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In the realm of consumer lending, accurate credit default prediction stands as a critical element in risk mitigation and lending decision optimization. Extensive research has sought continuous improvement in existing models to enhance…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-02-29 Mengran Zhu , Ye Zhang , Yulu Gong , Kaijuan Xing , Xu Yan , Jintong Song

The increasing availability of advanced computational modelling offers new opportunities to improve safety, efficacy, and emissions reductions. Application of complex models to support engineering decisions has been slow in comparison to…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-01 Domenic Di Francesco , Alan Forrest , Fiona McGarry , Nicholas Hall , Adam Sobey

The rapid growth of renewable energy penetration has intensified the need for reliable probabilistic forecasts to support grid operations at aggregated (fleet or system) levels. In practice, however, system operators often lack access to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Alireza Moradi , Mathieu Tanneau , Reza Zandehshahvar , Pascal Van Hentenryck

We introduce efficient plug-in (EP) learning, a novel framework for the estimation of heterogeneous causal contrasts, such as the conditional average treatment effect and conditional relative risk. The EP-learning framework enjoys the same…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-20 Lars van der Laan , Marco Carone , Alex Luedtke

Compound AI Systems, integrating multiple interacting components like models, retrievers, and external tools, have emerged as essential for addressing complex AI tasks. However, current implementations suffer from inefficient resource…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Gohar Irfan Chaudhry , Esha Choukse , Íñigo Goiri , Rodrigo Fonseca , Adam Belay , Ricardo Bianchini

We introduce the arbitrary rectangle-range generalized elastic net penalty method, abbreviated to ARGEN, for performing constrained variable selection and regularization in high-dimensional sparse linear models. As a natural extension of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-16 Yujia Ding , Qidi Peng , Zhengming Song , Hansen Chen

Metacognition is the concept of reasoning about an agent's own internal processes, and it has recently received renewed attention with respect to artificial intelligence (AI) and, more specifically, machine learning systems. This paper…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-11 Paulo Shakarian , Gerardo I. Simari , Nathaniel D. Bastian

This work proposes a new adaptive-robust control (ARC) architecture for a class of uncertain Euler-Lagrange (EL) systems where the upper bound of the uncertainty satisfies linear in parameters (LIP) structure. Conventional ARC strategies…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-05-10 Spandan Roy , Sayan Basu Roy , Indra Narayan Kar

Continuous-time nonlinear optimal control problems hold great promise in real-world applications. After decades of development, reinforcement learning (RL) has achieved some of the greatest successes as a general nonlinear control design…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-19 Brent A. Wallace , Jennie Si

Multi-Agent Debate (MAD) is a collaborative framework in which multiple agents iteratively refine solutions through the generation of reasoning and alternating critique cycles. Current work primarily optimizes intra-round topologies and…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Yiqing Liu , Hantao Yao , Wu Liu , Allen He , Yongdong Zhang

Ensemble learning has proven effective in improving predictive performance and estimating uncertainty in neural networks. However, conventional ensemble methods often suffer from redundant parameter usage and computational inefficiencies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Arnav Kharbanda , Advait Chandorkar

Economic model predictive control (EMPC) is a promising methodology for optimal operation of dynamical processes that has been shown to improve process economics considerably. However, EMPC performance relies heavily on the accuracy of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-10 Khalid Alhazmi , Fahad Albalawi , S. Mani Sarathy

We investigate ensemble methods for prediction in an online setting. Unlike all the literature in ensembling, for the first time, we introduce a new approach using a meta learner that effectively combines the base model predictions via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Arda Fazla , Mustafa Enes Aydin , Orhun Tamyigit , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

We study the problem of online learning in predictive control of an unknown linear dynamical system with time varying cost functions which are unknown apriori. Specifically, we study the online learning problem where the control algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-01 Deepan Muthirayan , Jianjun Yuan , Dileep Kalathil , Pramod P. Khargonekar

As AI agents transition from human-supervised copilots to autonomous platform infrastructure, the ability to analyze their reasoning behavior across populations of investigations becomes a pressing infrastructure requirement. Existing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Neelmani Vispute , Aditya Kadam

Named Entity Recognition (NER) serves as a foundational component in many natural language processing (NLP) pipelines. However, current NER models typically output a single predicted label sequence without any accompanying measure of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Matthew Singer , Srijan Sengupta , Karl Pazdernik

Peer prediction refers to a collection of mechanisms for eliciting information from human agents when direct verification of the obtained information is unavailable. They are designed to have a game-theoretic equilibrium where everyone…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-10-28 Shi Feng , Fang-Yi Yu , Yiling Chen

Conformal prediction is a framework for uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets for previously unseen data, guaranteeing coverage of the true label with a specified probability. However, the efficiency of these prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

High-Risk Property (HRP) classification is critical at U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) sites, where inventories include sensitive and often dual-use equipment. Compliance must track evolving rules designated by various export control…

Conformal prediction is an emerging technique for uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets guaranteed to contain the true label with a predefined probability. Recent work develops online conformal prediction methods that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Huajun Xi , Kangdao Liu , Hao Zeng , Wenguang Sun , Hongxin Wei