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We consider a tick-by-tick model of price formation, in which buy and sell orders are modeled as self-exciting point processes (Hawkes process), similar to the one in [Bacry, Delattre, Hoffmann, Muzy, Modelling microstructure noise with…
This thesis investigates Merton's portfolio problem under two different rough Heston models, which have a non-Markovian structure. The motivation behind this choice of problem is due to the recent discovery and success of rough volatility…
Weakly nonlinear amplitude equations are derived for the onset of spatially extended patterns on a general class of n-component bulk-surface reaction-diffusion systems in a ball, under the assumption of linear kinetics in the bulk and…
This paper continues the examination of inventory control in which the inventory is modelled by a diffusion process and a long-term average cost criterion is used to make decisions. The class of such models under consideration have general…
This article extends the autoregressive count time series model class by allowing for a model with regimes, that is, some of the parameters in the model depend on the state of an unobserved Markov chain. We develop a quasi-maximum…
Introduction: The paper addresses the challenging problem of predicting the short-term realized volatility of the Bitcoin price using order flow information. The inherent stochastic nature and anti-persistence of price pose difficulties in…
We study an extension of the Heston stochastic volatility model that incorporates rough volatility and jump clustering phenomena. In our model, named the rough Hawkes Heston stochastic volatility model, the spot variance is a rough…
Variable selection for models including interactions between explanatory variables often needs to obey certain hierarchical constraints. The weak or strong structural hierarchy requires that the existence of an interaction term implies at…
We present a low-order modeling technique for actuated flows based on the regularization of an inverse problem. The inverse problem aims at minimizing the error between the model predictions and some reference simulations. The parameters to…
Volatility modelling has become a significant area of research within Financial Mathematics. Wiener process driven stochastic volatility models have become popular due their consistency with theoretical arguments and empirical observations.…
Rough volatility models are known to reproduce the behavior of historical volatility data while at the same time fitting the volatility surface remarkably well, with very few parameters. However, managing the risks of derivatives under…
We consider a class of fractional stochastic volatility models (including the so-called rough Bergomi model), where the volatility is a superlinear function of a fractional Gaussian process. We show that the stock price is a true martingale…
We consider a class of stochastic path-dependent volatility models where the stochastic volatility, whose square follows the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model, is multiplied by a (leverage) function of the spot price, its running maximum, and time.…
We extend the signature-based primal and dual solutions to the optimal stopping problem recently introduced in [Bayer et al.: Primal and dual optimal stopping with signatures, to appear in Finance & Stochastics 2025], by integrating…
Multiple model reduction techniques have been proposed to tackle linear and non linear problems. Intrusive model order reduction techniques exhibit high accuracy levels, however, they are rarely used as a standalone industrial tool, because…
This paper consists of two parts. The first part is devoted to empirical analysis of consolidated order book (COB) for the index RTS futures. In the second part we consider Poissonian multi--agent model of the COB. By varying parameters of…
Using the option delta systematically, we derive tighter lower and upper bounds of the Black-Scholes implied volatility than those in Tehranchi [SIAM J. Financ. Math. 7 (2016), 893-916]. As an application, we propose a Newton-Raphson…
We present a general Markovian framework for order book modeling. Through our approach, we aim at providing a tool enabling to get a better understanding of the price formation process and of the link between microscopic and macroscopic…
We introduce a novel rough Bergomi (rBergomi) model featuring a variance-driven exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) time-dependent Hurst parameter $H_t$, fundamentally distinct from recent machine learning and wavelet-based…
In this paper we investigate general linear stochastic volatility models with correlated Brownian noises. In such models the asset price satisfies a linear SDE with coefficient of linearity being the volatility process. This class contains…