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Modern time series forecasting methods, such as Transformer and its variants, have shown strong ability in sequential data modeling. To achieve high performance, they usually rely on redundant or unexplainable structures to model complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-30 Jingyi Hou , Zhen Dong , Jiayu Zhou , Zhijie Liu

Recent efforts have been dedicated to enhancing time series forecasting accuracy by introducing advanced network architectures and self-supervised pretraining strategies. Nevertheless, existing approaches still exhibit two critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Zhiding Liu , Jiqian Yang , Mingyue Cheng , Yucong Luo , Zhi Li

This paper presents a novel data-driven technique based on the spatiotemporal pattern network (STPN) for energy/power prediction for complex dynamical systems. Built on symbolic dynamic filtering, the STPN framework is used to capture not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-07 Zhanhong Jiang , Chao Liu , Adedotun Akintayo , Gregor Henze , Soumik Sarkar

Although most transformer-based time series forecasting models primarily depend on endogenous inputs, recent state-of-the-art approaches have significantly improved performance by incorporating external information through exogenous inputs.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Mustafa Kamal , Niyaz Bin Hashem , Robin Krambroeckers , Nabeel Mohammed , Shafin Rahman

Accurate and reliable prediction of Photovoltaic (PV) power output is critical to electricity grid stability and power dispatching capabilities. However, Photovoltaic (PV) power generation is highly volatile and unstable due to different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Sarah Almaghrabi , Mashud Rana , Margaret Hamilton , Mohammad Saiedur Rahaman

Enhancing the robustness and accuracy of time series forecasting models is an active area of research. Recently, Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) have found extensive applications in many practical forecasting problems. However, the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2013-02-27 Ratnadip Adhikari , R. K. Agrawal

Unlike traditional time-series forecasting methods that require extensive in-task data for training, zero-shot forecasting can directly predict future values given a target time series without additional training data. Current zero-shot…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Ting-Ji Huang , Xu-Yang Chen , Han-Jia Ye

In the era of industrial big data, prognostics and health management is essential to improve the prediction of future failures to minimize inventory, maintenance, and human costs. Used for the 2021 PHM Data Challenge, the new Commercial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-28 Joseph Cohen , Xun Huan , Jun Ni

Modeling multivariate time series has long been a subject that has attracted researchers from a diverse range of fields including economics, finance, and traffic. A basic assumption behind multivariate time series forecasting is that its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Zonghan Wu , Shirui Pan , Guodong Long , Jing Jiang , Xiaojun Chang , Chengqi Zhang

Accurate demand forecasting is crucial for optimizing supply chain management. Traditional methods often fail to capture complex patterns from seasonal variability and special events. Despite advancements in deep learning, interpretable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Md Abrar Jahin , Asef Shahriar , Md Al Amin

Electricity price forecasting (EPF) is essential for energy markets stakeholders (e.g. grid operators, energy traders, policymakers) but remains challenging due to the inherent volatility and nonlinearity of price signals. Traditional…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Kritchanat Ponyuenyong , Pengyu Tu , Jia Wei Tan , Wei Soon Cheong , Jamie Ng Suat Ling , Lianlian Jiang

Time series forecasting is an important predictive methodology which can be applied to a wide range of problems. Particularly, forecasting the indoor temperature permits an improved utilization of the HVAC (Heating, Ventilating and Air…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2015-04-22 Juan Pardo , Francisco Zamora-Martinez , Paloma Botella-Rocamora

Network or physical attacks on industrial equipment or computer systems may cause massive losses. Therefore, a quick and accurate anomaly detection (AD) based on monitoring data, especially the multivariate time-series (MTS) data, is of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-03 Jun Zhan , Chengkun Wu , Canqun Yang , Qiucheng Miao , Xiandong Ma

This paper introduces a novel meta-learning algorithm for time series forecast model performance prediction. We model the forecast error as a function of time series features calculated from the historical time series with an efficient…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-11 Thiyanga S. Talagala , Feng Li , Yanfei Kang

We introduce TopoPrimer, a framework that makes the global topological structure of the series population an explicit input to any forecasting model. TopoPrimer improves accuracy across diverse domains, stabilizes forecasts under seasonal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Zara Zetlin , Kayhan Moharreri , Maria Safi

Accurately forecasting dynamic processes on graphs, such as traffic flow or disease spread, remains a challenge. While Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) excel at modeling and forecasting spatio-temporal data, they often lack the ability to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-30 Zakaria Elabid , Lena Sasal , Daniel Busby , Abdenour Hadid

The Adaptive Optics (AO) performance significantly depends on the available Natural Guide Stars (NGSs) and a wide range of atmospheric conditions (seeing, Cn2, windspeed,...). In order to be able to easily predict the AO performance, we…

Atmospheric wavefront prediction based on previous wavefront sensor measurements can greatly enhance the performance of adaptive optics systems. We propose an optimal linear approach based on the Empirical Orthogonal Functions (EOF)…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-07-04 Olivier Guyon , Jared Males

Due to the latest environmental concerns in keeping at bay contaminants emissions in urban areas, air pollution forecasting has been rising the forefront of all researchers around the world. When predicting pollutant concentrations, it is…

Weather forecasting plays a critical role in various sectors, driving decision-making and risk management. However, traditional methods often struggle to capture the complex dynamics of meteorological systems, particularly in the presence…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Jiaze Wang , Hao Chen , Hongcan Xu , Jinpeng Li , Bowen Wang , Kun Shao , Furui Liu , Huaxi Chen , Guangyong Chen , Pheng-Ann Heng