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Modern time series forecasting increasingly relies on complex ensemble models generated by AutoML systems like AutoGluon, delivering superior accuracy but with significant costs to transparency and interpretability. This paper introduces a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Yikai Zhao , Jiekai Ma

The goal of selective prediction is to allow an a model to abstain when it may not be able to deliver a reliable prediction, which is important in safety-critical contexts. Existing approaches to selective prediction typically require…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-17 Zaid Khan , Yun Fu

Counterfactual explanations promote explainability in machine learning models by answering the question "how should an input instance be perturbed to obtain a desired predicted label?". The comparison of this instance before and after…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-09 Jing Ma , Ruocheng Guo , Saumitra Mishra , Aidong Zhang , Jundong Li

In practical scenarios where training data is limited, many predictive signals in the data can be rather from some biases in data acquisition (i.e., less generalizable), so that one cannot prevent a model from co-adapting on such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-27 Jongheon Jeong , Sihyun Yu , Hankook Lee , Jinwoo Shin

There have been several post-hoc explanation approaches developed to explain pre-trained black-box neural networks. However, there is still a gap in research efforts toward designing neural networks that are inherently explainable. In this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-01 Subash Khanal , Benjamin Brodie , Xin Xing , Ai-Ling Lin , Nathan Jacobs

Models can fail in unpredictable ways during deployment due to task ambiguity, when multiple behaviors are consistent with the provided training data. An example is an object classifier trained on red squares and blue circles: when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-20 Alex Tamkin , Dat Nguyen , Salil Deshpande , Jesse Mu , Noah Goodman

Machine learning (ML) surrogate models are increasingly used in engineering analysis and design to replace computationally expensive simulation models, significantly reducing computational cost and accelerating decision-making processes.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-22 Xiaoping Du

Building a question answering (QA) model with less annotation costs can be achieved by utilizing active learning (AL) training strategy. It selects the most informative unlabeled training data to update the model effectively. Acquisition…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Fan Luo , Mihai Surdeanu

Generative models of complex systems often require post-hoc parameter adjustments to produce useful outputs. For example, energy-based models for protein design are sampled at an artificially low ''temperature'' to generate novel,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-11 Peter W Fields , Vudtiwat Ngampruetikorn , David J Schwab , Stephanie E Palmer

Organisms and ecological groups accumulate evidence to make decisions. Classic experiments and theoretical studies have explored this process when the correct choice is fixed during each trial. However, we live in a constantly changing…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-10-01 Alan Veliz-Cuba , Zachary P. Kilpatrick , Kresimir Josic

Explainable AI (XAI) methods generally fall into two categories. Post-hoc approaches generate explanations for pre-trained models and are compatible with various neural network architectures. These methods often use feature importance…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Piotr Borycki , Magdalena Trędowicz , Szymon Janusz , Jacek Tabor , Przemysław Spurek , Arkadiusz Lewicki , Łukasz Struski

Personalisation of products and services is fast becoming the driver of success in banking and commerce. Machine learning holds the promise of gaining a deeper understanding of and tailoring to customers' needs and preferences. Whereas…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-30 Charl Maree , Christian Omlin

We address the problem of uncertainty calibration. While standard deep neural networks typically yield uncalibrated predictions, calibrated confidence scores that are representative of the true likelihood of a prediction can be achieved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-24 Christian Tomani , Sebastian Gruber , Muhammed Ebrar Erdem , Daniel Cremers , Florian Buettner

Predicting default is essential for banks to ensure profitability and financial stability. While modern machine learning methods often outperform traditional regression techniques, their lack of transparency limits their use in regulated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Sagi Schwartz , Qinling Wang , Fang Fang

Neural networks have achieved remarkable success across various fields. However, the lack of interpretability limits their practical use, particularly in critical decision-making scenarios. Post-hoc interpretability, which provides…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Yang Ji , Ying Sun , Yuting Zhang , Zhigaoyuan Wang , Yuanxin Zhuang , Zheng Gong , Dazhong Shen , Chuan Qin , Hengshu Zhu , Hui Xiong

Given a limited labeling budget, active learning (AL) aims to sample the most informative instances from an unlabeled pool to acquire labels for subsequent model training. To achieve this, AL typically measures the informativeness of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-07 Cheng Chen , Yong Wang , Lizi Liao , Yueguo Chen , Xiaoyong Du

We propose Black Box Explanations through Transparent Approximations (BETA), a novel model agnostic framework for explaining the behavior of any black-box classifier by simultaneously optimizing for fidelity to the original model and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-07-06 Himabindu Lakkaraju , Ece Kamar , Rich Caruana , Jure Leskovec

As the use of deep neural networks continues to grow, understanding their behaviour has become more crucial than ever. Post-hoc explainability methods are a potential solution, but their reliability is being called into question. Our…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-31 Lenka Tětková , Lars Kai Hansen

This position paper defends post-hoc explainability methods as legitimate tools for scientific knowledge production in machine learning. Addressing criticism of these methods' reliability and epistemic status, we develop a philosophical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Nick Oh

Explaining the decisions made by machine learning models for high-stakes applications is critical for increasing transparency and guiding improvements to these decisions. This is particularly true in the case of models for graphs, where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Kha-Dinh Luong , Mert Kosan , Arlei Lopes Da Silva , Ambuj Singh
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