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Information Bottleneck (IB) is a technique to extract information about one target random variable through another relevant random variable. This technique has garnered significant interest due to its broad applications in information…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Lingyi Chen , Shitong Wu , Jiachuan Ye , Huihui Wu , Wenyi Zhang , Hao Wu

Importance Sampling (IS) is a widely used variance reduction technique for enhancing the efficiency of Monte Carlo methods, particularly in rare-event simulation and related applications. Despite its effectiveness, the performance of IS is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Liviu Aolaritei , Bart P. G. Van Parys , Henry Lam , Michael I. Jordan

In the nonparametric regression setting, we construct an estimator which is a continuous function interpolating the data points with high probability, while attaining minimax optimal rates under mean squared risk on the scale of H\"older…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Julien Chhor , Suzanne Sigalla , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

We present a novel approach for the inverse problem in electrical impedance tomography based on regularized quadratic regression. Our contribution introduces a new formulation for the forward model in the form of a nonlinear integral…

Geophysics · Physics 2012-05-29 Nick Polydorides , Alireza Aghasi , Eric L. Miller

This paper studies a machine learning regression problem as a multivariate approximation problem using the framework of the theory of random functions. An ab initio derivation of a regression method is proposed, starting from postulates of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Yuriy N. Bakhvalov

In this paper, we develop a new sequential regression modeling approach for data streams. Data streams are commonly found around us, e.g in a retail enterprise sales data is continuously collected every day. A demand forecasting model is an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-11 Chitta Ranjan , Samaneh Ebrahimi , Kamran Paynabar

This paper presents the asymptotic behavior of a linear instrumental variables (IV) estimator that uses a ridge regression penalty. The regularization tuning parameter is selected empirically by splitting the observed data into training and…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-27 Nandana Sengupta , Fallaw Sowell

This paper is concerned with the problem of nonlinear filtering, i.e., computing the conditional distribution of the state of a stochastic dynamical system given a history of noisy partial observations. Conventional sequential importance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Mohammad Al-Jarrah , Niyizhen Jin , Bamdad Hosseini , Amirhossein Taghvaei

Conformal risk control is an extension of conformal prediction for controlling risk functions beyond miscoverage. The original algorithm controls the expected value of a loss that is monotonic in a one-dimensional parameter. Here, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos

We propose an extension of a special form of gradient descent -- in the literature known as linearised Bregman iteration -- to a larger class of non-convex functions. We replace the classical (squared) two norm metric in the gradient…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-26 Martin Benning , Marta M. Betcke , Matthias J. Ehrhardt , Carola-Bibiane Schönlieb

In this work we introduce a novel approach of construction of multivariate cumulative distribution functions, based on cyclical-monotone mapping of an original measure $\mu \in \mathcal{P}^{ac}_2(\mathbb{R}^d)$ to some target measure $\nu…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-13 Melf Boeckel , Vladimir Spokoiny , Alexandra Suvorikova

For the discovery of regression relationships between Y and a large set of p potential predictors x 1 , . . . , x p , the flexible nonparametric nature of BART (Bayesian Additive Regression Trees) allows for a much richer set of…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2021-10-11 Hugh A. Chipman , Edward I. George , Robert E. McCulloch , Thomas S. Shively

The rational covariance extension problem (RCEP) is an important problem in systems and control occurring in such diverse fields as control, estimation, system identification, and signal and image processing, leading to many fundamental…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-07 Axel Ringh , Johan Karlsson , Anders Lindquist

This paper studies the convergence rates of optimal transport (OT) map estimators, a topic of growing interest in statistics, machine learning, and various scientific fields. Despite recent advancements, existing results rely on regularity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-12 Yizhe Ding , Runze Li , Lingzhou Xue

Optimization in engineering requires appropriate models. In this article, a regression method for enhancing the predictive power of a model by exploiting expert knowledge in the form of shape constraints, or more specifically, monotonicity…

This work investigates robust monotonic convergent iterative learning control (ILC) for uncertain linear systems in both time and frequency domains, and the ILC algorithm optimizing the convergence speed in terms of $l_{2}$ norm of error…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-19 Lanlan Su

Probability predictions from binary regressions or machine learning methods ought to be calibrated: If an event is predicted to occur with probability $x$, it should materialize with approximately that frequency, which means that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-11 Timo Dimitriadis , Lutz Duembgen , Alexander Henzi , Marius Puke , Johanna Ziegel

We develop IV Fr\'echet regression (IVFR), an instrumental-variable (IV) method for settings where the outcome is an entire distribution. Framing the problem as an IV regression in 2-Wasserstein space, IVFR extends global Fr\'echet…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-28 David Van Dijcke , Kaspar Wüthrich

In this work, we consider a multivariate regression model with one-sided errors. We assume for the regression function to lie in a general H\"{o}lder class and estimate it via a nonparametric local polynomial approach that consists of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-11 Leonie Selk , Charles Tillier , Orlando Marigliano

Existing regression models tend to fall short in both accuracy and uncertainty estimation when the label distribution is imbalanced. In this paper, we propose a probabilistic deep learning model, dubbed variational imbalanced regression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Ziyan Wang , Hao Wang