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The rapid spread of COVID-19 has affected thousands of people from different socio-demographic groups all over the country. A decisive step in preventing or slowing the outbreak is the use of mobility interventions, such as government…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-07-23 Aliakbar Kabiri , Aref Darzi , Weiyi Zhou , Qianqian Sun , Lei Zhang

The availability of cellphone geolocation data provides a remarkable opportunity to study human mobility patterns and how these patterns are affected by the recent pandemic. Two simple centrality metrics allow us to measure two different…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-08-16 Oscar Fontanelli , Dulce I. Valdivia , Guillermo Romero , Oliver Medina , Wentian Li , Maribel Hernández-Rosales

The epidemiology of pandemics is classically viewed using geographical and political borders; however, these artificial divisions can result in a misunderstanding of the current epidemiological state within a given region. To improve upon…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-28 David Lyver , Mihai Nica , Corentin Cot , Giacomo Cacciapaglia , Zahra Mohammadi , Edward W. Thommes , Monica-Gabriela Cojocaru

With the outbreak of COVID-19, how to mitigate and suppress its spread is a big issue to the government. Department of public health need powerful models to model and predict the trend and scale of such pandemic. And models that could…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Wang Pan , Qipu Deng , Jiadong Li , Zhi Wang , Wenwu Zhu

As the COVID-19 epidemic began to worsen in the first months of 2020, stringent lockdown policies were implemented in numerous cities throughout the world to control human transmission and mitigate its spread. Although transportation…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-07-15 Chen Wu , Sihan Zhu , Jiaqi Yang , Meiqi Hu , Bo Du , Liangpei Zhang , Lefei Zhang , Chengxi Han , Meng Lan

In response to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, governments have encouraged and ordered citizens to practice social distancing, particularly by working and studying at home. Intuitively, only a subset of people have the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Kentaro Iio , Xiaoyu Guo , Xiaoqiang "Jack" Kong , Kelly Rees , Xiubin Bruce Wang

In light of the outbreak of COVID-19, analyzing and measuring human mobility has become increasingly important. A wide range of studies have explored spatiotemporal trends over time, examined associations with other variables, evaluated…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-02-17 Abdolmajid Erfani , Vanessa Frias-Martinez

The rapid spread of COVID-19 in the United States has imposed a major threat to public health, the real economy, and human well-being. With the absence of effective vaccines, the preventive actions of social distancing and travel reduction…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-02 Chao Fan , Sanghyeon Lee , Yang Yang , Bora Oztekin , Qingchun Li , Ali Mostafavi

The experience of Singapur and South Korea makes it clear that under certain circumstances massive testing is an effective way for containing the advance of the COVID-19. In this paper, we propose a modified SEIR model which takes into…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-24 José Luis Sainz-Pardo , José Valero

Metapopulation epidemic models help capture the spatial dimension of infectious disease spread by dividing heterogeneous populations into separate but interconnected communities, represented by nodes in a network. In the event of an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-02-21 Henrik Zunker , Philipp Dönges , Patrick Lenz , Seba Contreras , Martin J. Kühn

This work constructs, analyzes, and simulates a new compartmental SEIR-type model for the dynamics and potential control of the current COVID-19 pandemic. The novelty in this work is two-fold. First, the population is divided according to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-14 Aycil Cesmelioglu , Kenneth L. Kuttler , Meir Shillor , Anna M. Spagnuolo

Susceptible-Invective-Recovered (SIR) mathematical models are in high demand due to the COVID-19 pandemic. They are used in their standard formulation, or through the many variants, trying to fit and hopefully predict the number of new…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-19 Ben-Hur Francisco Cardoso , Sebastián Gonçalves

Since the outbreak of COVID-19, it has rapidly evolved into a sudden and major public health emergency globally. With the variants of COVID-19, the difficulty of pandemic control continues to increase, which has brought significant costs to…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-26 Yufei Wang , Mingzhuang Hua , Xuewu Chen , Wendong Chen , Long Cheng

While large scale mobility data has become a popular tool to monitor the mobility patterns during the COVID-19 pandemic, the impacts of non-compulsory measures in Tokyo, Japan on human mobility patterns has been under-studied. Here, we…

Social distancing and stay-at-home are among the few measures that are known to be effective in checking the spread of a pandemic such as COVID-19 in a given population. The patterns of dependency between such measures and their effects on…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-19 Frank Nielsen , Gautier Marti , Sumanta Ray , Saumyadipta Pyne

In this work, we extend our previously developed compartmental SEIQRD model for SARS-CoV-2 in Belgium. We introduce SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern, vaccines, and seasonality in our model, as their addition has proven necessary for modelling…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-01-12 Tijs W. Alleman , Michiel Rollier , Jenna Vergeynst , Jan M. Baetens

Understanding the effects of interventions, such as restrictions on community and large group gatherings, is critical to controlling the spread of COVID-19. Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) models are traditionally used to forecast…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-10 Andrew Giffin , Wenlong Gong , Suman Majumder , Ana G. Rappold , Brian J. Reich , Shu Yang

Human mobility contributes to the fast spatio-temporal propagation of infectious diseases. During an outbreak, monitoring the infection situation on either side of an international border is very crucial as there is always a higher risk of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-14 Abhishek Senapati , Adam Mertel , Weronika Schlechte-Welnicz , Justin M. Calabrese

Background: The impact of individual non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) such as state-wide stay-at-home orders, school closures and gathering size limitations, on the COVID-19 epidemic is unknown. Understanding the impact that above…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-27 Ian E. Fellows , Rachel B. Slayton , Avi J. Hakim

It is often necessary to introduce the main characteristics of population mobility dynamics to model critical social phenomena such as the economy, violence, transmission of information, or infectious diseases. In this work, we focus on…