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We propose a novel methodology to quantify the effect of stochastic interventions on non-terminal time-to-events that lie on the pathway between an exposure and a terminal time-to-event outcome. Investigating these effects is particularly…

The solution here proposed can be used to conduct economic analysis in randomized clinical trials. It is based on a statistical approach and aims at calculating a revised version of the incremental costeffective ratio (ICER) in order to…

Applications · Statistics 2013-06-19 C. D'Urso

Precision medicine leverages patient heterogeneity to estimate individualized treatment regimens, formalized, data-driven approaches designed to match patients with optimal treatments. In the presence of competing events, where multiple…

Objective: To design and assess a method to leverage individuals' temporal data for predicting their healthcare cost. To achieve this goal, we first used patients' temporal data in their fine-grain form as opposed to coarse-grain form.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-16 Mohammad Amin Morid , Olivia R. Liu Sheng , Kensaku Kawamoto , Travis Ault , Josette Dorius , Samir Abdelrahman

Left-truncated survival data commonly arise in prevalent cohort studies, where only individuals who have experienced disease onset and survived until enrollment in the study. When the onset process follows a stationary Poisson process, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Jinwoo Lee , Donghwan Lee , Hyunwoo Lee , Jiyu Sun

To date, we have seen the emergence of a large literature on multivariate disease mapping. That is, incidence of (or mortality from) multiple diseases is recorded at the scale of areal units where incidence (mortality) across the diseases…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Garazi Retegui , María Dolores Ugarte , Jaione Etxeberria , Alan E. Gelfand

Measuring the effect of patient safety improvement efforts is needed to determine their value but is difficult due to the inherent complexities of hospital operations. In this paper, we show by case study how interrupted time series design…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-28 Diego A. Martinez , Mehdi Jalalpour , David T. Efron , Scott R. Levin

Prognostication for lung cancer, a leading cause of mortality, remains a complex task, as it needs to quantify the associations of risk factors and health events spanning a patient's entire life. One challenge is that an individual's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-28 Stephen Salerno , Yi Li

In this paper we consider how to evaluate survival distribution predictions with measures of discrimination. This is a non-trivial problem as discrimination measures are the most commonly used in survival analysis and yet there is no clear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-10 Raphael Sonabend , Andreas Bender , Sebastian Vollmer

We overview Bayesian estimation, hypothesis testing, and model-averaging and illustrate how they benefit parametric survival analysis. We contrast the Bayesian framework to the currently dominant frequentist approach and highlight…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-13 František Bartoš , Frederik Aust , Julia M. Haaf

This study presents a framework for high-resolution mortality simulations tailored to insured and general populations. Due to the scarcity of detailed demographic-specific mortality data, we leverage Iterative Proportional Fitting (IPF) and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-18 Asmik Nalmpatian , Christian Heumann

The Health and Retirement Study is a longitudinal study of US adults enrolled at age 50 and older. We were interested in investigating the effect of a sudden large decline in wealth on the cognitive score of subjects. Our analysis was…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-16 Yaoyuan Vincent Tan , Carol A. C. Flannagan , Lindsay R. Pool , Michael R. Elliott

In cancer epidemiology using population-based data, regression models for the excess mortality hazard is a useful method to estimate cancer survival and to describe the association between prognosis factors and excess mortality. This method…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-19 Francisco J. Rubio , Bernard Rachet , Roch Giorgi , Camille Maringe , Aurelien Belot

In many clinical contexts, estimating effects of treatment in time-to-event data is complicated not only by confounding, censoring, and heterogeneity, but also by the presence of a cured subpopulation in which the event of interest never…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-06 Yuqi Li , Quinn Lanners , Matthew M. Engelhard

Typical risk classification procedure in insurance is consists of a priori risk classification determined by observable risk characteristics, and a posteriori risk classification where the premium is adjusted to reflect the policyholder's…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-04 Rosy Oh , Youngju Lee , Dan Zhu , Jae Youn Ahn

In some randomized clinical trials, patients may die before the measurements of their outcomes. Even though randomization generates comparable treatment and control groups, the remaining survivors often differ significantly in background…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-07 Fan Yang , Peng Ding

This paper considers robust modeling of the survival time for cancer patients. Accurate prediction can be helpful for developing therapeutic and care strategies. We propose a unified Expectation-Maximization approach combined with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-23 Yi Li , Muxuan Liang , Lu Mao , Sijian Wang

Survival analysis is a valuable tool for estimating the time until specific events, such as death or cancer recurrence, based on baseline observations. This is particularly useful in healthcare to prognostically predict clinically important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-11 Ahmed H. Shahin , An Zhao , Alexander C. Whitehead , Daniel C. Alexander , Joseph Jacob , David Barber

Machine learning is increasingly used to select which individuals receive limited-resource interventions in domains such as human services, education, development, and more. However, it is often not apparent what the right quantity is for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-20 Vibhhu Sharma , Bryan Wilder

The distribution-free method of conformal prediction (Vovk et al, 2005) has gained considerable attention in computer science, machine learning, and statistics. Candes et al. (2023) extended this method to right-censored survival data,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-04 Jing Qin , Jin Piao , Jing Ning , Yu Shen
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