suboptimal solutions. While the asymptotic stability of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-21 Aren Karapetyan , Efe C. Balta , Andrea Iannelli , John Lygeros

The paper deals with finite-state Markov decision processes (MDPs) with integer weights assigned to each state-action pair. New algorithms are presented to classify end components according to their limiting behavior with respect to the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-05-01 Christel Baier , Nathalie Bertrand , Clemens Dubslaff , Daniel Gburek , Ocan Sankur

We study one-sided and $\alpha$-correct sequential hypothesis testing for data generated by an ergodic Markov chain. The null hypothesis is that the unknown transition matrix belongs to a prescribed set $P$ of stochastic matrices, and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Alhad Sethi , Kavali Sofia Sagar , Shubhada Agrawal , Debabrota Basu , P. N. Karthik

We consider the problem of computing the value and an optimal strategy for minimizing the expected termination time in one-counter Markov decision processes. Since the value may be irrational and an optimal strategy may be rather…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2012-05-08 Tomáš Brázdil , Antonín Kučera , Petr Novotný , Dominik Wojtczak

We generalize the notion of strong stationary time and we give a representation formula for the hitting time to a target set in the general case of non-reversible Markov processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-24 Francesco Manzo , Elisabetta Scoppola

We study the limit behaviour of a generally non-linear ordinary differential equation whose solution is a superadditive generalisation of a stochastic matrix, and provide necessary and sufficient conditions for this solution to be ergodic,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-21 Jasper De Bock

Quantum walks play an important role in the area of quantum algorithms. Many interesting problems can be reduced to searching marked states in a quantum Markov chain. In this context, the notion of quantum hitting time is very important,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-12-08 R. A. M. Santos , R. Portugal

Weighted model integration (WMI) is a very appealing framework for probabilistic inference: it allows to express the complex dependencies of real-world hybrid scenarios where variables are heterogeneous in nature (both continuous and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-10-01 Zhe Zeng , Fanqi Yan , Paolo Morettin , Antonio Vergari , Guy Van den Broeck

We study the problem of estimating the stationary mass -- also called the unigram mass -- that is missing from a single trajectory of a discrete-time, ergodic Markov chain. This problem has several applications -- for example, estimating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-08 Ashwin Pananjady , Vidya Muthukumar , Andrew Thangaraj

We study the verification of a finite continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) C against a linear real-time specification given as a deterministic timed automaton (DTA) A with finite or Muller acceptance conditions. The central question that we…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-07-01 Taolue Chen , Tingting Han , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Alexandru Mereacre

We derive an algorithm to compute satisfiability bounds for arbitrary {\omega}-regular properties in an Interval-valued Markov Chain (IMC) interpreted in the adversarial sense. IMCs generalize regular Markov Chains by assigning a range of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-09-18 Maxence Dutreix , Samuel Coogan
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