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Existing works on general time series forecasting build foundation models with heavy model parameters through large-scale multi-source pre-training. These models achieve superior generalization ability across various datasets at the cost of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Yihang Wang , Yuying Qiu , Peng Chen , Yang Shu , Zhongwen Rao , Lujia Pan , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo

Time series data, defined by equally spaced points over time, is essential in fields like medicine, telecommunications, and energy. Analyzing it involves tasks such as classification, clustering, prototyping, and regression. Classification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-27 Ali Ismail-Fawaz

Time-series anomaly detection (TSAD) increasingly demands explanations that articulate not only if an anomaly occurred, but also what pattern it exhibits and why it is anomalous. Leveraging the impressive explanatory capabilities of Large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Tian Lan , Hao Duong Le , Jinbo Li , Wenjun He , Meng Wang , Chenghao Liu , Chen Zhang

Language models struggle to generalize beyond pretraining context lengths, limiting long-horizon reasoning and retrieval. Continued pretraining on long-context data can help but is expensive due to the quadratic scaling of Attention. We…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Sakshi Choudhary , Aditya Chattopadhyay , Luca Zancato , Elvis Nunez , Matthew Trager , Wei Xia , Stefano Soatto

Temporal relational modeling in video is essential for human action understanding, such as action recognition and action segmentation. Although Graph Convolution Networks (GCNs) have shown promising advantages in relation reasoning on many…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Dong Wang , Di Hu , Xingjian Li , Dejing Dou

Recent explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) methods for time series primarily estimate point-wise attribution magnitudes, while overlooking the directional impact on predictions, leading to suboptimal identification of significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Hyeongwon Jang , Changhun Kim , Eunho Yang

Causal discovery in time-series is a fundamental problem in the machine learning community, enabling causal reasoning and decision-making in complex scenarios. Recently, researchers successfully discover causality by combining neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Yuxiao Cheng , Lianglong Li , Tingxiong Xiao , Zongren Li , Qin Zhong , Jinli Suo , Kunlun He

Deep learning survival models often outperform classical methods in time-to-event predictions, particularly in personalized medicine, but their "black box" nature hinders broader adoption. We propose a framework for gradient-based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-10 Sophie Hanna Langbein , Niklas Koenen , Marvin N. Wright

Temporal graph neural networks (TGNNs) have gained significant traction for solving real-world temporal graph tasks. However, their interpretability remains limited, as most TGNNs fail to identify which historical interactions most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Hongjiang Chen , Xin Zheng , Pengfei Jiao , Huan Liu , Zhidong Zhao , Huaming Wu , Feng Xia , Shirui Pan

Reconstructing the causal relationships behind the phenomena we observe is a fundamental challenge in all areas of science. Discovering causal relationships through experiments is often infeasible, unethical, or expensive in complex…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-09 Christian Reiser

Large language models (LLMs) face significant challenges in ex-ante reasoning, where analysis, inference, or predictions must be made without access to information from future events. Even with explicit prompts enforcing temporal cutoffs,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Yachuan Liu , Xiaochun Wei , Lin Shi , Xinnuo Li , Bohan Zhang , Paramveer Dhillon , Qiaozhu Mei

The digital landscape is rapidly evolving with an ever-increasing volume of online news, emphasizing the need for swift and precise analysis of complex events. We refer to the complex events composed of many news articles over an extended…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Zhihan Zhang , Yixin Cao , Chenchen Ye , Yunshan Ma , Lizi Liao , Tat-Seng Chua

Hierarchical time series forecasting plays a crucial role in decision-making in various domains while presenting significant challenges for modelling as they involve multiple levels of aggregation, constraints, and availability of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Zhao Yingjie , Mahdi Abolghasemi

Ensuring the trustworthiness of graph neural networks (GNNs), which are often treated as black-box models, requires effective explanation techniques. Existing GNN explanations typically apply input perturbations to identify subgraphs that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Tingting Zhu , Tingyang Chen , Yinghui Wu , Arijit Khan , Xiangyu Ke

Forecasting high-dimensional time series plays a crucial role in many applications such as demand forecasting and financial predictions. Modern datasets can have millions of correlated time-series that evolve together, i.e they are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-29 Rajat Sen , Hsiang-Fu Yu , Inderjit Dhillon

The latent class model has been proposed as a powerful tool for cluster analysis of categorical data in various fields such as social, psychological, behavioral, and biological sciences. However, one important limitation of the latent class…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Huan Qing

Time series prediction with deep learning methods, especially long short-term memory neural networks (LSTMs), have scored significant achievements in recent years. Despite the fact that the LSTMs can help to capture long-term dependencies,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-12 Youru Li , Zhenfeng Zhu , Deqiang Kong , Hua Han , Yao Zhao

Machine learning and especially deep learning have garneredtremendous popularity in recent years due to their increased performanceover other methods. The availability of large amount of data has aidedin the progress of deep learning.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-06 Sharath M. Shankaranarayana , Davor Runje

Counterfactual explanations are one of the prominent eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) techniques, and suggest changes to input data that could alter predictions, leading to more favourable outcomes. Existing counterfactual methods…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Andrei Buliga , Chiara Di Francescomarino , Chiara Ghidini , Marco Montali , Massimiliano Ronzani

Graph clustering is essential in graph analysis for revealing structural patterns and node communities. Despite recent advances in self-supervised contrastive learning that have improved clustering via structural and attribute signals,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Lei Zhang , Fubo Sun , Haipeng Yang , Zhong Guan , Likang Wu