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In this work, a data-driven modeling framework of switched dynamical systems under time-dependent switching is proposed. The learning technique utilized to model system dynamics is Extreme Learning Machine (ELM). First, a method is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-27 Weiming Xiang

In this paper, we present large deviation theory that characterizes the exponential estimate for rare events of stochastic dynamical systems in the limit of weak noise. We aim to consider next-to-leading-order approximation for more…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-21 Yang Li , Shenglan Yuan , Linghongzhi Lu , Xianbin Liu

We introduce FLEX (FLow EXpert), a backbone architecture for generative modeling of spatio-temporal physical systems using diffusion models. FLEX operates in the residual space rather than on raw data, a modeling choice that we motivate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 N. Benjamin Erichson , Vinicius Mikuni , Dongwei Lyu , Yang Gao , Omri Azencot , Soon Hoe Lim , Michael W. Mahoney

Extreme events are the major weather-related hazard for humanity. It is then of crucial importance to have a good understanding of their statistics and to be able to forecast them. However, lack of sufficient data makes their study…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-03-13 Valeria Mascolo , Alessandro Lovo , Corentin Herbert , Freddy Bouchet

This paper introduces a novel data driven framework for constructing accurate and general equivariant models of multiscale phenomena which does not rely on specific assumptions about the underlying physics. This framework is illustrated…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-15 Brandon Choi , Matteo Ugliotti , Mateo Reynoso , Daniel R. Gurevich , Roman O. Grigoriev

The robotic systems continuously interact with complex dynamical systems in the physical world. Reliable predictions of spatiotemporal evolution of these dynamical systems, with limited knowledge of system dynamics, are crucial for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-01-08 Yun Long , Xueyuan She , Saibal Mukhopadhyay

Chaotic dynamics, commonly seen in weather systems and fluid turbulence, are characterized by their sensitivity to initial conditions, which makes accurate prediction challenging. Recent approaches have focused on developing data-driven…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-16 Sunbochen Tang , Themistoklis Sapsis , Navid Azizan

Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) is an emerging learning paradigm for nonlinear regression problems and has shown its effectiveness in the machine learning community. An important feature of ELM is that the learning speed is extremely fast…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2012-11-08 Vijay Manikandan Janakiraman , Dennis Assanis

We analyst in detail a new approach to the monitoring and forecasting of the onset of transitions in high dimensional complex systems (see Phys. Rev. Lett . vol. 113, 264102 (2014)) by application to the Tangled Nature Model of evolutionary…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-08-03 Duccio Piovani , Jelena Grujic , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

Drawing on ergodic theory, we introduce a novel training method for machine learning based forecasting methods for chaotic dynamical systems. The training enforces dynamical invariants--such as the Lyapunov exponent spectrum and fractal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-26 Jason A. Platt , Stephen G. Penny , Timothy A. Smith , Tse-Chun Chen , Henry D. I. Abarbanel

Timely and reliable decision-making is vital for flood emergency response, yet it remains severely hindered by limited and imprecise situational awareness due to various budget and data accessibility constraints. Traditional flood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Qian Sun , Graham Hults , Susu Xu

We propose a new Eulerian numerical approach for constructing the forward flow maps in continuous dynamical systems. The new algorithm improves the original formulation developed in [23, 24] so that the associated partial differential…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-06-15 Guoqiao You , Tony Wong , Shingyu Leung

We propose a method for the data-driven inference of temporal evolutions of physical functions with deep learning. More specifically, we target fluid flows, i.e. Navier-Stokes problems, and we propose a novel LSTM-based approach to predict…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-06 Steffen Wiewel , Moritz Becher , Nils Thuerey

A modelling framework based on the resolvent analysis and machine learning is proposed to predict the turbulent energy in incompressible channel flows. In the framework, the optimal resolvent response modes are selected as the basis…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-03-11 Yitong Fan , Bo Chen , Weipeng Li

We develop a deep learning model to predict traffic flows. The main contribution is development of an architecture that combines a linear model that is fitted using $\ell_1$ regularization and a sequence of $\tanh$ layers. The challenge of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-15 Nicholas Polson , Vadim Sokolov

Accurate typhoon track forecasting is crucial for early system warning and disaster response. While Transformer-based models have demonstrated strong performance in modeling the temporal dynamics of dense trajectories of humans and vehicles…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Lincan Li , Eren Erman Ozguven , Yue Zhao , Guang Wang , Yiqun Xie , Yushun Dong

Extreme weather events pose significant challenges, thereby demanding techniques for accurate analysis and precise forecasting to mitigate its impact. In recent years, deep learning techniques have emerged as a promising approach for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-23 Shikha Verma , Kuldeep Srivastava , Akhilesh Tiwari , Shekhar Verma

Long-term predictions of nonlinear dynamics of three-dimensional (3D) turbulence are very challenging for machine learning approaches. In this paper, we propose an implicit U-Net enhanced Fourier neural operator (IU-FNO) for stable and…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-08-02 Zhijie Li , Wenhui Peng , Zelong Yuan , Jianchun Wang

Inverse parallel schemes remain indispensable tools for computing the roots of nonlinear systems, yet their dynamical behavior can be unexpectedly rich, ranging from strong contraction to oscillatory or chaotic transients depending on the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Mudassir Shams , Andrei Velichko , Bruno Carpentieri

We present a study of the intermittent properties of a shell model of turbulence with unprecedented statistics, about $\sim 10^7$ eddy turn over time, achieved thanks to an implementation on a large-scale parallel GPU factory. This allows…