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Undirected probabilistic graphical models represent the conditional dependencies, or Markov properties, of a collection of random variables. Knowing the sparsity of such a graphical model is valuable for modeling multivariate distributions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-28 Ricardo Baptista , Youssef Marzouk , Rebecca E. Morrison , Olivier Zahm

We propose a variational autoencoder (VAE) approach for parameter estimation in nonlinear mixed-effects models based on ordinary differential equations (NLME-ODEs) using longitudinal data from multiple subjects. In moderate dimensions,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Zhe Li , Mélanie Prague , Rodolphe Thiébaut , Quentin Clairon

We focus on the problem estimating a monotone trend function under additive and dependent noise. New point-wise confidence interval estimators under both short- and long-range dependent errors are introduced and studied. These intervals are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-23 Pramita Bagchi , Moulinath Banerjee , Stilian Stoev

Probability density function estimation with weighted samples is the main foundation of all adaptive importance sampling algorithms. Classically, a target distribution is approximated either by a non-parametric model or within a parametric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-16 Julien Demange-Chryst , François Bachoc , Jérôme Morio , Timothé Krauth

We address speech enhancement based on variational autoencoders, which involves learning a speech prior distribution in the time-frequency (TF) domain. A zero-mean complex-valued Gaussian distribution is usually assumed for the generative…

Sound · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Ali Golmakani , Mostafa Sadeghi , Xavier Alameda-Pineda , Romain Serizel

Bayesian neural networks with latent variables are scalable and flexible probabilistic models: They account for uncertainty in the estimation of the network weights and, by making use of latent variables, can capture complex noise patterns…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-19 Stefan Depeweg , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Finale Doshi-Velez , Steffen Udluft

Gaussian graphical models are parametric statistical models for jointly normal random variables whose dependence structure is determined by a graph. In previous work, we introduced trek separation, which gives a necessary and sufficient…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2012-10-02 Jan Draisma , Seth Sullivant , Kelli Talaska

We present a novel approach to test for heteroscedasticity of a non-stationary time series that is based on Gini's mean difference of logarithmic local sample variances. In order to analyse the large sample behaviour of our test statistic,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-24 Sara Kristin Schmidt , Max Wornowizki , Roland Fried , Herold Dehling

Autoencoders are neural network formulations where the input and output of the network are identical and the goal is to identify the hidden representation in the provided datasets. Generally, autoencoders project the data nonlinearly onto a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-10 Debjani Bhowick , Deepak K. Gupta , Saumen Maiti , Uma Shankar

We study the nonparametric change point estimation for common changes in the means of panel data. The consistency of estimates is investigated when the number of panels tends to infinity but the sample size remains finite. Our focus is on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-21 Leonid Torgovitski

Ultra-high dimensional longitudinal data are increasingly common and the analysis is challenging both theoretically and methodologically. We offer a new automatic procedure for finding a sparse semivarying coefficient model, which is widely…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-24 Ming-Yen Cheng , Toshio Honda , Jialiang Li , Heng Peng

We present a numerical method to learn an accurate predictive model for an unknown stochastic dynamical system from its trajectory data. The method seeks to approximate the unknown flow map of the underlying system. It employs the idea of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Zhongshu Xu , Yuan Chen , Qifan Chen , Dongbin Xiu

We present a sample- and time-efficient differentially private algorithm for ordinary least squares, with error that depends linearly on the dimension and is independent of the condition number of $X^\top X$, where $X$ is the design matrix.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-25 Gavin Brown , Jonathan Hayase , Samuel Hopkins , Weihao Kong , Xiyang Liu , Sewoong Oh , Juan C. Perdomo , Adam Smith

We consider non-parametric estimation problems in the presence of dependent data, notably non-parametric regression with random design and non-parametric density estimation. The proposed estimation procedure is based on a dimension…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-02 Nicolas Asin , Jan Johannes

In data science, it is often required to estimate dependencies between different data sources. These dependencies are typically calculated using Pearson's correlation, distance correlation, and/or mutual information. However, none of these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-03 Rahul Agarwal , Pierre Sacre , Sridevi V. Sarma

Causal discovery aims to recover causal structures generating the observational data. Despite its success in certain problems, in many real-world scenarios the observed variables are not the target variables of interest, but the imperfect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-21 Haoyue Dai , Peter Spirtes , Kun Zhang

In this paper, we study estimation of certain integral functionals of one or two densities with samples from stationary m-dependent sequences. We consider two types of U-statistic estimators for these functionals that are functions of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-20 David Källberg , Oleg Seleznjev

Discrimination between non-stationarity and long-range dependency is a difficult and long-standing issue in modelling financial time series. This paper uses an adaptive spectral technique which jointly models the non-stationarity and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-12 Nick James , Roman Marchant , Richard Gerlach , Sally Cripps

For general non-Gaussian distributions, the covariance and precision matrices do not encode the independence structure of the variables, as they do for the multivariate Gaussian. This paper builds on previous work to show that for a class…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-18 Ujas Shah , Manuel Lladser , Rebecca Morrison

Spurious correlations allow flexible models to predict well during training but poorly on related test distributions. Recent work has shown that models that satisfy particular independencies involving correlation-inducing \textit{nuisance}…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-10 Mark Goldstein , Jörn-Henrik Jacobsen , Olina Chau , Adriel Saporta , Aahlad Puli , Rajesh Ranganath , Andrew C. Miller