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Deep neural networks generalize well despite being heavily overparameterized, in apparent contradiction with classical learning theory based on uniform convergence over fixed hypothesis spaces. Uniform bounds over the entire parameter space…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-15 Hubert Leroux , Jean Marcus , Julien Roger

We introduce a randomized iterative fragmentation procedure for finite metric spaces, which is guaranteed to result in a polynomially large subset that is $D$-equivalent to an ultrametric, where $D\in (2,\infty)$ is a prescribed target…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2010-03-23 Assaf Naor , Terence Tao

Graph neural networks (GNNs) work remarkably well in semi-supervised node regression, yet a rigorous theory explaining when and why they succeed remains lacking. To address this gap, we study an aggregate-and-readout model that encompasses…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-20 Juntong Chen , Claire Donnat , Olga Klopp , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

Regression with a spherical response is challenging due to the absence of linear structure, making standard regression models inadequate. Existing methods, mainly parametric, lack the flexibility to capture the complex relationship induced…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Houren Hong , Janice L. Scealy , Andrew T. A. Wood , Yanrong Yang

The mean-variance portfolio model, based on the risk-return trade-off for optimal asset allocation, remains foundational in portfolio optimization. However, its reliance on restrictive assumptions about asset return distributions limits its…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-17 Savita Pareek , Sujit K. Ghosh

Binary classification is widely used in ML production systems. Monitoring classifiers in a constrained event space is well known. However, real world production systems often lack the ground truth these methods require. Privacy concerns may…

Nonlinear dynamical systems with regime transitions are typically described by ordinary differential equations with jumping parameters parameters. Traditional methods often treat change-point detection and parameter estimation as separate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-29 Yuhe Bai , Chengli Tan , Jiaqi Li , Xiangjun Wang , Zhikun Zhang

The invariance principle from causality is at the heart of notable approaches such as invariant risk minimization (IRM) that seek to address out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization failures. Despite the promising theory, invariance…

We study high-dimensional mean estimation in a collaborative setting where data is contributed by $N$ users in batches of size $n$. In this environment, a learner seeks to recover the mean $\mu$ of a true distribution $P$ from a collection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Vladimir Braverman , Yuhan Liu , Junze Yin

In this paper we study the asymptotics of linear regression in settings with non-Gaussian covariates where the covariates exhibit a linear dependency structure, departing from the standard assumption of independence. We model the covariates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-10 Behrad Moniri , Hamed Hassani

It is crucial to detect when an instance lies downright too far from the training samples for the machine learning model to be trusted, a challenge known as out-of-distribution (OOD) detection. For neural networks, one approach to this task…

We study a matrix completion problem where both the ground truth $R$ matrix and the unknown sampling distribution $P$ over observed entries are low-rank matrices, and \textit{share a common subspace}. We assume that a large amount $M$ of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-24 Antoine Ledent , Mun Chong Soo , Nong Minh Hieu

Distribution shift between train (source) and test (target) datasets is a common problem encountered in machine learning applications. One approach to resolve this issue is to use the Unsupervised Domain Adaptation (UDA) technique that…

Detecting anomalous time series is key for scientific, medical and industrial tasks, but is challenging due to its inherent unsupervised nature. In recent years, progress has been made on this task by learning increasingly more complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Yedid Hoshen

Inspired by logistic regression, we introduce a regression model for data tuples consisting of a binary response and a set of covariates residing in a metric space without vector structures. Based on the proposed model we also develop a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-15 Yinan Lin , Zhenhua Lin

Recovering continuous-time dynamics from discrete observations is difficult because local supervision (e.g., pointwise regression targets, derivative approximations, or equation residuals) loses fidelity as the observation interval grows.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yuxiang Luo , Andrew Perrault

We propose and analyze a new estimator of the covariance matrix that admits strong theoretical guarantees under weak assumptions on the underlying distribution, such as existence of moments of only low order. While estimation of covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-17 Stanislav Minsker , Xiaohan Wei

Classical semiparametric inference with missing outcome data is not robust to contamination of the observed data and a single observation can have arbitrarily large influence on estimation of a parameter of interest. This sensitivity is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Eva Cantoni , Xavier de Luna

Nonparametric detection of existence of an anomalous structure over a network is investigated. Nodes corresponding to the anomalous structure (if one exists) receive samples generated by a distribution q, which is different from a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-11 Shaofeng Zou , Yingbin Liang , H. Vincent Poor

Nonlinear causal discovery from observational data imposes strict identifiability assumptions on the formulation of structural equations utilized in the data generating process. The evaluation of structure learning methods under assumption…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-17 Georg Velev , Stefan Lessmann