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Temporal point processes (TPP) are probabilistic generative models for continuous-time event sequences. Neural TPPs combine the fundamental ideas from point process literature with deep learning approaches, thus enabling construction of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-26 Oleksandr Shchur , Ali Caner Türkmen , Tim Januschowski , Stephan Günnemann

Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) have been widely used for modeling event sequences on the Web, such as user reviews, social media posts, and online transactions. However, traditional TPP models often struggle to effectively incorporate the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Quyu Kong , Yixuan Zhang , Yang Liu , Panrong Tong , Enqi Liu , Feng Zhou

Temporal point process is widely used for sequential data modeling. In this paper, we focus on the problem of modeling sequential event propagation in graph, such as retweeting by social network users, news transmitting between websites,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-05-06 Weichang Wu , Huanxi Liu , Xiaohu Zhang , Yu Liu , Hongyuan Zha

The explosion of digital information and the growing involvement of people in social networks led to enormous research activity to develop methods that can extract meaningful information from interaction data. Commonly, interactions are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Tony Gracious , Ambedkar Dukkipati

Deep sequence models have achieved notable success in time-series analysis, such as interpolation and forecasting. Recent advances move beyond discrete-time architectures like Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) toward continuous-time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Haoran Li , Muhao Guo , Yang Weng , Hanghang Tong

We propose a Multivariate Spatio-Temporal Neural Hawkes Process for modeling complex multivariate event data with spatio-temporal dynamics. The proposed model extends continuous-time neural Hawkes processes by integrating spatial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-03 Christopher Chukwuemeka , Hojun You , Mikyoung Jun

Spatio-temporal point process (STPP) is a stochastic collection of events accompanied with time and space. Due to computational complexities, existing solutions for STPPs compromise with conditional independence between time and space,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Yuan Yuan , Jingtao Ding , Chenyang Shao , Depeng Jin , Yong Li

Modeling long horizon marked event sequences is a fundamental challenge in many real-world applications, including healthcare, finance, and user behavior modeling. Existing neural temporal point process models are typically autoregressive,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Xiao Shou

We present a novel Recurrent Graph Network (RGN) approach for predicting discrete marked event sequences by learning the underlying complex stochastic process. Using the framework of Point Processes, we interpret a marked discrete event…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-12 Saurabh Dash , Xueyuan She , Saibal Mukhopadhyay

Predicting when and where events will occur in cities, like taxi pick-ups, crimes, and vehicle collisions, is a challenging and important problem with many applications in fields such as urban planning, transportation optimization and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-24 Maya Okawa , Tomoharu Iwata , Takeshi Kurashima , Yusuke Tanaka , Hiroyuki Toda , Naonori Ueda

Online discussion forum creates an asynchronous conversation environment for online users to exchange ideas and share opinions through a unique thread-reply communication mode. Accurately modeling information dynamics under such a mode is…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-03-16 Chen Ling , Guangmo Tong , Mozi Chen

Modern data acquisition routinely produce massive amounts of event sequence data in various domains, such as social media, healthcare, and financial markets. These data often exhibit complicated short-term and long-term temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Simiao Zuo , Haoming Jiang , Zichong Li , Tuo Zhao , Hongyuan Zha

Asynchronous events on the continuous time domain, e.g., social media actions and stock transactions, occur frequently in the world. The ability to recognize occurrence patterns of event sequences is crucial to predict which typeof events…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-17 Qiang Zhang , Aldo Lipani , Omer Kirnap , Emine Yilmaz

A temporal point process (TPP) is a stochastic process where its realization is a sequence of discrete events in time. Recent work in TPPs model the process using a neural network in a supervised learning framework, where a training set is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Wonho Bae , Mohamed Osama Ahmed , Frederick Tung , Gabriel L. Oliveira

Temporal point processes (TPPs) are stochastic process models used to characterize event sequences occurring in continuous time. Traditional statistical TPPs have a long-standing history, with numerous models proposed and successfully…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Feng Zhou , Quyu Kong , Jie Qiao , Cheng Wan , Yixuan Zhang , Ruichu Cai

There has been an increasing interest in modeling continuous-time dynamics of temporal graph data. Previous methods encode time-evolving relational information into a low-dimensional representation by specifying discrete layers of neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-01 Jin Guo , Zhen Han , Zhou Su , Jiliang Li , Volker Tresp , Yuyi Wang

Human activities generate various event sequences such as taxi trip records, bike-sharing pick-ups, crime occurrence, and infectious disease transmission. The point process is widely used in many applications to predict such events related…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-30 Yoshiaki Takimoto , Yusuke Tanaka , Tomoharu Iwata , Maya Okawa , Hideaki Kim , Hiroyuki Toda , Takeshi Kurashima

Continuously-observed event occurrences, often exhibit self- and mutually-exciting effects, which can be well modeled using temporal point processes. Beyond that, these event dynamics may also change over time, with certain periodic trends.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Sikun Yang , Hongyuan Zha

Temporal point process as the stochastic process on continuous domain of time is commonly used to model the asynchronous event sequence featuring with occurrence timestamps. Thanks to the strong expressivity of deep neural networks, they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Haitao Lin , Cheng Tan , Lirong Wu , Zhangyang Gao , Zicheng Liu , Stan. Z. Li

Asynchronous event sequence clustering aims to group similar event sequences in an unsupervised manner. Mixture models of temporal point processes have been proposed to solve this problem, but they often suffer from overfitting, leading to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Yiwei Dong , Shaoxin Ye , Yuwen Cao , Qiyu Han , Hongteng Xu , Hanfang Yang