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We consider simple stochastic climate models, described by slowly time-dependent Langevin equations. We show that when the noise intensity is not too large, these systems can spend substantial amounts of time in metastable equilibrium,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Nils Berglund , Barbara Gentz

We present simple classical dynamical models to address the question of introducing a stochastic nature in a time variable. These models include noise in the time variable but not in the "space" variable, which is opposite to the normal…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Toru Ohira

Critical transitions, ubiquitous in nature and technology, necessitate anticipation to avert adverse outcomes. While many studies focus on bifurcation-induced tipping, where a control parameter change leads to destabilization, alternative…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-03-03 Martin Heßler , Oliver Kamps

There is growing interest in anticipating critical transitions in natural systems, often pursued through statistical detection of early warning signals associated with dynamical bifurcations. In stochastic dynamical systems, such signals…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Florian Suerhoff , Andreas Morr , Sebastian Bathiany , Niklas Boers , Christian Kuehn

Tipping elements in the climate system are large-scale subregions of the Earth that might possess threshold behavior under global warming with large potential impacts on human societies. Here, we study a subset of five tipping elements and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-25 Nico Wunderling , Maximilian Gelbrecht , Ricarda Winkelmann , Jürgen Kurths , Jonathan Donges

We show the existence of a competition-induced resonance effect for a generic globally coupled bistable system. In particular, we demonstrate that the response of the macroscopic variable to an external signal is optimal for a particular…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-29 T. Vaz Martins , V. N. Livina , A. P. Majtey , R. Toral

This paper considers nonlinear dynamics of polarization oscillations when some materials when they are subjected to the action of an electromagnetic wave modeled by multifrequency forced Duffing equation. Multiresonance and chaotic behavior…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-05-10 C. Ainamon , C. H. Miwadinou , A. V. Monwanou , J. B. Chabi Orou

Periodic forcing of nonlinear oscillators generates a rich and complex variety of behaviors, ranging from regular to chaotic behavior. In this work we seek to control, i.e., either suppress or generate, the chaotic behavior of a classical…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2011-08-23 R. Chabreyrie , N. Aubry

Existing methods for diagnosing predictability in climate indices often make a number of unjustified assumptions about the climate system that can lead to misleading conclusions. We present a flexible family of state-space models capable of…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-10 Philip G. Sansom , David B. Stephenson , Daniel B. Williamson

This chapter is dedicated to the slow dynamics of the climate system, at time scales of one~thousand to one million years. We focus specifically on the phenomenon of ice ages that has characterised the slow evolution of climate over the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-12-14 Michel Crucifix , Guillaume Lenoir , Takahito Mitsui

We investigate a type of bistability where noise not only causes transitions between stable states, but also constructs the states themselves. We focus on the experimentally well-studied system of ants choosing between two food sources to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-16 Tommaso Biancalani , Louise Dyson , Alan J. McKane

We evoke the idea of representation of the chaotic attractor by the set of unstable periodic orbits and disclose a novel noise-induced ordering phenomenon. For long unstable periodic orbits forming the strange attractor the weights (or…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-05-14 Denis S. Goldobin

Can noise be beneficial to machine-learning prediction of chaotic systems? Utilizing reservoir computers as a paradigm, we find that injecting noise to the training data can induce a stochastic resonance with significant benefits to both…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-21 Zheng-Meng Zhai , Ling-Wei Kong , Ying-Cheng Lai

Slow-fast dynamics and resonant phenomena can be found in a wide range of physical systems, including problems of celestial mechanics, fluid mechanics, and charged particle dynamics. Important resonant effects that control transport in the…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2020-03-18 A. V. Artemyev , A. I. Neishtadt , A. A. Vasiliev

We propose and analyse a mechanism by which $\mathrm{CO}_2$-driven radiative forcing can increase Arctic temperature variability in a stochastic Sellers-type energy-balance model. Starting from a fast-slow formulation in which insolation is…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Gianmarco Del Sarto , Franco Flandoli , Marta Lenzi

We investigate the effects of a time-correlated noise on an extended chaotic system. The chosen model is the Lorenz'96, a kind of toy model used for climate studies. The system is subjected to both temporal and spatiotemporal perturbations.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-07-18 Jorge A. Revelli , Miguel A. Rodriguez , Horacio S. Wio

The effect of a temporal modulation at three times the critical frequency on a Hopf bifurcation is studied in the framework of amplitude equations. We consider a complex Ginzburg-Landau equation with an extra quadratic term, resulting from…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2009-11-07 Rafael Gallego , Daniel Walgraef , Maxi San Miguel , Raul Toral

We study the periodic forced response of a system of two limit cycle oscillators that interact with each other via a time delayed coupling. Detailed bifurcation diagrams in the parameter space of the forcing amplitude and forcing frequency…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 D. V. Ramana Reddy , A. Sen , G. L. Johnston

The dynamic region of out-of-time-ordered correlators (OTOCs) serves as a powerful indicator of chaos in classical and semiclassical systems, capturing the characteristic exponential growth. In contrast, this signature fails to appear in…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-08-05 Rohit Kumar Shukla , Gaurav Rudra Malik , S. Aravinda , Sunil Kumar Mishra

In this manuscript we show that a noise-activated escape phenomenon occurs in closed Hamiltonian systems. Due to the energy fluctuations generated by the noise, the isopotential curves open up and the particles can eventually escape in…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2021-11-17 Alexandre R. Nieto , Jesus M. Seoane , Miguel A. F. Sanjuan