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We study control of constrained linear systems with only partial statistical information about the uncertainty affecting the system dynamics and the sensor measurements. Specifically, given a finite collection of disturbance realizations…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-15 Jean-Sébastien Brouillon , Andrea Martin , John Lygeros , Florian Dörfler , Giancarlo Ferrari Trecate

This paper builds Wasserstein ambiguity sets for the unknown probability distribution of dynamic random variables leveraging noisy partial-state observations. The constructed ambiguity sets contain the true distribution of the data with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Dimitris Boskos , Jorge Cortés , Sonia Martínez

Gaussian process (GP) regression is widely used for uncertainty quantification, yet the standard formulation assumes noise-free covariates. When inputs are measured with error, this errors-in-variables (EIV) setting can lead to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-19 Hengrui Luo , Xiaoye S. Li , Yang Liu , Marcus Noack , Ji Qiang , Mark D. Risser

Algorithmic stability is an important notion that has proven powerful for deriving generalization bounds for practical algorithms. The last decade has witnessed an increasing number of stability bounds for different algorithms applied on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-31 Lingjiong Zhu , Mert Gurbuzbalaban , Anant Raj , Umut Simsekli

As a natural approach to modeling system safety conditions, chance constraint (CC) seeks to satisfy a set of uncertain inequalities individually or jointly with high probability. Although a joint CC offers stronger reliability certificate,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-04 Haoming Shen , Ruiwei Jiang

For $\ell\colon \mathbb{R}^d \to [0,\infty)$ we consider the sequence of probability measures $\left(\mu_n\right)_{n \in \mathbb{N}}$, where $\mu_n$ is determined by a density that is proportional to $\exp(-n\ell)$. We allow for infinitely…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-11 Mareike Hasenpflug , Daniel Rudolf , Björn Sprungk

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) has become a powerful framework for estimation under uncertainty, offering strong out-of-sample performance and principled regularization. In this paper, we propose a DRO-based method for linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-06 Liviu Aolaritei , Soroosh Shafiee , Florian Dörfler

Detecting weak, systematic distribution shifts and quantitatively modeling individual, heterogeneous responses to policies or incentives have found increasing empirical applications in social and economic sciences. Given two probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-29 YoonHaeng Hur , Tengyuan Liang

In this article we present a general framework for non-concave robust stochastic control problems under model uncertainty in a discrete time finite horizon setting. Our framework allows to consider a variety of different path-dependent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Ariel Neufeld , Julian Sester

We present a nonparametric framework to model a short sequence of probability distributions that vary both due to underlying effects of sequential progression and confounding noise. To distinguish between these two types of variation and…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-08 Jonas Mueller , Tommi Jaakkola , David Gifford

This paper presents a novel Wasserstein distributionally robust control and state estimation algorithm for partially observable linear stochastic systems, where the probability distributions of disturbances and measurement noises are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-05 Minhyuk Jang , Astghik Hakobyan , Insoon Yang

We present a novel $Q$-learning algorithm tailored to solve distributionally robust Markov decision problems where the corresponding ambiguity set of transition probabilities for the underlying Markov decision process is a Wasserstein ball…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Ariel Neufeld , Julian Sester

Sliced Wasserstein distances preserve properties of classic Wasserstein distances while being more scalable for computation and estimation in high dimensions. The goal of this work is to quantify this scalability from three key aspects: (i)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-18 Sloan Nietert , Ritwik Sadhu , Ziv Goldfeld , Kengo Kato

Using only retrospective data, we study the problem of predicting treatment effects for the same treatment/policy implemented in a different location or time period. We propose a distributionally robust estimator that minimizes the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-29 Ruonan Xu , Xiye Yang

Let $X_t$ be the (reflecting) diffusion process generated by $L:=\Delta+\nabla V$ on a complete connected Riemannian manifold $M$ possibly with a boundary $\partial M$, where $V\in C^1(M)$ such that $\mu(d x):= e^{V(x)}d x$ is a probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-06 Feng-Yu Wang

Causal inference requires evaluating models on balanced distributions between treatment and control groups, while training data often exhibits imbalance due to historical decision-making policies. Most conventional statistical methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-21 Akira Tanimoto

By using the spectrum of the underlying symmetric diffusion operator, the convergence in $L^p$-Wasserstein distance $\mathbb W_p (p\ge 1)$ is characterized for the empirical measure $\mu_t$ of non-symmetric subordinated diffusion processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Feng-Yu Wang

The success of autoregressive models largely depends on the effectiveness of vector quantization, a technique that discretizes continuous features by mapping them to the nearest code vectors within a learnable codebook. Two critical issues…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-19 Xianghong Fang , Litao Guo , Hengchao Chen , Yuxuan Zhang , XiaofanXia , Dingjie Song , Yexin Liu , Hao Wang , Harry Yang , Yuan Yuan , Qiang Sun

This paper studies distributionally robust optimization for a rich class of risk measures with ambiguity sets defined by $\phi$-divergences. The risk measures are allowed to be non-linear in probabilities, are represented by Choquet…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Guanyu Jin , Roger J. A. Laeven , Dick den Hertog

Machine learning image classifiers are susceptible to adversarial and corruption perturbations. Adding imperceptible noise to images can lead to severe misclassifications of the machine learning model. Using $L_p$-norms for measuring the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-14 Tobias Wegel , Felix Assion , David Mickisch , Florens Greßner