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Time Series Forecasting has made significant progress with the help of Patching technique, which partitions time series into multiple patches to effectively retain contextual semantic information into a representation space beneficial for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Xingjian Wu , Xiangfei Qiu , Hanyin Cheng , Zhengyu Li , Jilin Hu , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

Transformer-based time series forecasting has recently gained strong interest due to the ability of transformers to model sequential data. Most of the state-of-the-art architectures exploit either temporal or inter-channel dependencies,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Davide Villaboni , Alberto Castellini , Ivan Luciano Danesi , Alessandro Farinelli

Transformers for time series forecasting mainly model time series from limited or fixed scales, making it challenging to capture different characteristics spanning various scales. We propose Pathformer, a multi-scale Transformer with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Peng Chen , Yingying Zhang , Yunyao Cheng , Yang Shu , Yihang Wang , Qingsong Wen , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo

Time series forecasting is a fundamental problem with applications in climate, energy, healthcare, and finance. Many existing approaches require domain-specific feature engineering and substantial labeled data for each task. We introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Olaf Yunus Laitinen Imanov , Derya Umut Kulali , Taner Yilmaz

Real-time schedulers must reason about tight deadlines under strict compute budgets. We present TempoNet, a reinforcement learning scheduler that pairs a permutation-invariant Transformer with a deep Q-approximation. An Urgency Tokenizer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Rong Fu , Yibo Meng , Guangzhen Yao , Jiaxuan Lu , Zeyu Zhang , Zhaolu Kang , Ziming Guo , Jia Yee Tan , Xiaojing Du , Simon James Fong

Long-term time series forecasting using transformers is hampered by the quadratic complexity of self-attention and the rigidity of uniform patching, which may be misaligned with the data's semantic structure. In this paper, we introduce the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-05 Maximilian Reinwardt , Michael Eichelbeck , Matthias Althoff

Pedestrian trajectory prediction is crucial for autonomous driving and robotics. While existing point-based and grid-based methods expose two main limitations: insufficiently modeling human motion dynamics, as they fail to balance local…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Yanghong Liu , Xingping Dong , Ming Li , Weixing Zhang , Yidong Lou

Recent studies have attempted to refine the Transformer architecture to demonstrate its effectiveness in Long-Term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF) tasks. Despite surpassing many linear forecasting models with ever-improving performance, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Peiwang Tang , Weitai Zhang

Diffusion- and flow-based models usually allocate compute uniformly across space, updating all patches with the same timestep and number of function evaluations. While convenient, this ignores the heterogeneity of natural images: some…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Johannes Schusterbauer , Ming Gui , Yusong Li , Pingchuan Ma , Felix Krause , Björn Ommer

Patch-wise Transformer based time series forecasting achieves superior accuracy. However, this superiority relies heavily on intricate model design with massive parameters, rendering both training and inference expensive, thus preventing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Meng Wang , Jintao Yang , Bin Yang , Hui Li , Tongxin Gong , Bo Yang , Jiangtao Cui

Time series forecasting is an important problem, with many real world applications. Ensembles of deep neural networks have recently achieved impressive forecasting accuracy, but such large ensembles are impractical in many real world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-31 Espen Haugsdal , Erlend Aune , Massimiliano Ruocco

Transformers are designed for discrete tokens, yet many real-world signals are continuous processes observed through noisy sampling. Discrete tokenizations (raw values, patches, finite differences) can be brittle in low signal-to-noise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Griffin Kearney

Modern web applications--from real-time content recommendation and dynamic pricing to CDN optimization--increasingly rely on time-series forecasting to deliver personalized experiences to billions of users. Large-scale Transformer-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Pranav Subbaraman , Fang Sun , Yue Yao , Huacong Tang , Xiao Luo , Yizhou Sun

Time series forecasting has become an increasingly popular research area due to its critical applications in various real-world domains such as traffic management, weather prediction, and financial analysis. Despite significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-22 Ninghui Feng , Songning Lai , Jiayu Yang , Fobao Zhou , Zhenxiao Yin , Hang Zhao

This paper explores how to enhance existing masked time-series modeling by randomly dropping sub-sequence level patches of time series. On this basis, a simple yet effective method named DropPatch is proposed, which has two remarkable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-23 Tianyu Qiu , Yi Xie , Yun Xiong , Hao Niu , Xiaofeng Gao

Transformer-based architectures dominate time series modeling by enabling global attention over all timestamps, yet their rigid 'one-size-fits-all' context aggregation fails to address two critical challenges in real-world data: (1)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Xiaowen Ma , Shuning Ge , Fan Yang , Xiangyu Li , Yun Chen , Mengting Ma , Wei Zhang , Zhipeng Liu

How to best develop foundational models for time series forecasting remains an important open question. Tokenization is a crucial consideration in this effort: what is an effective discrete vocabulary for a real-valued sequential input? To…

Time series forecasting, which aims to predict future values based on historical data, has garnered significant attention due to its broad range of applications. However, real-world time series often exhibit complex non-uniform distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Yanru Sun , Zongxia Xie , Emadeldeen Eldele , Dongyue Chen , Qinghua Hu , Min Wu

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) has been widely applied in finance, traffic prediction, and other domains. Recently, patch-based transformers have emerged as a promising approach, segmenting data into sub-level patches that serve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-06 Ruixin Ding , Yuqi Chen , Yu-Ting Lan , Wei Zhang

Time series forecasting, which predicts future values from past observations, plays a central role in many domains and has driven the development of highly accurate neural network models. However, the complexity of these models often limits…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Hiroki Tomioka , Genta Yoshimura