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Related papers: Power Analysis for Prediction-Powered Inference

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We propose an approach to estimate the number of samples required for a model to reach a target performance. We find that the power law, the de facto principle to estimate model performance, leads to large error when using a small dataset…

This paper investigates the theoretical foundation and develops analytical formulas for sample size and power calculations for causal inference with observational data. By analyzing the variance of an inverse probability weighting estimator…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Bo Liu , Chengxin Yang , Fan Li

Quality statistical inference requires a sufficient amount of data, which can be missing or hard to obtain. To this end, prediction-powered inference has risen as a promising methodology, but existing approaches are largely limited to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-27 Daniel Csillag , Claudio José Struchiner , Guilherme Tegoni Goedert

Prediction-Powered Inference (PPI) is a powerful framework for enhancing statistical estimates by combining limited gold-standard data with machine learning (ML) predictions. While prior work has demonstrated PPI's benefits for individual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-10 Sida Li , Nikolaos Ignatiadis

Trials enroll a large number of subjects in order to attain power, making them expensive and time-consuming. Sample size calculations are often performed with the assumption of an unadjusted analysis, even if the trial analysis plan…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-06 Alejandro Schuler

Recent advances in artificial intelligence have enabled the generation of large-scale, low-cost predictions with increasingly high fidelity. As a result, the primary challenge in statistical inference has shifted from data scarcity to data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Shirong Xu , Will Wei Sun

While reliable data-driven decision-making hinges on high-quality labeled data, the acquisition of quality labels often involves laborious human annotations or slow and expensive scientific measurements. Machine learning is becoming an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-01 Tijana Zrnic , Emmanuel J. Candès

Sample size calculation is crucial in biomedical in vivo research investigations mainly for two reasons: to design the most resource-efficient studies and to safeguard ethical issues when alive animals are subjects of testing. In this…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-27 Hasan Al-Nashash , Jiajin Wei , Ke Yang , Ayman Alzaatreh , Mohsen Adeli , Tiejun Tong , Angelo All

We study semisupervised mean estimation with a small labeled sample, a large unlabeled sample, and a black-box prediction model whose output may be miscalibrated. A standard approach in this setting is augmented inverse-probability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-24 Lars van der Laan , Mark Van Der Laan

Despite its importance to experimental design, statistical power (the probability that, given a real effect, an experiment will reject the null hypothesis) has largely been ignored by the NLP community. Underpowered experiments make it more…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-10-15 Dallas Card , Peter Henderson , Urvashi Khandelwal , Robin Jia , Kyle Mahowald , Dan Jurafsky

Prediction-powered inference is a framework for performing valid statistical inference when an experimental dataset is supplemented with predictions from a machine-learning system. The framework yields simple algorithms for computing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-10 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Stephen Bates , Clara Fannjiang , Michael I. Jordan , Tijana Zrnic

Before embarking on data collection, researchers typically compute how many individual observations they should do. This is vital for doing studies with sufficient statistical power, and often a cornerstone in study pre-registrations and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Edwin S Dalmaijer

In the experimental sciences, statistical power analyses are often used before data collection to determine the required sample size. However, traditional power analyses can be costly when data are difficult or expensive to collect. We…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Peiye Zhuang , Bliss Chapman , Ran Li , Oluwasanmi Koyejo

Accurate power and sample size (PSS) calculations are essential for designing studies that use quasi-likelihood (QL) models, which extend generalized linear models (GLMs) to settings where the full distribution of the outcome is not…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Shijie Yuan , Amy Cochran , Paul Rathouz

Prediction-powered inference is a recent methodology for the safe use of black-box ML models to impute missing data, strengthening inference of statistical parameters. However, many applications require strong properties besides valid…

Testing differences in mean vectors is a fundamental task in the analysis of high-dimensional compositional data. Existing methods may suffer from low power if the underlying signal pattern is in a situation that does not favor the deployed…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 Danning Li , Lingzhou Xue , Haoyi Yang , Xiufan Yu

Prediction-powered inference (PPI) is a rapidly growing framework for combining machine learning predictions with a small set of gold-standard labels to conduct valid statistical inference. In this article, I argue that the core estimators…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-20 Reagan Mozer

Multiple matrix sampling is a survey methodology technique that randomly chooses a relatively small subset of items to be presented to survey respondents for the purpose of reducing respondent burden. The data produced are missing…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-03 Stanislav Kolenikov , Heather Hammer

Prediction-powered inference (PPI) is a method that improves statistical estimates based on limited human-labeled data. PPI achieves this by combining small amounts of human-labeled data with larger amounts of data labeled by a reasonably…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-05 Adam Fisch , Joshua Maynez , R. Alex Hofer , Bhuwan Dhingra , Amir Globerson , William W. Cohen

Adapting the final sample size of a trial to the evidence accruing during the trial is a natural way to address planning uncertainty. Designs with adaptive sample size need to account for their optional stopping to guarantee strict type-I…