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We provide explicit approximation formulas for VIX futures and options in forward variance models, with particular emphasis on the family of so-called Bergomi models: the one-factor Bergomi model [Bergomi, Smile dynamics II, Risk, 2005],…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-06 Florian Bourgey , Stefano De Marco , Emmanuel Gobet

In this paper, we develop a general rough volatility model for commodities that provides an automatic calibration of the initial term structure of the futures prices and an appropriate treatment of the Samuelson effect. After the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-30 Roberto Daluiso , Héctor Folgar-Cameán , Andrea Pallavicini , Carlos Vázquez

We study the small-time behaviour of the rough Bergomi model, introduced by Bayer, Friz and Gatheral (2016), and prove a large deviations principle for a rescaled version of the normalised log stock price process, which then allows us to…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-10 Antoine Jacquier , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Henry Stone

It has been recently shown that rough volatility models, where the volatility is driven by a fractional Brownian motion with small Hurst parameter, provide very relevant dynamics in order to reproduce the behavior of both historical and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-08 Omar El Euch , Mathieu Rosenbaum

We formulate a discrete-time Bayesian stochastic volatility model for high-frequency stock-market data that directly accounts for microstructure noise, and outline a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for parameter estimation. The methods…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-02 Georgi Dinolov , Abel Rodriguez , Hongyun Wang

Pricing derivatives goes back to the acclaimed Black and Scholes model. However, such a modeling approach is known not to be able to reproduce some of the financial stylized facts, including the dynamics of volatility. In the mathematical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-26 Giuseppe Brandi , T. Di Matteo

Rough volatility models are continuous time stochastic volatility models where the volatility process is driven by a fractional Brownian motion with the Hurst parameter smaller than half, and have attracted much attention since a seminal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-20 Masaaki Fukasawa , Tetsuya Takabatake , Rebecca Westphal

This Ph.D. thesis explores approximations and regularity for the Heston stochastic volatility model through three interconnected works. The first work focuses on developing high-order weak approximations for the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR)…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Edoardo Lombardo

We first establish strong convergence rates for multiscale systems driven by $\alpha$-stable processes, with analyses constructed in two distinct scaling regimes. When addressing weak convergence rates of this system, we derive four…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Kun Yin

In the setting of stochastic Volterra equations, and in particular rough volatility models, we show that conditional expectations are the unique classical solutions to path-dependent PDEs. The latter arise from the functional It\^o formula…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Ofelia Bonesini , Antoine Jacquier , Alexandre Pannier

Estimating volatility from recent high frequency data, we revisit the question of the smoothness of the volatility process. Our main result is that log-volatility behaves essentially as a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst exponent H of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-14 Jim Gatheral , Thibault Jaisson , Mathieu Rosenbaum

It has been recently shown that spot volatilities can be very well modeled by rough stochastic volatility type dynamics. In such models, the log-volatility follows a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter smaller than 1/2. This…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-10 Giulia Livieri , Saad Mouti , Andrea Pallavicini , Mathieu Rosenbaum

We consider microstructure as an arbitrary contamination of the underlying latent securities price, through a Markov kernel $Q$. Special cases include additive error, rounding and combinations thereof. Our main result is that, subject to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Yingying Li , Per A. Mykland

In this paper, we study the option pricing problems for rough volatility models. As the framework is non-Markovian, the value function for a European option is not deterministic; rather, it is random and satisfies a backward stochastic…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-05 Christian Bayer , Jinniao Qiu , Yao Yao

Poisson's equation plays a fundamental role as a tool for performance evaluation and optimization of Markov chains. For continuous-time birth-death chains with possibly unbounded transition and cost rates as addressed herein, when…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-28 José Niño-Mora

For a class of stochastic models with Gaussian and rough mean-reverting volatility that embeds the genuine rough Stein-Stein model, we study the weak approximation rate when using a Euler type scheme with integrated kernels. Our first…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-23 Aurélien Alfonsi , Ahmed Kebaier

We study the averaging principle for a family of multiscale stochastic dynamical systems. The fast and slow components of the systems are driven by two independent stable L\'evy noises, whose stable indexes may be different. The…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Yanjie Zhang , Qiao Huang , Xiao Wang , Zibo Wang , Jinqiao Duan

Understanding the micro-dynamics of asset prices in modern electronic order books is crucial for investors and regulators. In this paper, we use an order by order Eurostoxx database spanning over 3 years to analyze the joint dynamics of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-20 Salma Elomari-Kessab , Guillaume Maitrier , Julius Bonart , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Sparked by Al\`os, Le\'on, and Vives (2007); Fukasawa (2011, 2017); Gatheral, Jaisson, and Rosenbaum (2018), so-called rough stochastic volatility models such as the rough Bergomi model by Bayer, Friz, and Gatheral (2016) constitute the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-09 Christian Bayer , Benjamin Stemper

We study nearly unstable bivariate cumulative heavy-tailed INAR($\infty$) processes and show that, under a one-factor parameterization and a suitable scaling, they converge to the rough Heston model. This yields a discrete-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-16 Yingli Wang , Zhenyu Cui , Lingjiong Zhu