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The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) global pandemic poses the threat of overwhelming healthcare systems with unprecedented demands for intensive care resources. Managing these demands cannot be effectively conducted without a nationwide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-29 Zhaozhi Qian , Ahmed M. Alaa , Mihaela van der Schaar

The timely handling of passengers is critical to efficient airport and airline operations. The pandemic requirements mandate adapted process designs and handling procedures to maintain and improve operational performance. Passenger…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-07-20 Michael Schultz , Majid Soolaki , Mostafa Salari , Elnaz Bakhshian

The Covid-19 pandemic introduces new challenges and constraints for return to work business planning. We describe a space allocation problem that incorporates social distancing constraints while optimising the number of available safe…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-05-12 Michael Barry , Claudio Gambella , Fabio Lorenzi , John Sheehan , Joern Ploennigs

The availability of intensive care beds during the Covid-19 epidemic is crucial to guarantee the best possible treatment to severely affected patients. In this work we show a simple strategy for short-term prediction of Covid-19 ICU beds,…

Epidemic risk assessment poses inherent challenges, with traditional approaches often failing to balance health outcomes and economic constraints. This paper presents a data-driven decision support tool that models epidemiological dynamics…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-24 Chang Zhai , Ping Chen , Zhuo Jin , David Pitt

Urbanization is rapidly increasing, with urban populations expected to grow significantly by 2050, particularly in developing regions. This expansion brings challenges related to chronic stresses and acute shocks, such as the COVID-19…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-13 Yue Sun , Ryan Weightman , Anye Shi , Timur Dogan , Samitha Samaranayake

Objectives. Public health officials need tools to assist with anticipating the healthcare resources required to confront the SARS-COV-2 pandemic. We built a modeling tool to aid practicing public health officials with estimating healthcare…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-14 Gabriel Rainisch , Eduardo A. Undurraga , Gerardo Chowell

The first year of the COVID-19 pandemic put considerable strain on the national healthcare system in England. In order to predict the effect of the local epidemic on hospital capacity in England, we used a variety of data streams to inform…

This paper reports a case study of an application of high-resolution agent-based modeling and simulation to pandemic response planning on a university campus. In the summer of 2020, we were tasked with a COVID-19 pandemic response project…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-11-11 Hiroki Sayama , Shun Cao

Accurately forecasting patient arrivals at Urgent Care Clinics (UCCs) and Emergency Departments (EDs) is important for effective resourcing and patient care. However, correctly estimating patient flows is not straightforward since it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-03 Teo Susnjak , Paula Maddigan

Evaluating hospitals' performance and its relation to patients' characteristics is of utmost importance to ensure timely, effective, and optimal treatment. Such a matter is particularly relevant in areas and situations where the healthcare…

This study presents a new risk-averse multi-stage stochastic epidemics-ventilator-logistics compartmental model to address the resource allocation challenges of mitigating COVID-19. This epidemiological logistics model involves the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-12 Xuecheng Yin , I. Esra Buyuktahtakin , Bhumi P. Patel

Simulation models are valuable tools for resource usage estimation and capacity planning. In many situations, reliable data is not available. We introduce the BuB simulator, which requires only the specification of plausible intervals for…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-08 Thomas Bartz-Beielstein , Eva Bartz , Frederik Rehbach , Olaf Mersmann

End-stage renal disease patients face a complicated sociomedical situation and rely on various forms of infrastructure for life-sustaining treatment. Disruption of these infrastructures during disasters poses a major threat to their lives.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-26 Chia-Fu Liu , Ali Mostafavi

The COVID-19 pandemic has had far-reaching consequences, highlighting the urgency for explanatory and predictive tools to track infection rates and burden of care over time and space. However, the scarcity and inhomogeneity of data is a…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-30 Naomi Diz-Rosales , María-José Lombardía , Domingo Morales

This paper develops a stochastic programming framework for multi-agent systems where task decomposition, assignment, and scheduling problems are simultaneously optimized. The framework can be applied to heterogeneous mobile robot teams with…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Bo Fu , William Smith , Denise Rizzo , Matthew Castanier , Maani Ghaffari , Kira Barton

We describe the models we built for hospital admissions and occupancy of COVID-19 patients in the Netherlands. These models were used to make short-term decisions about transfers of patients between regions and for long-term policy making.…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-23 René Bekker , Michiel uit het Broek , Ger Koole

During the COVID-19 pandemic, safely implementing in-person indoor instruction was a high priority for universities nationwide. To support this effort at the University, we developed a mathematical model for estimating the risk of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-21 Brian Liu , Yujia Zhang , Shane G. Henderson , David B. Shmoys , Peter I. Frazier

Hybrid hospitals offer on-site and remote hospitalization through telemedicine. These new healthcare models require novel operational policies to balance costs, efficiency, and patient well-being. Our study addresses two first-order…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-23 Noa Zychlinski , Gal Mendelson , Andrew Daw

The screening testing is an effective tool to control the early spread of an infectious disease such as COVID-19. When the total testing capacity is limited, we aim to optimally allocate testing resources among n counties. We build a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-28 Yaxuan Huang , Zheng Tracy Ke , Jiashun Jin