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The stock market's ascent typically mirrors the flourishing state of the economy, whereas its decline is often an indicator of an economic downturn. Therefore, for a long time, significant correlation elements for predicting trends in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Wenjun Gu , Yihao Zhong , Shizun Li , Changsong Wei , Liting Dong , Zhuoyue Wang , Chao Yan

This article aims to propose and apply a machine learning method to analyze the direction of returns from Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) using the historical return data of its components, helping to make investment strategy decisions through…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-14 Raphael P. B. Piovezan , Pedro Paulo de Andrade Junior

Regarding the intraday sequence of high frequency returns of the S&P index as daily realizations of a given stochastic process, we first demonstrate that the scaling properties of the aggregated return distribution can be employed to define…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-16 Fulvio Baldovin , Francesco Camana , Massimiliano Caporin , Michele Caraglio , Attilio L. Stella

We adopt Deep Reinforcement Learning algorithms to design trading strategies for continuous futures contracts. Both discrete and continuous action spaces are considered and volatility scaling is incorporated to create reward functions which…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-25 Zihao Zhang , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

In this paper, we propose a machine learning algorithm for time-inconsistent portfolio optimization. The proposed algorithm builds upon neural network based trading schemes, in which the asset allocation at each time point is determined by…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Kristoffer Andersson , Cornelis W. Oosterlee

The increasing availability of "big" (large volume) social media data has motivated a great deal of research in applying sentiment analysis to predict the movement of prices within financial markets. Previous work in this field investigates…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-11-08 Ellie Birbeck , Dave Cliff

We investigate the effectiveness of a momentum trading signal based on the coverage network of financial analysts. This signal builds on the key information-brokerage role financial sell-side analysts play in modern stock markets. The…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-29 Dragos Gorduza , Yaxuan Kong , Xiaowen Dong , Stefan Zohren

Recent advances in reinforcement learning, such as Dynamic Sampling Policy Optimization (DAPO), show strong performance when paired with large language models (LLMs). Motivated by this success, we ask whether similar gains can be realized…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Ruijian Zha , Bojun Liu

Technical indicators use graphic representations of data sets by applying various mathematical formulas to financial time series of prices. These formulas comprise a set of rules and parameters whose values are not necessarily known and…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-11-07 Francisco J. Soltero , Pablo Fernández-Blanco , J. Ignacio Hidalgo

Pairs trading, a strategy that capitalizes on price movements of asset pairs driven by similar factors, has gained significant popularity among traders. Common practice involves selecting highly cointegrated pairs to form a portfolio, which…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-14 Khizar Qureshi , Tauhid Zaman

Time series forecasting is a key tool in financial markets, helping to predict asset prices and guide investment decisions. In highly volatile markets, such as cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), forecasting becomes more…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-17 Mabsur Fatin Bin Hossain , Lubna Zahan Lamia , Md Mahmudur Rahman , Md Mosaddek Khan

Despite the efficient market hypothesis, many studies suggest the existence of inefficiencies in the stock market leading to the development of techniques to gain above-market returns. Systematic trading has undergone significant advances…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-09 Sungwoo Kang , Jong-Kook Kim

The emerging cryptocurrency market has lately received great attention for asset allocation due to its decentralization uniqueness. However, its volatility and brand new trading mode have made it challenging to devising an acceptable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Fengrui Liu , Yang Li , Baitong Li , Jiaxin Li , Huiyang Xie

This paper contributes a new machine learning solution for stock movement prediction, which aims to predict whether the price of a stock will be up or down in the near future. The key novelty is that we propose to employ adversarial…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-04 Fuli Feng , Huimin Chen , Xiangnan He , Ji Ding , Maosong Sun , Tat-Seng Chua

This paper presents a sophisticated multi-day turnover quantitative trading algorithm that integrates advanced deep learning techniques with comprehensive cross-sectional stock prediction for the Chinese A-share market. Our framework…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Yimin Du

Foreign exchange is the largest financial market in the world, and it is also one of the most volatile markets. Technical analysis plays an important role in the forex market and trading algorithms are designed utilizing machine learning…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-24 Zezheng Zhang , Matloob Khushi

Economy is severely dependent on the stock market. An uptrend usually corresponds to prosperity while a downtrend correlates to recession. Predicting the stock market has thus been a centre of research and experiment for a long time. Being…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-15 Shayan Halder

Although machine learning approaches have been widely used in the field of finance, to very successful degrees, these approaches remain bespoke to specific investigations and opaque in terms of explainability, comparability, and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-22 Artur Sokolovsky , Luca Arnaboldi

Forecasting central bank policy decisions remains a persistent challenge for investors, financial institutions, and policymakers due to the wide-reaching impact of monetary actions. In particular, anticipating shifts in the U.S. federal…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-01 Fiona Xiao Jingyi , Lili Liu

With the wide applications of algorithmic trading, it has become critical for traders to build a winning trading algorithm to beat the market. However, due to the lack of efficient tools, traders mainly rely on their memory to manually…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-08-27 Ka Wing Tsang , Haotian Li , Fuk Ming Lam , Yifan Mu , Yong Wang , Huamin Qu