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Inspired by the paper Greenhalgh et al. [5] we investigate a class of two dimensional stochastic differential equations related to susceptible-infected-susceptible epidemic models with demographic stochasticity. While preserving the key…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-24 Enrico Bernardi , Vinayak Chuni , Alberto Lanconelli

The primary tool for predicting infectious disease spread and intervention effectiveness is the mass action Susceptible-Infected-Recovered model of Kermack and McKendrick. Its usefulness derives largely from its conceptual and mathematical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-03 Joel C. Miller , Anja C. Slim , Erik M. Volz

In this work, we study global existence, boundedness and convergence of nonnegative classical solutions of a Neumann initial-boundary value problem for a cross diffusive SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible) epidemic model with power-like…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-08-23 Huicong Li , Tian Xiang

Heterogeneity is an important property of any population experiencing a disease. Here we apply general methods of the theory of heterogeneous populations to the simplest mathematical models in epidemiology. In particular, an SIR…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-02-28 Artem S Novozhilov

The ability to actually implement epidemic models is a crucial stake for public institutions, as they may be overtaken by the increasing complexity of current models and sometimes tend to revert to less elaborate models such as the SIR. In…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-12-19 Louis Bremaud , Olivier Giraud , Denis Ullmo

We consider the spread of infectious diseases through a Mean Field Game version of a SIR compartmental model with social structure, in which individuals are grouped by their age class and interact together in different settings. In our game…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-14 Louis Bremaud , Denis Ullmo

Metapopulation epidemic models describe epidemic dynamics in networks of spatially distant patches connected with pathways for migration of individuals. In the present study, we deal with a susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-08-22 Akari Matsuki , Gouhei Tanaka

We study convergence properties of competing epidemic models of the Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) type. The SIS epidemic model has seen widespread popularity in modelling the spreading dynamics of contagions such as viruses,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-12 Vishwaraj Doshi , Shailaja Mallick , Do Young eun

We present a continuous formulation of epidemic spreading on multilayer networks using a tensorial representation, extending the models of monoplex networks to this context. We derive analytical expressions for the epidemic threshold of the…

We consider Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) models on dense dynamic random graphs, in which the joint dynamics of vertices and edges are co-evolutionary, i.e., they influence each other bidirectionally. In particular, edges appear and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Simone Baldassarri , Peter Braunsteins , Frank den Hollander , Michel Mandjes

The S.I.R. model (Susceptible, Infected, Recovered or Died) was proposed by chemistry Willam Kermack (1927) and the mathematician G. Mc. Kendrick (1932). the model supposes to divide to the individuals of a population in three categories.…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 Horacio Castellini , Lilia Romanelli

We propose a simple SIR model in order to investigate the impact of various confinement strategies on a most virulent epidemic. Our approach is motivated by the current COVID-19 pandemic. The main hypothesis is the existence of two…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-30 G. Nakamura , B. Grammaticos , M. Badoual

The last decade saw the advent of increasingly realistic epidemic models that leverage on the availability of highly detailed census and human mobility data. Data-driven models aim at a granularity down to the level of households or single…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-08-10 Nicola Perra , Duygu Balcan , Bruno Gonçalves , Alessandro Vespignani

We study the diffusion of epidemics on networks that are partitioned into local communities. The gross structure of hierarchical networks of this kind can be described by a quotient graph. The rationale of this approach is that individuals…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-01-19 Stefano Bonaccorsi , Stefania Ottaviano , Delio Mugnolo , Francesco De Pellegrini

In a metapopulation network, infectious diseases spread widely because of the travel of individuals. In the present study, we consider a modified metapopulation Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model with a latent period, which we call…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-08-02 Kazue Kudo , Kanako Mizuno

We introduce a model for directed spatial networks. Starting from an age-based preferential attachment model in which all arcs point from younger to older vertices, we add \emph{reciprocal} connections whose probabilities depend on the age…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Lukas Lüchtrath , Christian Mönch

Undulation of infection levels, usually called waves, are not well understood. In this paper we propose a mathematical model that exhibits undulation and decay towards a stable state. The model is a re-interpretation of the original…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-08 Niko Sauer

In this manuscript we consider an age structured epidemic system modelling the dynamics of transmission of immunizing disease like Hepatitis B virus. Our model takes into account age as well as two classes of infected individuals (chronic…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-05-17 Yannick Tchaptchie Kouakep

Recent studies on network geometry, a way of describing network structures as geometrical objects, are revolutionizing our way to understand dynamical processes on networked systems. Here, we cope with the problem of epidemic spreading,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-04 Joan T. Matamalas , Sergio Gómez , Alex Arenas

In this paper, we study an epidemic model with Atangana-Baleanu-Caputo (ABC) fractional derivatives. We obtain a special solution using an iterative scheme via Laplace transformation. Uniqueness and existence of solution using the Banach…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-08-20 Moulay Rchid Sidi Ammi , Mostafa Tahiri , Delfim F. M. Torres