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An important challenge in statistical analysis lies in controlling the bias of estimators due to the ever-increasing data size and model complexity. Approximate numerical methods and data features like censoring and misclassification often…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Stéphane Guerrier , Mucyo Karemera , Samuel Orso , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser , Yuming Zhang

Despite exceptional predictive performance of Deep sequence models (DSMs), the main concern of their deployment centers around the lack of uncertainty awareness. In contrast, probabilistic models quantify the uncertainty associated with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Wenlong Chen

We introduce a model checking approach to diagnose the emerging of bone pathologies. The implementation of a new model of bone remodeling in PRISM has led to an interesting characterization of osteoporosis as a defective bone remodeling…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2011-11-10 Pietro Liò , Emanuela Merelli , Nicola Paoletti

Scoring systems are linear classification models that only require users to add, subtract and multiply a few small numbers in order to make a prediction. These models are in widespread use by the medical community, but are difficult to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-07 Berk Ustun , Cynthia Rudin

Verifying the correctness of Bayesian computation is challenging. This is especially true for complex models that are common in practice, as these require sophisticated model implementations and algorithms. In this paper we introduce…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-22 Sean Talts , Michael Betancourt , Daniel Simpson , Aki Vehtari , Andrew Gelman

The utilization of model checking has been suggested as a formal verification technique for analyzing critical systems. However, the primary challenge in applying to complex systems is state space explosion problem. To address this issue,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Mohammadsadegh Mohaghegh , Khayyam Salehi

Predictive coding is an influential model of cortical neural activity. It proposes that perceptual beliefs are furnished by sequentially minimising "prediction errors" - the differences between predicted and observed data. Implicit in this…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-07 Alexander Tschantz , Beren Millidge , Anil K Seth , Christopher L Buckley

With the current ongoing debate about fairness, explainability and transparency of machine learning models, their application in high-impact clinical decision-making systems must be scrutinized. We consider a real-life example of risk…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-13 Sandhya Tripathi , Bradley A. Fritz , Mohamed Abdelhack , Michael S. Avidan , Yixin Chen , Christopher R. King

Neural simulation-based inference is a powerful class of machine-learning-based methods for statistical inference that naturally handles high-dimensional parameter estimation without the need to bin data into low-dimensional summary…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-06-16 ATLAS Collaboration

Simulation models are an absolute necessity in the human and social sciences, which can only very exceptionally use experimental science methods to construct their knowledge. Models enable the simulation of social processes by replacing the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-01-06 J. Raimbault , D. Pumain

The ability to accurately model the fitness landscape of protein sequences is critical to a wide range of applications, from quantifying the effects of human variants on disease likelihood, to predicting immune-escape mutations in viruses…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-30 Pascal Notin , Mafalda Dias , Jonathan Frazer , Javier Marchena-Hurtado , Aidan Gomez , Debora S. Marks , Yarin Gal

Bayesian methods are appealing in their flexibility in modeling complex data and ability in capturing uncertainty in parameters. However, when Bayes' rule does not result in tractable closed-form, most approximate inference algorithms lack…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-09 Bo Dai , Niao He , Hanjun Dai , Le Song

We investigate a long-debated question, which is how to create predictive models of recidivism that are sufficiently accurate, transparent, and interpretable to use for decision-making. This question is complicated as these models are used…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-20 Jiaming Zeng , Berk Ustun , Cynthia Rudin

One of the possible objectives when designing experiments is to build or formulate a model for predicting future observations. When the primary objective is prediction, some typical approaches in the planning phase are to use…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-04 Trent Lemkus , Philip Ramsey , Christopher Gotwalt , Maria Weese

When physical testbeds are out of reach for evaluating a networked system, we frequently turn to simulation. In today's datacenter networks, bottlenecks are rarely at the network protocol level, but instead in end-host software or hardware…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2024-02-09 Hejing Li , Praneeth Balasubramanian , Marvin Meiers , Jialin Li , Antoine Kaufmann

This work studies heterogeneous Multi-Objective Reinforcement Learning (MORL), where objectives can differ sharply in temporal frequency. Such heterogeneity allows dense objectives to dominate learning, while sparse long-horizon rewards…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Finn van der Knaap , Kejiang Qian , Zheng Xu , Fengxiang He

Inference-time compute has re-emerged as a practical way to improve LLM reasoning. Most test-time scaling (TTS) algorithms rely on autoregressive decoding, which is ill-suited to discrete diffusion language models (dLLMs) due to their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Jinbin Bai , Yixuan Li , Yuchen Zhu , Yi Xin , Qingyu Shi , Aosong Feng , Xiaohong Liu , Molei Tao , Jianru Xue , Xiangtai Li , Ming-Hsuan Yang

Bayesian sparse factor models have proven useful for characterizing dependence in multivariate data, but scaling computation to large numbers of samples and dimensions is problematic. We propose expandable factor analysis for scalable…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-21 Sanvesh Srivastava , Barbara E. Engelhardt , David B. Dunson

The analysis of data from multiple experiments, such as observations of several individuals, is commonly approached using mixed-effects models, which account for variation between individuals through hierarchical representations. This makes…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-05 Henrik Häggström , Sebastian Persson , Marija Cvijovic , Umberto Picchini

Achieving precise alignment between user intent and generated visuals remains a central challenge in text-to-visual generation, as a single attempt often fails to produce the desired output. To handle this, prior approaches mainly scale the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Subin Kim , Sangwoo Mo , Mamshad Nayeem Rizve , Yiran Xu , Difan Liu , Jinwoo Shin , Tobias Hinz