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Financial market prediction is a challenging application of machine learning, where even small improvements in directional accuracy can yield substantial value. Most models struggle to exceed 55--57\% accuracy due to high noise,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Abraham Itzhak Weinberg

This study first reconstructs three deep learning powered stock trading models and their associated strategies that are representative of distinct approaches to the problem and established upon different aspects of the many theories evolved…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-07 Haohan Zhang

Accurate prediction of future prices of stocks is a difficult task to perform. Even more challenging is to design an optimized portfolio of stocks with the identification of proper weights of allocation to achieve the optimized values of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-04 Jaydip Sen , Sidra Mehtab , Abhishek Dutta , Saikat Mondal

In this work, we apply machine learning techniques to historical stock prices to forecast future prices. To achieve this, we use recursive approaches that are appropriate for handling time series data. In particular, we apply a linear…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-08 Ogulcan E. Orsel , Sasha S. Yamada

This paper intends to apply the Hidden Markov Model into stock market and and make predictions. Moreover, four different methods of improvement, which are GMM-HMM, XGB-HMM, GMM-HMM+LSTM and XGB-HMM+LSTM, will be discussed later with the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-21 Mingwen Liu , Junbang Huo , Yulin Wu , Jinge Wu

Accurate prediction of future prices of stocks is a difficult task to perform. Even more challenging is to design an optimized portfolio with weights allocated to the stocks in a way that optimizes its return and the risk. This paper…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-06 Jaydip Sen , Saikat Mondal , Gourab Nath

The financial domain presents a complex environment for stock market prediction, characterized by volatile patterns and the influence of multifaceted data sources. Traditional models have leveraged either Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN)…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-08 Arya Chakraborty , Auhona Basu

Time series forecasting is a key tool in financial markets, helping to predict asset prices and guide investment decisions. In highly volatile markets, such as cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), forecasting becomes more…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-17 Mabsur Fatin Bin Hossain , Lubna Zahan Lamia , Md Mahmudur Rahman , Md Mosaddek Khan

Portfolio optimization has been a broad and intense area of interest for quantitative and statistical finance researchers and financial analysts. It is a challenging task to design a portfolio of stocks to arrive at the optimized values of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-08 Jaydip Sen , Saikat Mondal , Sidra Mehtab

Economy is severely dependent on the stock market. An uptrend usually corresponds to prosperity while a downtrend correlates to recession. Predicting the stock market has thus been a centre of research and experiment for a long time. Being…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-15 Shayan Halder

This paper applies a recurrent neural network, the LSTM, to forecast inflation. This is an appealing model for time series as it processes each time step sequentially and explicitly learns dynamic dependencies. The paper also explores the…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-03 Livia Paranhos

Accurate forecasting of financial markets remains a long-standing challenge due to complex temporal and often latent dependencies, non-linear dynamics, and high volatility. Building on our earlier recurrent neural network framework, we…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-05 Shaswat Mohanty

Deep learning offers new tools for portfolio optimization. We present an end-to-end framework that directly learns portfolio weights by combining Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to model temporal patterns, Graph Attention Networks…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-27 Yun Lin , Jiawei Lou , Jinghe Zhang

We investigate the predictability of several range-based stock volatility estimators, and compare them to the standard close-to-close estimator which is most commonly acknowledged as the volatility. The patterns of volatility changes are…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-21 Gábor Petneházi , József Gáll

Prediction of stock groups' values has always been attractive and challenging for shareholders. This paper concentrates on the future prediction of stock market groups. Four groups named diversified financials, petroleum, non-metallic…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-26 Mojtaba Nabipour , Pooyan Nayyeri , Hamed Jabani , Amir Mosavi

This paper introduces a hybrid framework for portfolio optimization that fuses Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) forecasting with a Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) reinforcement learning strategy. The proposed system leverages the predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Jun Kevin , Pujianto Yugopuspito

This research proposes a cutting-edge ensemble deep learning framework for stock price prediction by combining three advanced neural network architectures: The particular areas of interest for the research include but are not limited to:…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-31 Anindya Sarkar , G. Vadivu

In recent fast-paced financial markets, investors constantly seek ways to gain an edge and make informed decisions. Although achieving perfect accuracy in stock price predictions remains elusive, artificial intelligence (AI) advancements…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-12 Jue Xiao , Tingting Deng , Shuochen Bi

Stock return prediction is fundamental to financial decision-making, yet traditional time series models fail to capture the complex interdependencies between companies in modern markets. We propose the Full-State Graph Convolutional LSTM…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-09 Chang Liu

We study the dynamic portfolio selection of an investor who uses deep learning methods to forecast stock market excess returns. In a two-asset allocation problem, deep neural networks -- both feedforward and long short-term memory (LSTM)…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-16 Mykola Babiak , Jozef Barunik