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Optimization under uncertainty is important in many applications, particularly to inform policy and decision making in areas such as public health. A key source of uncertainty arises from the incorporation of environmental variables as…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-25 Daria Semochkina , Alexander I. J. Forrester , David C Woods

An efficient computational approach for optimal reconstructing parameters of binary-type physical properties for models in biomedical applications is developed and validated. The methodology includes gradient-based multiscale optimization…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-12-24 Priscilla M. Koolman , Vladislav Bukshtynov

Conventionally, a first-in-human phase I trial in healthy volunteers aims to confirm the safety of a drug in humans. In such situations, volunteers should not suffer from any safety issues and simple algorithm-based dose-escalation schemes…

The Binary Emax model is widely employed in dose-response analysis during drug development, where missing data often pose significant challenges. Addressing nonignorable missing binary responses, where the likelihood of missing data is…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Jiangshan Zhang , Vivek Pradhan , Yuxi Zhao

We study the problem of learning individualized dose intervals using observational data. There are very few previous works for policy learning with continuous treatment, and all of them focused on recommending an optimal dose rather than an…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-25 Guanhua Chen , Xiaomao Li , Menggang Yu

This paper extends my research applying statistical decision theory to treatment choice with sample data, using maximum regret to evaluate the performance of treatment rules. The specific new contribution is to study as-if optimization…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-05 Charles F. Manski

Algorithmic fairness has become a central concern in modern machine learning and AI applications. However, two pressing challenges remain: (1) The fairness guarantees of existing methods often rely on specific data distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Xiaotian Hou , Linjun Zhang

An objective of phase I dose-finding trials is to find the maximum tolerated dose; the dose with a particular risk of toxicity. Frequently, this risk is assessed across the first cycle of therapy. However, in oncology, a course of treatment…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-03 Helen Barnett , Oliver Boix , Dimintris Kontos , Thomas Jaki

A large-scale industrial recommendation platform typically consists of multiple associated scenarios, requiring a unified click-through rate (CTR) prediction model to serve them simultaneously. Existing approaches for multi-scenario CTR…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-06-26 Xing Tang , Yang Qiao , Yuwen Fu , Fuyuan Lyu , Dugang Liu , Xiuqiang He

When developing a clinical prediction model, the sample size of the development dataset is a key consideration. Small sample sizes lead to greater concerns of overfitting, instability, poor performance and lack of fairness. Previous…

We consider the problem of optimally utilizing $N$ resources, each in an unknown binary state. The state of each resource can be inferred from state-dependent noisy measurements. Depending on its state, utilizing a resource results in…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-05-18 Lorenzo Ferrari , Qing Zhao , Anna Scaglione

Decision-making in personalized medicine such as cancer therapy or critical care must often make choices for dosage combinations, i.e., multiple continuous treatments. Existing work for this task has modeled the effect of multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-30 Jonas Schweisthal , Dennis Frauen , Valentyn Melnychuk , Stefan Feuerriegel

When planning an oncology clinical trial, the usual approach is to assume proportional hazards and even an exponential distribution for time-to-event endpoints. Often, besides the gold-standard endpoint overall survival (OS),…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-19 Alexandra Erdmann , Jan Beyersmann , Kaspar Rufibach

Binary classification involves predicting the label of an instance based on whether the model score for the positive class exceeds a threshold chosen based on the application requirements (e.g., maximizing recall for a precision bound).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Gundeep Arora , Srujana Merugu , Anoop Saladi , Rajeev Rastogi

This paper presents a quasi-sequential optimal design framework for toxicology experiments, specifically applied to sea urchin embryos. The authors propose a novel approach combining robust optimal design with adaptive, stage-based testing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Elvis Han Cui , Michael Collins , Jessica Munson , Weng Kee Wong

In panel experiments, we randomly assign units to different interventions, measuring their outcomes, and repeating the procedure in several periods. Using the potential outcomes framework, we define finite population dynamic causal effects…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-28 Iavor Bojinov , Ashesh Rambachan , Neil Shephard

Data efficiency, despite being an attractive characteristic, is often challenging to measure and optimize for in task-oriented semantic parsing; unlike exact match, it can require both model- and domain-specific setups, which have,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-07-13 Shrey Desai , Akshat Shrivastava , Justin Rill , Brian Moran , Safiyyah Saleem , Alexander Zotov , Ahmed Aly

Objectives: Estimation of areas under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) and their differences is a key task in diagnostic studies. We aimed to derive, evaluate, and implement simple sample size formulas for such studies with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-03 Di Shu , Guangyong Zou

Optimal treatment rules can improve health outcomes on average by assigning a treatment associated with the most desirable outcome to each individual. Due to an unknown data generation mechanism, it is appealing to use flexible models to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 Lingjie Shen , Gijs Geleijnse , Maurits Kaptein

The growing availability of observational databases like electronic health records (EHR) provides unprecedented opportunities for secondary use of such data in biomedical research. However, these data can be error-prone and need to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-28 Sarah C. Lotspeich , Gustavo G. C. Amorim , Pamela A. Shaw , Ran Tao , Bryan E. Shepherd