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Markov decision processes are useful models of concurrency optimisation problems, but are often intractable for exhaustive verification methods. Recent work has introduced lightweight approximative techniques that sample directly from…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-03-24 Axel Legay , Sean Sedwards , Louis-Marie Traonouez

Verifying the behaviors of autonomous systems with learned perception components is a challenging problem due to the complexity of the perception and the uncertainty of operating environments. Probabilistic model checking is a powerful tool…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Matthew Cleaveland , Pengyuan Lu , Oleg Sokolsky , Insup Lee , Ivan Ruchkin

In this work, we study the problem of actively classifying the attributes of dynamical systems characterized as a finite set of Markov decision process (MDP) models. We are interested in finding strategies that actively interact with the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-06 Bo Wu , Niklas Lauffer , Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Suda Bharadwaj , Zhe Xu , Ufuk Topcu

The application of Predictive Process Monitoring (PPM) techniques is becoming increasingly widespread due to their capacity to provide organizations with accurate predictions regarding the future behavior of business processes, thereby…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Simona Fioretto , Elio Masciari

Constructing an accurate system model for formal model verification can be both resource demanding and time-consuming. To alleviate this shortcoming, algorithms have been proposed for automatically learning system models based on observed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-18 Hua Mao , Yingke Chen , Manfred Jaeger , Thomas D. Nielsen , Kim G. Larsen , Brian Nielsen

In this work we investigate an importance sampling approach for evaluating policies for a structurally time-varying factored Markov decision process (MDP), i.e. the policy's value is estimated with a high-probability confidence interval. In…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-07 Carmel Fiscko , Soummya Kar , Bruno Sinopoli

Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) with continuous state and observation spaces have powerful flexibility for representing real-world decision and control problems but are notoriously difficult to solve. Recent online…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Michael H. Lim , Claire J. Tomlin , Zachary N. Sunberg

We propose a simple technique for verifying probabilistic models whose transition probabilities are parametric. The key is to replace parametric transitions by nondeterministic choices of extremal values. Analysing the resulting…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2016-05-27 Tim Quatmann , Christian Dehnert , Nils Jansen , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen

Probabilistic modeling provides the capability to represent and manipulate uncertainty in data, models, predictions and decisions. We are concerned with the problem of learning probabilistic models of dynamical systems from measured data.…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-14 Thomas B. Schön , Andreas Svensson , Lawrence Murray , Fredrik Lindsten

We revisit the symbolic verification of Markov chains with respect to finite horizon reachability properties. The prevalent approach iteratively computes step-bounded state reachability probabilities. By contrast, recent advances in…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-07-01 Steven Holtzen , Sebastian Junges , Marcell Vazquez-Chanlatte , Todd Millstein , Sanjit A. Seshia , Guy Van Den Broeck

Probabilistic model checking traditionally verifies properties on the expected value of a measure of interest. This restriction may fail to capture the quality of service of a significant proportion of a system's runs, especially when the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Xiaotong Ji , Hanchun Wang , Antonio Filieri , Ilenia Epifani

We consider risk-sensitive Markov decision processes (MDPs), where the MDP model is influenced by a parameter which takes values in a compact metric space. We identify sufficient conditions under which small perturbations in the model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-28 Shiping Shao , Abhishek Gupta , William B. Haskell

We consider a class of sequential decision-making problems under uncertainty that can encompass various types of supervised learning concepts. These problems have a completely observed state process and a partially observed modulation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-24 R. Reid Bishop , Chelsea C. White

The discipline of process mining aims to study processes in a data-driven manner by analyzing historical process executions, often employing Petri nets. Event data, extracted from information systems (e.g. SAP), serve as the starting point…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-04-11 Marco Pegoraro , Merih Seran Uysal , Wil M. P. van der Aalst

We study planning problems where autonomous agents operate inside environments that are subject to uncertainties and not fully observable. Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) are a natural formal model to capture such…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-02-28 Steven Carr , Nils Jansen , Ralf Wimmer , Jie Fu , Ufuk Topcu

System modeling is a classical approach to ensure their reliability since it is suitable both for a formal verification and for software testing techniques. In the context of model-based testing an approach combining random testing and…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2018-06-14 Julien Bernard , Pierre-Cyrille Héam , Olga Kouchnarenko

Active classification, i.e., the sequential decision-making process aimed at data acquisition for classification purposes, arises naturally in many applications, including medical diagnosis, intrusion detection, and object tracking. In this…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-02 Bo Wu , Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Suda Bharadwaj , Ufuk Topcu

We consider the synthesis of control policies for probabilistic systems, modeled by Markov decision processes, operating in partially known environments with temporal logic specifications. The environment is modeled by a set of Markov…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2012-03-07 Tichakorn Wongpiromsarn , Emilio Frazzoli

In this paper, we consider the problem of safety assessment for Markov decision processes without explicit knowledge of the model. We aim to learn probabilistic safety specifications associated with a given policy without compromising the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-11 Abhijit Mazumdar , Rafal Wisniewski , Manuela L. Bujorianu

Probabilistic Event Calculus (PEC) is a logical framework for reasoning about actions and their effects in uncertain environments, which enables the representation of probabilistic narratives and computation of temporal projections. The PEC…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-18 Lyris Xu , Fabio Aurelio D'Asaro , Luke Dickens