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Given an irreducible discrete-time Markov chain on a finite state space, we consider the largest expected hitting time $T(\alpha)$ of a set of stationary measure at least $\alpha$ for $\alpha\in(0,1)$. We obtain tight inequalities among the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-29 Simon Griffiths , Ross J. Kang , Roberto Imbuzeiro Oliveira , Viresh Patel

Markov chains are one of the well-known tools for modeling and analyzing stochastic systems. At the same time, they are used for constructing random walks that can achieve a given stationary distribution. This paper is concerned with…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Saber Jafarizadeh

The convergence, convergence rate and expected hitting time play fundamental roles in the analysis of randomised search heuristics. This paper presents a unified Markov chain approach to studying them. Using the approach, the sufficient and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-10 Jun He , Feidun He , Xin Yao

We study the limit behaviour of upper and lower bounds on expected time averages in imprecise Markov chains; a generalised type of Markov chain where the local dynamics, traditionally characterised by transition probabilities, are now…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-10 Natan T'Joens , Jasper De Bock

Let 0<\alpha<1/2. We show that the mixing time of a continuous-time reversible Markov chain on a finite state space is about as large as the largest expected hitting time of a subset of stationary measure at least \alpha of the state space.…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-28 Roberto Imbuzeiro Oliveira

Stochastic time-varying optimization is an integral part of learning in which the shape of the function changes over time in a non-deterministic manner. This paper considers multiple models of stochastic time variation and analyzes the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-23 Ali Yekkehkhany , Han Feng , Donghao Ying , Javad Lavaei

This paper is concerned with the development of rigorous approximations to various expectations associated with Markov chains and processes having non-stationary transition probabilities. Such non-stationary models arise naturally in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Zeyu Zheng , Harsha Honnappa , Peter W. Glynn

In this article we propose a Weighted Stochastic Mesh (WSM) Algorithm for approximating the value of a discrete and continuous time optimal stopping problem. We prove that in the discrete case the WSM algorithm leads to semi-tractability of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-25 D. Belomestny , M. Kaledin , J. Schoenmakers

We propose a model of random walks on weighted graphs where the weights are interval valued, and connect it to reversible imprecise Markov chains. While the theory of imprecise Markov chains is now well established, this is a first attempt…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-20 Damjan Škulj

The hitting time is the required minimum time for a Markov chain-based walk (classical or quantum) to reach a target state in the state space. We investigate the effect of the perturbation on the hitting time of a quantum walk. We obtain an…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-06-12 Chen-Fu Chiang , Guillermo Gomez

Time-homogeneous Markov chains are often used as disease progression models in studies of cost-effectiveness and optimal decision-making. Maximum likelihood estimation of these models can be challenging when data are collected at a time…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-26 Duncan Ermini Leaf

We provide quantitative upper bounds on the total variation mixing time of the Markov chain corresponding to the unadjusted Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (uHMC) algorithm. For two general classes of models and fixed time discretization step size…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-13 Nawaf Bou-Rabee , Andreas Eberle

This paper investigates the critical-time criteria as a security metric for controlled systems subject to sharp input anomalies (attack, fault), characterized by having high impact in a reduced amount of time (e.g. denial-of-service, attack…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-26 Arthur Perodou , Christophe Combastel , Ali Zolghadri

Inferring the infinitesimal rates of continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) is a central challenge in many scientific domains. This task is hindered by three factors: quadratic growth in the number of rates as the CTMC state space expands,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-09 Filippo Monti , Xiang Ji , Marc A. Suchard

A generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator is unreliable for a large number of moment conditions, that is, it is comparable, or larger than the sample size. While classical GMM literature proposes several provisions to this problem,…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-11 Masahiro Tanaka

Finite-horizon Markov decision processes (MDPs) with high-dimensional exogenous uncertainty and endogenous states arise in operations and finance, including the valuation and exercise of Bermudan and real options, but face a scalability…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Negar Soheili , Selvaprabu Nadarajah , Bo Yang

This paper addresses two minimum reaching time control problems within the context of finite stable systems. The well-known Variable Structure Control (VSC) and Unity Vector Control (UVC) strategies are analyzed, with the primary objective…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-10 J. C. Geromel , L. Hsu , E. V. L. Nunes

This paper contributes an in-depth study of properties of continuous time Markov chains (CTMCs) on non-negative integer lattices $\N_0^d$, with particular interest in one-dimensional CTMCs with polynomial transitions rates. Such stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-22 Chuang Xu , Mads Christian Hansen , Carsten Wiuf

Interactive Markov chains (IMC) are compositional behavioural models extending labelled transition systems and continuous-time Markov chains. We provide a framework and algorithms for compositional verification and optimization of IMC with…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-12-05 Holger Hermanns , Jan Krčál , Jan Křetínský

Reversible Markov chains play a central role in stochastic modelling and in algorithms such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Motivated by the fundamental importance of reversibility in classical settings, this paper develops a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Damjan Škulj