English
Related papers

Related papers: Optimal uncertainty bounds for multivariate kernel…

200 papers

Bayesian optimization based on the Gaussian process upper confidence bound (GP-UCB) offers a theoretical guarantee for optimizing black-box functions. In practice, however, black-box functions often involve input uncertainty. To handle such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-24 Yu Inatsu

Bayesian Optimization (BO) is a data-driven strategy for minimizing/maximizing black-box functions based on probabilistic surrogate models. In the presence of safety constraints, the performance of BO crucially relies on tight probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-15 Oleksii Molodchyk , Johannes Teutsch , Timm Faulwasser

We present an efficient algorithm to compute tight upper bounds of collision probability between two objects with positional uncertainties, whose error distributions are represented with non-Gaussian forms. Our approach can handle noisy…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-12-17 Jae Sung Park , Dinesh Manocha

The contextual bandit problem is a theoretically justified framework with wide applications in various fields. While the previous study on this problem usually requires independence between noise and contexts, our work considers a more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-08 Xueping Gong , Jiheng Zhang

Gaussian processes (GPs) are Bayesian non-parametric models popular in a variety of applications due to their accuracy and native uncertainty quantification (UQ). Tuning GP hyperparameters is critical to ensure the validity of prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-03 Killian Wood , Alec M. Dunton , Amanda Muyskens , Benjamin W. Priest

We propose a robust inferential procedure for assessing uncertainties of parameter estimation in high-dimensional linear models, where the dimension $p$ can grow exponentially fast with the sample size $n$. Our method combines the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-19 Tianqi Zhao , Mladen Kolar , Han Liu

We consider the data-driven approximation of the Koopman operator for stochastic differential equations on reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS). Our focus is on the estimation error if the data are collected from long-term ergodic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-12-20 Friedrich Philipp , Manuel Schaller , Karl Worthmann , Sebastian Peitz , Feliks Nüske

For the kernel estimator of the quantile density function (the derivative of the quantile function), I show how to perform the boundary bias correction, establish the rate of strong uniform consistency of the bias-corrected estimator, and…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-07-20 Grigory Franguridi

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide flexible distributions over functions, with inductive biases controlled by a kernel. However, in many applications Gaussian processes can struggle with even moderate input dimensionality. Learning a low…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-01 Ian A. Delbridge , David S. Bindel , Andrew Gordon Wilson

This paper proposes a multivariate nonlinear function-on-function regression model, which allows both the response and the covariates can be multi-dimensional functions. The model is built upon the multivariate functional reproducing kernel…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-28 Xu Haijie , Zhang Chen

We propose a novel Bayesian approach to solve stochastic optimization problems that involve finding extrema of noisy, nonlinear functions. Previous work has focused on representing possible functions explicitly, which leads to a two-step…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-11-13 Pedro A. Ortega , Jordi Grau-Moya , Tim Genewein , David Balduzzi , Daniel A. Braun

Multi-output regression problems are commonly encountered in science and engineering. In particular, multi-output Gaussian processes have been emerged as a promising tool for modeling these complex systems since they can exploit the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Cen-You Li , Barbara Rakitsch , Christoph Zimmer

Estimating the dissipativity of nonlinear systems from empirical data is useful for the analysis and control of nonlinear systems, especially when an accurate model is unavailable. Based on a Koopman operator model of the nonlinear system…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-03 Xiuzhen Ye , Wentao Tang

This paper studies some robust regression problems associated with the $q$-norm loss ($q\ge1$) and the $\epsilon$-insensitive $q$-norm loss in the reproducing kernel Hilbert space. We establish a variance-expectation bound under a priori…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-10 Ting Hu , Yuan Yao

Neural networks (NNs) are now routinely implemented on systems that must operate in uncertain environments, but the tools for formally analyzing how this uncertainty propagates to NN outputs are not yet commonplace. Computing tight bounds…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Michael Everett , Golnaz Habibi , Jonathan P. How

This paper is devoted to the problem of determining the concentration bounds that are achievable in non-parametric regression. We consider the setting where features are supported on a bounded subset of $\mathbb{R}^d$, the regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-02 Anna Ben-Hamou , Arnaud Guyader

Uncertainty estimation for unlabeled data is crucial to active learning. With a deep neural network employed as the backbone model, the data selection process is highly challenging due to the potential over-confidence of the model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Xingjian Li , Pengkun Yang , Yangcheng Gu , Xueying Zhan , Tianyang Wang , Min Xu , Chengzhong Xu

Learning with Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces (RKHS) has been widely used in many scientific disciplines. Because a RKHS can be very flexible, it is common to impose a regularization term in the optimization to prevent overfitting.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-06 Jingxiang Chen , Chong Zhang , Michael R. Kosorok , Yufeng Liu

We develop a framework for Gaussian processes regression constrained by boundary value problems. The framework may be applied to infer the solution of a well-posed boundary value problem with a known second-order differential operator and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-23 Mamikon Gulian , Ari Frankel , Laura Swiler

The family of Mat\'ern kernels are often used in spatial statistics, function approximation and Gaussian process methods in machine learning. One reason for their popularity is the presence of a smoothness parameter that controls, for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-06 Moritz Korte-Stapff , Toni Karvonen , Eric Moulines