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We study robust estimators of the mean of a probability measure $P$, called robust empirical mean estimators. This elementary construction is then used to revisit a problem of aggregation and a problem of estimator selection, extending…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-05 M. Lerasle , R. I. Oliveira

In this brief paper, we present a simple approach to estimate the variance of measurement noise with time-varying 1-D signals. The proposed approach exploits the relationship between the noise variance and the variance of the prediction…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-09 Qin Li , Junchan Zhao

Consider a Gaussian nonparametric regression problem having both an unknown mean function and unknown variance function. This article presents a class of difference-based kernel estimators for the variance function. Optimal convergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Lawrence D. Brown , M. Levine

Considerable interest has recently been focused on studying multiple phenotypes simultaneously in both epidemiological and genomic studies, either to capture the multidimensionality of complex disorders or to understand shared etiology of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-26 Denis Agniel , Katherine P. Liao , Tianxi Cai

You measure the value of a quantity x for a number of systems (cells, molecules, people, chunks of metal, DNA vectors, etc.). You repeat the whole set of measures in different occasions or assays, which you try to design as equal to one…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-11-04 Pablo Echenique-Robba , María Alejandra Nelo-Bazán , José A. Carrodeguas

The aim of the paper is to derive the numerical least-squares estimator for mean and variance of random variable. In order to do so the following questions have to be answered: (i) what is the statistical model for the estimation procedure?…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Tomasz Suslo

Prediction with the possibility of abstention (or selective prediction) is an important problem for error-critical machine learning applications. While well-studied in the classification setup, selective approaches to regression are much…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-29 Fedor Noskov , Alexander Fishkov , Maxim Panov

How to estimate heterogeneity, e.g. the effect of some variable differing across observations, is a key question in political science. Methods for doing so make simplifying assumptions about the underlying nature of the heterogeneity to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-31 Max Goplerud

This paper proposes a variance-based measure of importance for coherent systems with dependent and heterogeneous components. The particular cases of independent components and homogeneous components are also considered. We model the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-30 Antonio Arriaza , Jorge Navarro , Miguel Angel Sordo , Alfonso Suárez-Llorens

We introduce a novel covariance estimator for portfolio selection that adapts to the non-stationary or persistent heteroskedastic environments of financial time series by employing exponentially weighted averages and nonlinearly shrinking…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-23 Vincent Tan , Stefan Zohren

Weighting methods are popular tools for estimating causal effects; assessing their robustness under unobserved confounding is important in practice. In the following paper, we introduce a new set of sensitivity models called "variance-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-14 Melody Huang , Samuel D. Pimentel

The variance of noise plays an important role in many change-point detection procedures and the associated inferences. Most commonly used variance estimators require strong assumptions on the true mean structure or normality of the error…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-17 Ning Hao , Yue Selena Niu , Han Xiao

The study of multivariate extremes is dominated by multivariate regular variation, although it is well known that this approach does not provide adequate distinction between random vectors whose components are not always simultaneously…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-17 Natalia Nolde , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

This paper tackles the problem of detecting abrupt changes in the mean of a heteroscedastic signal by model selection, without knowledge on the variations of the noise. A new family of change-point detection procedures is proposed, showing…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-02-01 Sylvain Arlot , Alain Celisse

Endogeneity and missing data are common issues in empirical research. We investigate how both jointly affect inference on causal parameters. Conventional methods to estimate the variance, which treat the imputed data as if it was observed…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-03-27 Helmut Farbmacher , Alexander Kann

A robust estimator for a wide family of mixtures of linear regression is presented. Robustness is based on the joint adoption of the Cluster Weighted Model and of an estimator based on trimming and restrictions. The selected model provides…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-05 L. A. Garcia-Escudero , A. Gordaliza , F. Greselin , S. Ingrassia , A. Mayo-Iscar

Let $Y$ be a Gaussian vector of $\mathbb{R}^n$ of mean $s$ and diagonal covariance matrix $\Gamma$. Our aim is to estimate both $s$ and the entries $\sigma_i=\Gamma_{i,i}$, for $i=1,...,n$, on the basis of the observation of two independent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-30 Xavier Gendre

We propose a statistical method for clustering of multivariate longitudinal data into homogeneous groups. This method relies on a time-varying extension on the classical K-means algorithm, where a multivariate vector autoregressive model is…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-25 Antonello Maruotti , Maurizio Vichi

We analyze the effect of a heterogeneous variance on bump detection in a Gaussian regression model. To this end we allow for a simultaneous bump in the variance and specify its impact on the difficulty to detect the null signal against a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-04 Farida Enikeeva , Axel Munk , Frank Werner

Time to event outcomes are often evaluated on the hazard scale, but interpreting hazards may be difficult. Recently, there has been concern in the causal inference literature that hazards actually have a built in selection-effect that…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-07 Pål Christie Ryalen , Mats Julius Stensrud , Kjetil Røysland
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